Service Plays - Thursday 9/23/21



Jun 14, 2021
Marc Lawrence

Game: (303) Marshall at (304) Appalachian State
Date/Time: Sep 23 2021 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: C units
Play: Marshall +7.5 (-115)
Edges - Thundering Herd: 3-0-1 ATS as a dog when coming off a SU loss as a double-digit favorite, and 6-1-1 ATS as a non-conference road dog, and 4-0 ATS away in weekday games …
Mountaineers: 3-7-1 ATS at home when coming off a home game, including 0-4-1 ATS versus .600 or greater opponents … With the Herd coming off a 42-38 loss to East Carolina as a double-digit favorite in a game in which they gained 647 yards, we recommend a 3% play on Marshall. Thank you and good luck as always.
Play on Marshall +7.5

Line Parameters +7 or more, 2% +5.5 or more.



Jun 14, 2021
SportsLine Projection Model


Against the Spread

Pick: Carolina -7.5
The Panthers are covering the spread in 52 percent of simulations.


Pick: Over 44
The Over is cashing in 51 percent of simulations.

Money line

Pick: Houston +300

The Texans win in 30 percent of simulations, leaving value at those odds

Projected final score: Panthers 27, Texans 18



Jun 14, 2021

Fenerbahce – Giresunspor : Fenerbahce Over 1.5 @ 1.55
Sampdoria – Napoli : Napoli Over 1.5 @ 2.00
Total Odds : 3.10



Jun 14, 2021
TMTW Sports

Ck St Louis +105
Ck Baltimore Over 9 +100
Dk Marshall Over 59.5 -110
Ek FH Houston Over 21.5 -105
Ek Houston Over 43 -110



Jun 14, 2021
Nick Borrman

Game: Bayern Munich at Greuther Furth
Date/Time: Sep 24 2021 2:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Bayern Munich -2.5 (-135)

Germany Bundesliga

Big number, but Bayern is the scariest team in Europe right now and have won by 3+ goals in each of their last five games while Greuther is winless so far this season with two losses by 3+ goals already to Stuttgart and Mainz. This could be 4-0 or 5-1 or maybe even more of a crooked number.

Greuther Furth
1.23 xG | 2.17 xGA
10.6 Shots for | 3.2 on Goal
16.2 Shots allowed | 6.6 on Goal

4.29 xG | 1.02 xGA
19.0 Shots for | 8.6 on Goal
8.8 Shots allowed | 3.2 on Goal


Line Parameter: 4% to -2.75, pay up to -150 to get -2.5, 3% to -2.0

Game: Napoli at Sampdoria
Date/Time: Sep 23 2021 12:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Napoli (-110)

Italy Serie A

Sampdoria are off to a good start this season but Napoli have really been playing on another level and have owned Sampdoria over recent years winning five straight, ten of the last 11, with Sampdoria having just one win in the last 20 meetings.

1.16 xG 0.98 xGA
12.5 Shots for | 4.0 on Goal
13.0 Shots allowed | 4.3 on Goal

2.26 xG | 0.69 xGA
16.8 Shots for | 6.8 on Goal
7.8 Shots allowed | 3.0 on Goal


Line Parameter: 4% to -130, 3% to -0.75

Game: Lazio at Torino
Date/Time: Sep 23 2021 12:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Both Teams to Score YES (-165)

Italy Serie A

Eight of the last 11 H2H meetings have seen Both Teams Score. Lazio has averaged 1.62 xG this season while allowing 1.82 xGA and although Torino has only allowed 0.65 xGA the season, I find it very unlikely they keep Lazio off the board here.


Line Parameter: 3% to -180, 2% to -200

Game: Betis at Osasuna
Date/Time: Sep 23 2021 1:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Betis +0.25 (-110)

Spain La Liga

Both teams have gotten off to very good starts with just one loss each and strong positive xG differentials. They are very evenly matched and thus I like grabbing the + goals in a game that could go either way or likely end in a draw. Plus, Betis hasn't lost in the last seven H2H meetings against Osasuna with six wins and one draw.

1.44 xG | 0.64 xGA
13.4 Shots for | 3.8 on Goal
7.8 Shots allowed | 2.6 on Goal

1.57 xG | 0.99 xGA
16.0 Shots for | 6.4 on Goal
9.8 Shots allowed | 2.8 on Goal


Line Parameter: 4% at +0.25 up to -135, 3% at +0

Game: Barcelona at Cadiz
Date/Time: Sep 23 2021 4:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Barcelona (-165)

Spain La Liga

Barcelona has struggled to get results but their xG numbers are still very good, actually leading the league at +1.09 per game. Eventually they will start to convert their chances and we are talking about Cadiz. They are not good. Barcelona has to win, right?

1.10 xG | 1.68 xGA
7.0 Shots for | 2.4 on Goal
14.4 Shots allowed | 4.4 on Goal

1.89 xG | 0.89 xGA
11.5 Shots for | 5.0 on Goal
10.0 Shots allowed | 3.8 on Goal


Line Parameter: 4% to -185 or -0.75, 3% to -210 or -1.0



Jun 14, 2021
XS Sports

Ek St Louis +103
Ek Seattle +140
Ek Atlanta -1.5 -123
Ek Houston -1.5 -105

Ck Marshall Over 59 -110

Ek Carolina FH -4.5 -115
Ek Carolina -9 +100



Jun 14, 2021
Insider Sports Report
D* L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer) -1.5 runs -150 over Colorado (Freeland)
Range: -135 to -175
C* Appalachian St. -7 over Marshall (NCAAF)
Range: -5 to -9
C* Carolina/Houston UNDER 43.5 (NFL)
Range: 45.5 to 41.5

National Sports Service
D* Oakland (Bassitt) -145 over Seattle (Kikuchi)
C* Marshall/Appalachian St. OVER 59.5 (NCAAF)

Primetime Sports Picks
D Unit --> St. Louis (Wainwright)/Milwaukee (Houser) UNDER 8
C Unit --> L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer)/Colorado (Freeland) UNDER 10.5
C Unit --> Marshall +7 over Appalachian St. (NCAAF)

Top Rank Sports Picks
D★ Toronto (Matz)/Minnesota (Pineda) UNDER 9.5
C★ Carolina/Houston OVER 43.5 (NFL)

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