Service Plays - Thursday 9/23/21

Losschaser

Member
Marc Lawrence

Game: (303) Marshall at (304) Appalachian State
Date/Time: Sep 23 2021 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: C units
Play: Marshall +7.5 (-115)
Edges - Thundering Herd: 3-0-1 ATS as a dog when coming off a SU loss as a double-digit favorite, and 6-1-1 ATS as a non-conference road dog, and 4-0 ATS away in weekday games …
Mountaineers: 3-7-1 ATS at home when coming off a home game, including 0-4-1 ATS versus .600 or greater opponents … With the Herd coming off a 42-38 loss to East Carolina as a double-digit favorite in a game in which they gained 647 yards, we recommend a 3% play on Marshall. Thank you and good luck as always.
Play on Marshall +7.5

Line Parameters +7 or more, 2% +5.5 or more.
 

Losschaser

Member
SportsLine Projection Model

CAROLINA PANTHERS AT HOUSTON TEXANS | 09/23 | 8:20 P.M. ET

Against the Spread

Pick: Carolina -7.5
The Panthers are covering the spread in 52 percent of simulations.

Over/Under

Pick: Over 44
The Over is cashing in 51 percent of simulations.

Money line

Pick: Houston +300

The Texans win in 30 percent of simulations, leaving value at those odds

Projected final score: Panthers 27, Texans 18
 

Losschaser

Member
vipcomboticket

Fenerbahce – Giresunspor : Fenerbahce Over 1.5 @ 1.55
Sampdoria – Napoli : Napoli Over 1.5 @ 2.00
Total Odds : 3.10
 

Losschaser

Member
TMTW Sports

Ck St Louis +105
Ck Baltimore Over 9 +100
Dk Marshall Over 59.5 -110
Ek FH Houston Over 21.5 -105
Ek Houston Over 43 -110
 

Losschaser

Member
Nick Borrman

Game: Bayern Munich at Greuther Furth
Date/Time: Sep 24 2021 2:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Bayern Munich -2.5 (-135)

Germany Bundesliga

Big number, but Bayern is the scariest team in Europe right now and have won by 3+ goals in each of their last five games while Greuther is winless so far this season with two losses by 3+ goals already to Stuttgart and Mainz. This could be 4-0 or 5-1 or maybe even more of a crooked number.

Greuther Furth
1.23 xG | 2.17 xGA
10.6 Shots for | 3.2 on Goal
16.2 Shots allowed | 6.6 on Goal

Bayern
4.29 xG | 1.02 xGA
19.0 Shots for | 8.6 on Goal
8.8 Shots allowed | 3.2 on Goal

TAKE BAYERN -2.5

Line Parameter: 4% to -2.75, pay up to -150 to get -2.5, 3% to -2.0


Game: Napoli at Sampdoria
Date/Time: Sep 23 2021 12:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Napoli (-110)

Italy Serie A

Sampdoria are off to a good start this season but Napoli have really been playing on another level and have owned Sampdoria over recent years winning five straight, ten of the last 11, with Sampdoria having just one win in the last 20 meetings.

Sampdoria
1.16 xG 0.98 xGA
12.5 Shots for | 4.0 on Goal
13.0 Shots allowed | 4.3 on Goal

Napoli
2.26 xG | 0.69 xGA
16.8 Shots for | 6.8 on Goal
7.8 Shots allowed | 3.0 on Goal

TAKE NAPOLI TO WIN (ML or -0.5)

Line Parameter: 4% to -130, 3% to -0.75


Game: Lazio at Torino
Date/Time: Sep 23 2021 12:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Both Teams to Score YES (-165)

Italy Serie A

Eight of the last 11 H2H meetings have seen Both Teams Score. Lazio has averaged 1.62 xG this season while allowing 1.82 xGA and although Torino has only allowed 0.65 xGA the season, I find it very unlikely they keep Lazio off the board here.

TAKE BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES

Line Parameter: 3% to -180, 2% to -200


Game: Betis at Osasuna
Date/Time: Sep 23 2021 1:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Betis +0.25 (-110)

Spain La Liga

Both teams have gotten off to very good starts with just one loss each and strong positive xG differentials. They are very evenly matched and thus I like grabbing the + goals in a game that could go either way or likely end in a draw. Plus, Betis hasn't lost in the last seven H2H meetings against Osasuna with six wins and one draw.

Osasuna
1.44 xG | 0.64 xGA
13.4 Shots for | 3.8 on Goal
7.8 Shots allowed | 2.6 on Goal

Betis
1.57 xG | 0.99 xGA
16.0 Shots for | 6.4 on Goal
9.8 Shots allowed | 2.8 on Goal

TAKE BETIS +0.25

Line Parameter: 4% at +0.25 up to -135, 3% at +0


Game: Barcelona at Cadiz
Date/Time: Sep 23 2021 4:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Barcelona (-165)

Spain La Liga

Barcelona has struggled to get results but their xG numbers are still very good, actually leading the league at +1.09 per game. Eventually they will start to convert their chances and we are talking about Cadiz. They are not good. Barcelona has to win, right?

Cadiz
1.10 xG | 1.68 xGA
7.0 Shots for | 2.4 on Goal
14.4 Shots allowed | 4.4 on Goal

Barcelona
1.89 xG | 0.89 xGA
11.5 Shots for | 5.0 on Goal
10.0 Shots allowed | 3.8 on Goal

TAKE BARCELONA TO WIN (ML or -0.5)

Line Parameter: 4% to -185 or -0.75, 3% to -210 or -1.0
 

Losschaser

Member
XS Sports

MLB
Ek St Louis +103
Ek Seattle +140
Ek Atlanta -1.5 -123
Ek Houston -1.5 -105

NCAA
Ck Marshall Over 59 -110

NFL
Ek Carolina FH -4.5 -115
Ek Carolina -9 +100
 

Losschaser

Member
Insider Sports Report
D* L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer) -1.5 runs -150 over Colorado (Freeland)
Range: -135 to -175
C* Appalachian St. -7 over Marshall (NCAAF)
Range: -5 to -9
C* Carolina/Houston UNDER 43.5 (NFL)
Range: 45.5 to 41.5

National Sports Service
D* Oakland (Bassitt) -145 over Seattle (Kikuchi)
C* Marshall/Appalachian St. OVER 59.5 (NCAAF)

Primetime Sports Picks
D Unit --> St. Louis (Wainwright)/Milwaukee (Houser) UNDER 8
C Unit --> L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer)/Colorado (Freeland) UNDER 10.5
C Unit --> Marshall +7 over Appalachian St. (NCAAF)

Top Rank Sports Picks
D★ Toronto (Matz)/Minnesota (Pineda) UNDER 9.5
C★ Carolina/Houston OVER 43.5 (NFL)
 

BMR Service Plays

If you have been betting sports for even a short time then you know all about paid professional touts, otherwise known as sports handicappers. It's a shadowy business but there are thousands of handicappers who will happily charge you for their sports picks. Whether it is the NFL, college football, NBA, college hoops, NHL, soccer, or matches in MMA, tennis, golf, even auto racing, their expert opinions are for sale.

But how good are these guys? Like anything else, there is good, bad, and plenty in-between. The marketing come-ons are priceless and some of them will want you to believe they have never had a losing day. The implication is, the more you pay the more valuable that pick is, and many come with guarantees. The only problem is that very rarely does the customer get a refund if the pick loses, he just gets another pick…only this time it's "free".

Transparency is everything and there are professional cappers who are honest regarding their records and don't claim to win every game. But separating the wheat from the chaff is tough to do in this industry so Bookmakers Review neither endorses nor promotes any paid handicapper on our site. The opinions you see expressed in our Service Plays Forum are disseminated by the posters who have acquired this information by either paying for the service themselves or finding out through other means.

Of course, there are free sports picks that paid touts release in order to generate interest in their service. Their predictions are predicated on their experience in the industry and their ability to correctly handicap games. The implied value in having to purchase their information is what teases curiosity and brings bettors to the table to find out if they are truly better than the average sports bettor.

The use of this information is for entertainment purposes and should in no way be construed as an endorsement or an entity affiliated with Bookmakers Review. Check the federal, state, and local laws in your area and avoid where prohibited.

What's a Letter Grade?

Handicappers who charge for their daily selections whether it be basketball, MLB, major bowl games, soccer, Stanley Cup, or whatever season is current, normally have a grading system. Posts from our members will identify the level of the sports tips in terms of A as the weakest and then B, C, D, etc. Oftentimes these threads will be titled with the name of the handicapper, as the more popular paid handicappers will get substantially more views which are also indicated in the thread.

Other times, there will be posts from users who collect information at several online gambling sites and will create a thread that is often titled Service Plays of the Day. These threads will routinely have the date accompanying the sports picks so our guests can understand whether this information is for today's picks or dates in the past or future.

There will either be a moneyline, a total, or a point spread attached to each pick but you should understand that getting a sharp line and the best odds are critical to long term success so make certain that the odds stated are reasonable and not an idyllic number that never existed at any sportsbook, anywhere in the world. The information contained is from the posters here at BMR and not directly from the source. Many times the paid handicappers and their sports betting picks will be found in a number of threads throughout the forum.

Poster Interaction

The best part of the Service Plays Forum is that it is dynamic and allows our users to interact with each other. Today a particular handicapper might be running white-hot while a check of another capper could prove the opposite. The regular visitors will be able to determine who is better at which sport and how often do they cover. All opinions are welcome and you will often see fascinating information from the posters themselves who often know more than many of those providing the paid tips.

One thing that is prohibited is the direct writeups from the paid cappers. Only the picks are revealed and the letter grade assigned. BMR prohibits copying and pasting the analysis used to derive these selections but the conclusions and predictions are freely shared on our pages. Some paid handicappers will use statistics and analysis while others are more casual as to why they chose Team A or Team B.

Whatever sport you happen to be interested in, there are paid cappers willing to sell their opinions but it is important to be aware that many of them are powered more towards marketing and less to intense analytical scrutiny and betting trends. The best cappers will keep an honest log of their picks and will be fully transparent so that even if they lose an NBA, MLB, college bowl game, or a football game, for example, the legitimate cappers will acknowledge it and not attempt to bury it in their record.

Like the average bettor, paid cappers run hot and cold, whether it is a daily play or throughout a full season. Some of the best cappers stick to one sport like the NBA but most will sell their daily opinions on whichever sport is in session. And if you are not sure then ask around and pick a poster's brain familiar with the industry and the touts who get paid to make their customers money. All questions are welcome.

Lastly, it is important you do a bit of due diligence of your own before making a bet. The best bettors understand that they are as only as good as their last winner and today is a brand new day. Sports betting takes time and energy but it can be enjoyable and lucrative if you remain disciplined. And remember to make sure you check out the odds at more than just one site so when you view these threads and the picks from these "sports betting experts" make certain the odds are correct because if you do, it won't be long before you will be able to distinguish between the scamdicappers and the true handicappers.

Top