Expert NFL Props

NFL Prop Betting

When it comes to betting on NFL games, there are plenty of options beyond the traditional spread and moneyline bets. One such option is NFL props, which is short for proposition bets.

With so many props available, it can be overwhelming to determine which ones are worth betting on. That’s where expert NFL props analysis comes in. Expert NFL prop analysis is a comprehensive evaluation and prediction of various proposition bets.

Our experts analyze everything from a player’s past performance to the matchup at hand to identify the best props to bet on.

We also take into account the betting market and the odds being offered by various sportsbooks. By finding the most favorable odds for a given prop, we help you maximize your potential payout.

Of course, there’s no such thing as a guaranteed winner when it comes to betting, but our expert NFL props analysis can help you make more informed, strategic bets that have a higher chance of paying off.

What are NFL prop bets?

If you’re new to NFL betting, you might be wondering what prop bets are. Simply put, prop bets are wagers on specific outcomes or events within a game that don’t necessarily relate to the final score or the point spread.

For example, a prop bet might ask whether a certain player will score a touchdown, how many yards a quarterback will throw for, or how many total sacks a defense will make. These bets can be a lot of fun, and they offer a way to engage with the game beyond just picking a winner or loser.

Prop bets can also be a great way to add some excitement to a game that you might not have a strong opinion on. For example, let’s say you’re watching a game between two teams that you don’t know much about.

You could place a prop bet on something like the over/under for the number of total points scored, and suddenly you have a reason to be invested in the game beyond just hoping for an exciting matchup.

One of the great things about prop bets is that they can be very specific, which can lead to some interesting and unusual wagers. For example, you might be able to bet on how long the national anthem will be before the game, or which player will be named the game’s MVP.

Understanding Prop Bet Odds

NFL prop bets odds are often listed as a moneyline. A moneyline is a simple way to display betting odds by showing which team or player is favored to win a particular event.

So, let’s say there’s a prop bet on whether the first play of the Super Bowl will be a pass or a run. The moneyline for a pass might be -120, which means you would need to bet $120 to win $100 if a pass is the first play. On the other hand, the moneyline for a run might be +110, which means you would win $110 if you bet $100 on a run being the first play.

The negative sign in front of the moneyline indicates the favorite, while the positive sign indicates the underdog. So in the above example, the pass is the favorite to be the first play.

Or let’s say you would like to place a prop bet on who will have the most passing yards during the season. A bookmaker might list the player prop odds for this as Tom Brady (-200), Patrick Mahomes (+300) and Josh Allen (+500). In this example, Tom Brady is the favorite, which means oddsmakers believe that he is the player that is the most likely to have the most passing yards during the season.

It’s important to note that the moneyline also represents the implied probability of an outcome. In the first example above, the implied probability of a pass being the first play is 54.55%, while the implied probability of a run being the first play is 47.62%.

Common Types of NFL Prop Bets

When it comes to betting on NFL props, it’s important to understand the different types of bets available to you. This can help you make more informed decisions when placing your bets. Additionally, it’s important to do your research and stay up-to-date on the latest news and information about the teams and players you are betting on. This can help you identify trends and patterns that may impact the outcome of the game and ultimately increase your chances of winning.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at some of the most common types of prop bets:

Player Props

These types of prop bets are centered around the performance of individual players. For example, you can bet on the number of passing yards a quarterback will throw in a game or the number of touchdowns a running back will score which is a commonly offered bet in the player prop market.

• Patrick Mahomes Over or Under 3.5 Touchdowns: Bookmakers have analyzed Patrick Mahomes’ past performance, the strength of his opponents, and other factors to predict that he will throw between 3-4 touchdowns.

Team Props

Team props are centered around the performance of the team as a whole. For example, you can bet on the number of total points a team will score in a game or the number of turnovers they will force.

• Los Angeles Rams Over or Under 10.5 Total Regular Season Wins: The Los Angeles Rams are expected to have between 10 and 11 total season wins based on their team strengths, head-to-head matchups and historical data.

Game Props

These types of prop bets are centered around specific events that may occur during a game. For example, you can bet on the outcome of the coin toss, the length of the National Anthem, or whether or not a specific player will score a touchdown.

• Total Points Scored in the Super Bowl Over or Under 56.5: For this example, oddsmakers have set the expected total points scored (combined) to be 56 to 57 points based on the various key metrics that they take into account when setting the betting lines.

Futures

Futures bets are centered around events that will happen in the future, such as who will win the Super Bowl or which player will win the MVP award.

• Super Bowl Champion — Kansas City Chiefs (+500): Oddsmakers have set the odds for the Kansas City Chiefs to be the outright winner of the Super Bowl. In this example, the odds are set at (+500), which means you would get 5 betting units in return for each betting unit wagered if they win.

How To Place NFL Prop Bets

Are you ready to place some NFL prop bets? It’s not as complicated as you might think. Here are some simple steps to get started:

1. Choose a top-rated sportsbook. Each of our featured online sportsbooks is reputable, has great promotional offers and offers competitive betting odds.
2. Find the NFL prop bets section. This might be under a separate tab or menu item, or it might be integrated with other NFL betting options.
3. Browse the available prop bets. You’ll typically find popular types of player prop bets and novelty props, such as total passing yards for a quarterback, the top touchdown scorer or total rush attempts for a running back. You may also find prop bets related to game outcomes, such as the first team to score or the total number of points scored in the game.
4. Make your selection and place your bet. Once you’ve found a prop bet (such as a player prop bet or a team prop bet) that interests you from the prop bet markets offered, select it and enter the amount you want to wager. Double-check your bet slip to ensure you’ve selected the correct bet and entered the correct amount.
5. Sit back and enjoy the game. If your prop bet wins, you’ll be paid out according to the betting lines offered by the sportsbook.