Why is nobody posting these plays??

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pete0

pete0

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Jan 24, 2023
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So I just looked at some of yesterday's CBB games..

1. Purdue @ 21. Indiana . . why tf is the line EV ?? obv. Indiana won.

25. Auburn @ No.2! Tennessee. (9.5) . Auburn just tlost by 3

4. Alabama -10.5 @ LSU .... obviously LSU covered.


on a Saturday... from a bookie's point of view. those lines made sense to trap more public $.


Is this just co incidence??
CBB experts. JDS, JJ, Superposition..... Weigh in please. :+clueless
 

pete0

pete0

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Jan 24, 2023
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2,005
also some1 once told me , blindly take home unranked teams. vs ranked road teams.

this cant be all gamblers fallacy , can it ??

cmmon guys. lets work together
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
35,044
So I just looked at some of yesterday's CBB games..

1. Purdue @ 21. Indiana . . why tf is the line EV ?? obv. Indiana won.

25. Auburn @ No.2! Tennessee. (9.5) . Auburn just tlost by 3

4. Alabama -10.5 @ LSU .... obviously LSU covered.


on a Saturday... from a bookie's point of view. those lines made sense to trap more public $.


Is this just co incidence??
CBB experts. JDS, JJ, Superposition..... Weigh in please. :+clueless
1st of all I’m no expert at any sport. This is the 1st week I have really put time into handicapping NCAAB. These trap lines are baity & they will hook you in. You forgot to mention Virginia +2 @ VT.

I fell for that one myself. This is the time of year the bookie will hang these lines more than ever so you have to be careful, & not get hooked. The bait is fresh & chummy.
 

JDS

JDS

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Dec 11, 2021
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35,044
Great thread to point out this inefficiency in the market right now. I mean it’s not full proof these games are not gonna win 100%, but they win more than they lose. For example San Jose State last night was a PK at home versus Wyoming. I took the bait on that one and I fortunately won, but not too many scenarios like that took place yesterday.
 

JDS

JDS

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Dec 11, 2021
Messages
35,044
Fordham +4.5 @ Richmond is fresh bait in the water. Richmond has dominated them at home in past years, so maybe that has something to do with this line, but Richmond has lost 4 straight and six against the spread. This smells like chum in the water to me. I’m passing on the game myself.
 

pete0

pete0

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Jan 24, 2023
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it a lot better in the long run to bet teams imo that is not in the spotlight in the college, but guys love betting the high profile type of games

true, but high profile games are the ones that get the most action and $ wise.

my point is that books arent trying to lose on that. its shaded for public $ to get on the probable wrong side.
 
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pete0

pete0

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Jan 24, 2023
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(NBA) Memphis Grizzlies -150 $30 to win $20
Pending


(NCAAB) Iona -320 $64 to win $20
Pending


(NCAAB) Richmond Spiders -190 $38 to win $20
Pending


so take Memphis , fade Iona, & take Richmond all ATS correct?
:sneaky:

Coach, call me.
 
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pete0

pete0

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Op....you need to post these types of threads pre game. We can all question why after the fact.

Ofc. just look at today's game.

NO.3 Houston (-11.5 !!) @ unranked Temple. is the only prime high profile game on a sunday.
What would u guess the books on leaning on ? Ofc. Temple to cover... so i'm just going to take them.

like it does not even matter what the spread is ... its still going to probably not cover. simply becuz most ppl at first glance would say , yea i like Houston.. they should beat em down.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
35,044
Ofc. just look at today's game.

NO.3 Houston (-11.5 !!) @ unranked Temple. is the only prime high profile game on a sunday.
What would u guess the books on leaning on ? Ofc. Temple to cover... so i'm just going to take them.

like it does not even matter what the spread is ... its still going to probably not cover. simply becuz most ppl at first glance would say , yea i like Houston.. they should beat em down.
Yeah I feel like the biggest liabilities in the sportsbooks those are the plays we need to find and play in the long run.
 
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