Service Plays - Thursday 7/15/21



Xander Schauffele Top 20 (+100) The Open Championship
Top 20 Finish FanDuel
Other than maybe Rahm there is nobody else that is consistently in the mix in every tournament he tees it up in. He finished T10 last week at the Scottish Open in his warmup for this week, following a T7 at the US Open and a T11 at the Memorial. He inexplicably missed the cut at the PGA and at the Players Championship this season, but besides that has been incredible. In 17 starts, he has finished inside the Top-20 14 times (82%)! He ranks 3rd in SG over the last three months averaging +2.18 per round behind only Rahm and Spieth and he ranks second over the last 12 months behind only Rahm. Considering Rahm is over -200 to finish Top 20, this seems like pretty damn good value to get the second best player over the last year for even money.
With DeChambeau, Matsuyama and now Rahm all clearing the major hurdle over the last year, Xander is clearly the tops of the “Best yet to win a major” rankings. It's only a matter of time for him to go all the way.
Line Parameter: 5% to -130.

D% Oosty over Fleetwood
Tournament Matchup
Oosty has been a fixture at the top of the major leaderboard, finishing Runner-Up at each of the last two, the US Open and the PGA Championship. Going back further, Oosty hasn't missed a cut in his last 11 starts with seven Top 20 finishes. Before that MC at the RSM Classic, he had made 20 consecutive cuts prior to that meaning he has missed one cut in his last 31 events worldwide. He has also made 14 straight cuts at the Majors with eight Top 20 finishes including five Top 10's.
Additionally, Oosty ranks 6th in Strokes Gained (SG) over the last 3 months averaging +1.99 per round.
Fleetwood on the other hand has been far from consistent. In his last nine starts, he has just two finishes inside the Top 20 with three missed cuts and his major results have been even more disappointing with a T50 at the US Open, MC at the PGA, and a T46 at the Masters. He ranks 59th in this field on SG over the last 3 months in the same category at Brandt Snedeker, Richard Bland, and Chris Kirk.
Louis won this event at St Andrews in 2010 and is a fantastic ball striker and should excel in the windy conditions this week.
Line Parameter: 4% to -175, 3% to -190



Justin Thomas -105 over Schauffele FULL TOURNEY (DU)
Dustin Johnson -125 over DeChambeau FULL TOURNEY (DU)
Westwood +100 over Casey FULL TOURNEY (DU)


Green Falcon Picks (of Green Pitch Sports)

Santos SP - Independiente
CONMEBOL - Copa Sudamericana, 00:15 CET (Jul 16) / 6:15 PM ET
2.5 Units: Independiente +0.5 -120

BMR Service Plays

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