KC Is The Square Side

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djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
968
Agree

On paper - it’s SF game to lose.

Everyone keeps pushing the narrative that KC has been here and won - they will be more comfortable and will be an advantage.

KC has not been the same this season - yes SF “struggled” to beat playoff opponents and KC breezed by theirs.

Means nothing - both teams have had 2 weeks to get ready and it will come down to a turnover or missed opportunity. I like SF to take advantage of these - SF even - SF is the play.

A lot of people got KC early +2.5 - even bought the half to +3. I wouldn’t be afraid going into the game with KC and points - but straight up play is SF.
 

castelion

castelion

Joined
Nov 1, 2021
Messages
91
The line opened 1.5 and moved early towards the Chiefs at 1. Within 24 hours it moved back to 1.5 and then it settled at 2. It's a very thin margin between 1.5 and 2. I think the line is right at 2 but there's every chance the people who originally nibbled at Chiefs +1.5 nibble again at +2 just before kickoff and the line moves closer to 1.5. I think the zero juice money line is 118 or 119. Pinnacle seem to be right on the edge of that for the Chiefs, (-133, +120). Looks like fair value. I wonder what they're seeing that others aren't.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
9,046
The line opened 1.5 and moved early towards the Chiefs at 1. Within 24 hours it moved back to 1.5 and then it settled at 2. It's a very thin margin between 1.5 and 2. I think the line is right at 2 but there's every chance the people who originally nibbled at Chiefs +1.5 nibble again at +2 just before kickoff and the line moves closer to 1.5. I think the zero juice money line is 118 or 119. Pinnacle seem to be right on the edge of that for the Chiefs, (-133, +120). Looks like fair value. I wonder what they're seeing that others aren't.

I took KC +2 (-101) and KC +119 here.

I know you get this, castelion, because win or lose, I'm betting the numbers, not a "side" or team like JJ says.

Hence my post...

 
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