Apx $2400 to win 2k on McD/Paul & Gauff

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biprob

biprob

Joined
Jan 22, 2022
Messages
1,005
Really risky considering both Garcia & Ostapenko ret. down a set with Wimb right around the corner but I don't see that happening with Paul or McD. Gauff should beat Keys so the +1.5 sets seems like a solid parlay piece. This would get me to exactly 7k but would go from $4523 down to $2145 if shit goes sideways.
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biprob

biprob

Joined
Jan 22, 2022
Messages
1,005
Jesus gauff lost 6-3 6-3

we got dooped. Keys a legit grass court player. We all wanna follow gauff but she under performs way too often against top 25 players
Just checked my balance rn..saw it was 2.1k & obv. figured both bets lost. Now I see the Paul match is rescheduled for tmrw & McDickhead was up a set & 4-1 double break just to WTA down his fukking leg. Seriously doubt he comes back from 2-5 in the 3rd. He was always a freeroll anyway & at least (80s WWF Reference 🦜)Coco B.Ware of betting on her against a non-scrub lost, to make that parlay meaningless....So I'm gonna need T. Pain to bail me out to at least break even so it could be worse. 😪
 

samsncharge99

samsncharge99

Joined
Sep 30, 2022
Messages
10,038
and going into tomorrow with Wimbledon starting monday who knows if Tommy will play or just withdraw and get ready to play monday. Having to play Semis and Finals or just withdraw

Iga withdrew for same reason. She claimed food poising but probably was like yea I'm good
 

biprob

biprob

Joined
Jan 22, 2022
Messages
1,005
Jesus gauff lost 6-3 6-3

we got dooped. Keys a legit grass court player. We all wanna follow gauff but she under performs way too often against top 25 players
Promised this girl I work with I'd make her a 10k Wimb double [Novak +]so who would you recommend based on this criteria?
1) not taking anyone below Jabeur for obvious reasons..all overpriced.
2)at this point it's between Keys & Jabeur (still the best grass court player when right)
3)Any recommendations besides those 2?
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biprob

biprob

Joined
Jan 22, 2022
Messages
1,005
and going into tomorrow with Wimbledon starting monday who knows if Tommy will play or just withdraw and get ready to play monday. Having to play Semis and Finals or just withdraw

Iga withdrew for same reason. She claimed food poising but probably was like yea I'm good
That's how out of the loop I am today..1st time hearing about Iga.
 

samsncharge99

samsncharge99

Joined
Sep 30, 2022
Messages
10,038
Promised this girl I work with I'd make her a 10k Wimb double [Novak +]so who would you recommend based on this criteria?
1) not taking anyone below Jabeur for obvious reasons..all overpriced.
2)at this point it's between Keys & Jabeur (still the best grass court player when right)
3)Any recommendations besides those 2?
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draw just came out this morning, I haven't fully analyzed yet to look at match ups and draw set ups. I don't like Keys though. Typically the winner of a tournament days before grand slam over hypes a player especially in this scenario.

Kvitova is a former Wimbledon champion and getting better every match, she is a decent shot at 10-1

Hate to say Ostapenko as well. Won 2 weeks ago and withdrew after tiebreaker in QF this week, but more than capable and former Wimbledon champ sitting 25-1.

Krejcikova former champion 29-1 is wild, and she randomly has weeks of greatness winning Doha I believe it was earlier this year, Masters 1000 on hard court. She will be favored in doubles for sure

Vecic way over priced, no chance. Muchova is over priced based on her losing in finals of French Open, but she played 0 grass court matches past 3 weeks, so she is coming in fresh fitness wise, but 0 grass matches.

Kvitova/Ostapenko would be long shots for me outside big 3
 

biprob

biprob

Joined
Jan 22, 2022
Messages
1,005
draw just came out this morning, I haven't fully analyzed yet to look at match ups and draw set ups. I don't like Keys though. Typically the winner of a tournament days before grand slam over hypes a player especially in this scenario.

Kvitova is a former Wimbledon champion and getting better every match, she is a decent shot at 10-1

Hate to say Ostapenko as well. Won 2 weeks ago and withdrew after tiebreaker in QF this week, but more than capable and former Wimbledon champ sitting 25-1.

Krejcikova former champion 29-1 is wild, and she randomly has weeks of greatness winning Doha I believe it was earlier this year, Masters 1000 on hard court. She will be favored in doubles for sure

Vecic way over priced, no chance. Muchova is over priced based on her losing in finals of French Open, but she played 0 grass court matches past 3 weeks, so she is coming in fresh fitness wise, but 0 grass matches.

Kvitova/Ostapenko would be long shots for me outside big 3
That's the thing, so many "somewhat" decent options to choose from, it all comes down to draw luck essentially. Unless it's Iga at the French, then it's just a giant guessing game.
Actually considering this since he's only down a break but would be relying heavily on Paul to break even & not lose 4k assuming MM most likely loses.
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biprob

biprob

Joined
Jan 22, 2022
Messages
1,005
draw just came out this morning, I haven't fully analyzed yet to look at match ups and draw set ups. I don't like Keys though. Typically the winner of a tournament days before grand slam over hypes a player especially in this scenario.

Kvitova is a former Wimbledon champion and getting better every match, she is a decent shot at 10-1

Hate to say Ostapenko as well. Won 2 weeks ago and withdrew after tiebreaker in QF this week, but more than capable and former Wimbledon champ sitting 25-1.

Krejcikova former champion 29-1 is wild, and she randomly has weeks of greatness winning Doha I believe it was earlier this year, Masters 1000 on hard court. She will be favored in doubles for sure

Vecic way over priced, no chance. Muchova is over priced based on her losing in finals of French Open, but she played 0 grass court matches past 3 weeks, so she is coming in fresh fitness wise, but 0 grass matches.

Kvitova/Ostapenko would be long shots for me outside big 3
Fukk it..all in [MM wins $8100, TP wins $4525, both $12,625, neither..reload time)

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biprob

biprob

Joined
Jan 22, 2022
Messages
1,005
damn, good luck. Sunday sucks because it's a complete day off

then 5am monday morning WIMBLEDON BEGINS!!!!
Appreciate it..he already broke him 5 times so obv. that's doable but he's gonna have to hold twice to get to 5-5 so that's no sure thing. You figure them restarting tmrw should benefit MM more than FC but who tf knows?
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biprob

biprob

Joined
Jan 22, 2022
Messages
1,005
Yea its weird with wimbledon 2 days away

mackie might quick hold. Quick lose. Move on
"Quick lose" is an understatement. Holy shit was that fucking pathetic..losing apx. $700 in less than a minute. Golden opportunity for Paul to avenge that loss to Cerundolo in the Finals assuming he doesn't pull a McDouchebag against Barrere.

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biprob

biprob

Joined
Jan 22, 2022
Messages
1,005
Hard to throw big money any longer on tennis matches so many things can go wrong and players are different today with more money and not as much incentive
Well said..figured Keys up 4-1 in the TB was safe & she just got there 15-13. Beyond pathetic. Wimb 1R parlays with Fritz, Jabeur, Keys & few others at decent sub -500 prices should be safe.
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