Tanko's First Pass on Week 1 CFB Plays

[Tanko]

I see quite a few games I like with the current odds. This is just a first pass on the card. Some bets are already placed. Likely some may drop off and some added as lines move.


> Illinois + 3 @ Indiana (BET)
> Mid Tenn +6.5 @ James Madison (BET)
> Boise St. +3 @ Oregon St. (PENDING This will likely become a ML play on Boise. I think they win outright).
> Cincinnati +6.5 @ Arkansas (PENDING)
> W. Virg @ Pitt -7 (PENDING - May buy down to 7)
> Arizona @ SD State -6 (PENDING)
> Texas State @ Nevada Pk (PENDING)
> Fla St @ LSU -2.5 (PENDING)

Give me your comments and tear up this list.
Good luck this week.

 

[Wagerallsports]

I hear everyone riding LSU

 

[Tanko]

Betting on Kelly having righted the ship and FSU being not so good, again.

 

[JDS]

I agree with the Illinois +3 & the Nevada Pk, the rest of the games I really have no opinion on.

 

[biggins]

Can’t say l have any of those plays the week is young. Check out the UNR line history dropped like a rock.

 

[biggins]

I’ve looked at the backyard brawl thinking under from article l posted.

https://www.bookmakersreview.com/forum/threads/west-virginia-pittsburgh.35588/

 

[JDS]

Tanko question for you. Do you think the team that played week 0 has a better advantage than the team that hasn’t played, or vice versa because they have 1 week of film on you ? I read on Twitter from 2007 teams that have played the week before they are 44% ATS.

 

[Tanko]

I’ve looked at the backyard brawl thinking under from article l posted.

https://www.bookmakersreview.com/forum/threads/west-virginia-pittsburgh.35588/

I'd agree with your write up Biggins.
I see Pitt running the ball well and Pitt D shutting down W. Virg. I think W. Virg is no where near Pitt's level right now.

 

[JDS]

Indiana has one of the lowest ranked offensive lines in the Big 10 & naturally Illinois will bring some pressure & create possible turnovers & long 3rd downs. I also love Chase Brown in the back field for Illinois to have a big game against a lower tier defense as well. I’m probably gonna play the ML on Illinois in-fact.

 

[Tanko]

Tanko question for you. Do you think the team that played week 0 has a better advantage than the team that hasn’t played, or vice versa because they have 1 week of film on you ? I read on Twitter from 2007 teams that have played the week before they are 44% ATS.

IMO It varies depending upon the matchup in the next week.

Illinois looked stout last week and they did what was expected massacring Wyoming.. I'd be surprise if they have a let down against Indiana. I love Indiana over the years but this year is going to be a down year for them. Besides "Fat Man" Bielema still needs to work on impressing his biggest fan... YOU.

Nevada played last week. They play Texas State this week. Texas State is bad. I mean bottom 10 bad. Maybe they will surprise me but until they do I like Nevada at home, especially as a pick-em.

 

[biggins]

I'd agree with your write up Biggins.
I see Pitt running the ball well and Pitt D shutting down W. Virg. I think W. Virg is no where near Pitt's level right now.

Well it’s not my write up. Just more copy and paste

 

[Tanko]

Indiana has one of the lowest ranked offensive lines in the Big 10 & naturally Illinois will bring some pressure & create possible turnovers & long 3rd downs. I also love Chase Brown in the back field for Illinois to have a big game against a lower tier defense as well. I’m probably gonna play the ML on Illinois in-fact.

I don't expect much from Indiana this year TBH. That's why I like the +3 with Illinois

 

[Tanko]

Well it’s not my write up. Just more copy and paste

Damn, Biggins. You should take credit. It sounded like an expert.

 

[Tanko]

I ended up placing these bets.

Thursday
> W. Virg @ Pitt -7 Thurs 7:00 ET

Friday
> Illinois +3 @ Indiana Fri 8:00 ET

Saturday
> Cincinnati +6.5 @ Arkansas Sat 3:30 ET
> Arizona @ SD State -6 Sat 3:30 ET
> Texas State @ Nevada Pk Sat 5:30 ET
> Mid Tenn +6.5 @ James Madison Sat 6:00 ET
> Boise St. +3 @ Oregon St. Sat 10:30 ET
> Boise St. ML Sat 10:30 ET

Sunday
> Fla St @ LSU -2.5 Sun 7:30 ET

 

[JDS]

I ended up placing these bets.

Thursday
> W. Virg @ Pitt -7 Thurs 7:00 ET

Friday
> Illinois +3 @ Indiana Fri 8:00 ET

Saturday
> Cincinnati +6.5 @ Arkansas Sat 3:30 ET
> Arizona @ SD State -6 Sat 3:30 ET
> Texas State @ Nevada Pk Sat 5:30 ET
> Mid Tenn +6.5 @ James Madison Sat 6:00 ET
> Boise St. +3 @ Oregon St. Sat 10:30 ET
> Boise St. ML Sat 10:30 ET

Sunday
> Fla St @ LSU -2.5 Sun 7:30 ET

Tanko with plenty of action this weekend. I guess I’ll announce my plays now & post them again in the next two threads.

1. Illinois +130
2. Houston -4 -108
3. Nevada -1 -108

 

[JDS]

Tanko with plenty of action this weekend. I guess I’ll announce my plays now & post them again in the next two threads.

1. Illinois +130
2. Houston -4 -108
3. Nevada -1 -108

I’ll have a write-up & analysis for these as I mentioned above.

 

[JDS]

Sorry wrong thread Tanko my bad lol. Meant to post this in the in-game thread.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Pitt threatening

 

[Tanko]

Pitt gets lucky and we get a push. Whew. That was close.
W. Virg is a much better team than I thought

 

[Wagerallsports]

GL today Tank