KC Is The Square Side

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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
8,962
I think the line is right at 2 but there's every chance the people who originally nibbled at Chiefs +1.5 nibble again at +2 just before kickoff and the line moves closer to 1.5.

Did you see how quick those 2.5s got snatched up?

The bookmakers are in a great position here as they can create action instead of just responding too it. They can move a line or even price to generate hefty action because of the game and tightness of the line. They are forcing everyone to gamble, with edges ever so slight.

The volume is huuuuuuuuge and so much of it on 2.

Would be a sick push.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
8,962
Did you see how quick those 2.5s got snatched up?

The bookmakers are in a great position here as they can create action instead of just responding too it. They can move a line or even price to generate hefty action because of the game and tightness of the line. They are forcing everyone to gamble, with edges ever so slight.

The volume is huuuuuuuuge and so much of it on 2.

Would be a sick push.

Seeing 1.5 and 2.5s out there. US showing 1.5 at DK and FD and even Caesaer's in NJ while pinny deals the 2.5.

Market just generating volume here.
 

castelion

castelion

Joined
Nov 1, 2021
Messages
91
Did you see how quick those 2.5s got snatched up?

The bookmakers are in a great position here as they can create action instead of just responding too it. They can move a line or even price to generate hefty action because of the game and tightness of the line. They are forcing everyone to gamble, with edges ever so slight.

The volume is huuuuuuuuge and so much of it on 2.

Would be a sick push.
I'm seeing Pinnacle at -2.5 49ers -104 Chiefs -106. Personally I think the line should be -2 49ers -103 Chiefs -107, so i'm a little surprised. A 1.5 -116 -104 line normally switches to -2 -110 -110 so it's a very small window. On a game like this I wouldn't want that Push option. I'd rather lay the lopsided line. That books don't suggests they want Chiefs money and don't want 49ers money - and they prefer it even if they end up with a Push. Most of the preseason money would have been on the Eagles and Chiefs, but the 49ers were 3rd favourites. There is a slight element of using the line to even up any lopsided preseason liabilities but this isn't a match-up that would suggest lopsided liabilities. I'd be expecting the public to bet the Chiefs.

However, NFL lines historically have been much more efficient at kickoff than they are 2 or 3 days before kickoff. I'm a bit wary when my line predictions are off. At 2.5 I definitely like the Chiefs.

I never bet US Over/Unders because I figure everyone else has better information than me. I'm always going to see game conditions and injuries later than everyone because i'm not in the US. I would have taken the mid-week Over 47.5. Not my market strength. The defenses are good but I think the offenses are better.

Good luck to you and everyone else with their bets.
 
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flyingillini

flyingillini

Joined
Jul 25, 2022
Messages
11,453
It is like the word "tremendous" any poster ever using that word needs to pay homage to Landers, he created that word in forumville and it must be respected and give him the credit.
 
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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
8,962
If SF comes out and ties the game up, we got a game, if they get stopped, the 49ers pull away. God Bless to all and congrats to the winners.

okay-wedding-gif.551612
 
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