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Vice Presidential Debate Betting Odds: Walz vs. Vance Prop Bets

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Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are set to meet for their first and only Vice Presidential debate this evening on CBS News. Election betting sites have released dozens of prop bets on tonight’s debate.

Before we dig into the prop bets on offer, here’s a quick breakdown of the debate format and how sportsbooks will grade debate prop bets.

Vice Presidential Debate Format

  • The debate will run for 90-minutes and begin at 9PM ET. 
  • Microphones will remain on, though CBS moderators reserve the right to mute either microphone at their discretion.
  • No pre-written notes allowed
  • No audience
  • No opening statements

Walz vs Vance: How Sportsbooks Will Grade the Debate

According to the rules for this wager at BetOnline, the winner must be decided by a CBS-affiliated poll; should one not be provided, BetOnline will turn to YouGov and/or Ipsos for an answer.

This is fairly standard operating procedure at the online politics betting sites. It was much the same for the Harris-Trump debate on ABC; most books wanted either ABC themselves or their FiveThirtyEight affiliate to declare the winner – which they eventually did after a few days.

Vice Presidential Debate Props at BetOnline

The following Vice Presidential debate prop bets are currently available at BetOnline.

Debate Winner

Tim Walz-225
J.D. Vance+165

Walz has seen his VP debate odds improve from –200 at the open; if Vance follows Trump’s playbook and talking points from the September 10 presidential debate, he’s just as likely to lose – a price the GOP is more than willing to pay if it gets them back into the White House.

Total Mentions

Biden Over 9.5 -120Under 9.5 -120
Kamala/Harris Over 17.5 -200Under 17.5 +140
Putin Over 5.5 -120Under 5.5 -120
Trump Over 17.5 -120Under 12.5 -120

Vance will no doubt spend much of his time trying to yoke the Harris-Walz ticket to Biden, just like he did back in 2022 when he debated Tim Ryan (D) as they fought to replace retiring Ohio Senator Rob Portman.

Walz could also try to link Vance and Trump (and Putin), but the Democrats have taken a somewhat sunnier stance in their public speaking since Harris replaced Biden at the top of the ticket, running their campaign on what some refer to as “vibes”.

False/Misleading Claims as per CBS

Over 7.5 Claims-200
Under 7.5 Claims-150

Most Speaking Time

Tim Walz-120
J.D. Vance-120

It’s the added chatter that will presumably determine the winner of this debate prop.

Most Mentions

China+150
Ukraine+250
Russia+375
Israel+500
Mexico+1000

Timing is everything; Ukraine is a hot topic right now with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in New York to visit the U.N. General Assembly, but that ends September 30, so Ukraine might be less of a target for Vance the following night.

China was also a more frequent buzzword when the Republicans were focussing more on the economy; the People’s Republic will probably take some flak during this debate, but maybe not as much now that the GOP has leaned into immigration and crime.

First Candidate to Say:

Cat/CatsWalz -400Vance +250
Gun/GunsWalz -150Vance +110
Artificial Intelligence/AIWalz +110Vance -150

I’d personally be surprised if Walz didn’t mention the “Haitians eating cats” thing, or if Vance brought it up willingly to get ahead of Walz.

As for guns, part of Walz’ Midwestern appeal is that he’s a gun owner, and he likes to bring it up to assuage any fears about gun control legislation.

Artificial intelligence is a much drier topic that I doubt Vance cares to discuss much, aside from de-regulation of AI companies as a sop to Elon Musk.

Candidates to Shake Hands?

Yes-900
No+500

If Harris was willing to march over and shake Trump’s hand, I expect Walz to do the same – and while it’s possible, I doubt Vance would refuse the handshake.

Color of Candidates’ Suits

Color of J.D. Vance’s SuitColor of Tim Walz’s Suit
Blue -125Blue +100
Black +200Black +200
Grey +475Grey +450
Any other +950Any other +600

It’s the first rule of men’s wear: Always wear a blue suit if you want to command respect. Dark grey is a fine choice when you need to mix things up, but the most important election race in the world isn’t the time or place to go off-script.

Walz wore blue during his debates in Minnesota versus Jeff Johnson and Dr. Scott Jensen; two years ago, Vance wore blue in Ohio while debating Ryan. Bet accordingly.

Vice Presidential Debate Props at Bovada

The following Vance vs. Walz prop bets are available at popular offshore sportsbook Bovada.

Who Will Win the Debate According to Polls?

Tim Waltz -250
J.D Vance+185

JD Vance Tie Color

Blue-1800
Red+1000
Brown+1500
Green+1500
Purple/Pink+1500
Silver/Grey+1500
Yellow+2500
Orange/Peach+3000
Black+4000
White/Cream+4000
No Tie+4000

Tim Walz Tie Color

Blue-1800
Red+1000
Brown+1500
Green+1500
Purple/Pink+1500
Silver/Grey+1500
Yellow+2500
Orange/Peach+3000
Black+4000
White/Cream+4000
No Tie+4000

1st State Mentioned

Minnesota+165
California+400
Pennsylvania+400
Kentucky+600
New York+600
Florida+1200
Georgia+1200
Michigan+1200
Nevada+1200
North Carolina+1200
Wisconsin+1200
Arizona+1500

Ohio To Be First State Mentioned

Yes+400
No-650

To Be Said By JD Vance

Fentanyl-1000
Illegal alien-850
Trump 20+ times-550
MAGA/Make America great again-200
Radical left-200
Weird-200
Kamal Harris 30+ times-185
IVF-170
Trump 30+ times-170
Institutions of our society+100
White working class+100
Trans+105
Childless left+150
Tampon+160
Haitian+190
Cat+220
Catholic+250
Childless cat ladies+250
The vice president doesn’t/does not matter+250
Hillbily+300
Political prisoners+300
Stolen Valor+300
De-woke-ification+400
Rig/Rigged+400
Stolen election+400
Diet Mountain Dew+800
Never Trump+1000
Repent+2000
The devil is real+2000

To Be Said By Tim Walz

Opportunity economy-5000
Project 2025-2500
Tax breaks-2000
Small businesses-1500
Kamala Harris 15+ times-600
Concept-400
Trump 20+ times-300
Moral values-250
Neighbors-200
Yale-195
Just weird-150
Take care of our troops-150
Prosperous future-125
Trust women-125
Venture Capitalist-120
Kamala Harris 30+ times+100
Trump 30+ times+100
Marines+125
Dog+140
High school coach+175
Abortion 5+ times+185
Haitian+185
Abortion is health care+200
When unions are strong, America is strong+250
Eating pets+300
Racist+300
Tampon+300
Get off the couch+950

To Be Said by Tim Walz – Parlay

“Cat” & “Couch”+1200

Debate Specials – Propositions

An insect to land on either candidate’s head+4000
Either candidate to trip and fall on the debate stage+3000

Vice Presidential Debate Props at BookMaker

The following Vance vs. Walz prop bets are available at popular offshore sportsbook BookMaker.

Will Vance and Walz Shake Hands?

Yes-1850
No+841

Which Candidate Will Say Their Home State First?

Tim Walz (Minnesota)-110
J.D. Vance (Ohio)-120

Will Tim Walz Say “Threat to Democracy”?

Yes+345
No-490

Amount of Times J.D. Vance Says “Border”

Over 6.5-237
Under 6.5+185

Amount of Times Either Candidate Says “Weird”

Over 1.5+154
Under 1.5-204

Will J.D. Vance Say…?

“Rigged”Yes +634No -1132
“Tampon”Yes +278No -377

Will Either Candidate Say…?

“Cats”Yes +263No -353
“Geese”Yes +815No -1742
“Ducks”Yes +625No -1105
“Hillbilly”Yes +524No -849

Which Candidate Will Say… First?

“China”Tim Walz +228J.D. Vance -300
“Kamala”Tim Walz +194J.D. Vance -250
“Trump”Tim Walz -130J.D. Vance +100

Will There Be Another Debate?

Maybe. At press time, Bovada (visit our Bovada Review) has odds of +295 that Harris and Trump will debate a total of two times, +1200 for exactly three debates, and +4500 for four or more. Odds for a second VP debate are off the board.

What About a Musk-Cuban Debate?

But there’s more where that came from. On Monday, investor and Dallas Mavericks minority owner Mark Cuban extended an invitation to fellow billionaire Elon Musk to engage in a “direct discussion” about Kamala Harris and her tax policies. This was after Musk shared a post on his X platform (formerly Twitter) that was critical of Cuban, who advocates for higher taxes on American’s top earners.

Back in January, Cuban challenged Musk and any other bigwig CEO who wanted to touch verbal gloves over DEI (Diversity, Equity, Inclusion) hires. They’ve traded jabs online like this multiple times, but will this blossom into a full-grown TV debate?

Probably not – but if it does, Cuban is expected to win in a cakewalk. BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) has Cuban as the -800 favorite in this hypothetical matchup, well ahead of Musk at +425; however, “No” is priced at -2500 for whether they’ll debate on television by the end of 2024. “Yes” is a distant +800.

While we wait for these titans of industry to throw down, Walz and Vance are preparing for what might be the last significant battle of the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Keep it locked in with us at Bookmakers Review for more politics odds and analysis as the countdown to November 5 continues.

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