Tottenham Hotspur are sweating on the fitness of Harry Kane ahead of their Champions League clash against Real Madrid on Wednesday. As for us, we rather hope he misses out because a confirmed absence makes the holders a stonking bet for the win.
Real are probably a decent bet at +115 (Unibet) even if Kane does recover from a hamstring injury. The Spanish side had a wake-up call last time out in the league against Girona so they will be chomping at the bit – only twice last season did they lose back-to-back matches.
Tottenham had a wake-up call of their own. It was far more of a rude awakening, though. The 1-0 loss to Manchester United with Kane watching on the sidelines was a reminder of how far Spurs still need to improve to really break into the Big Boys playground.
Without their talisman, they looked toothless and lacking strength in dept. A one-man team? No. But boy did they miss Kane’s ability to pick a pass, link up play and, of course, his goal threat.
We profited from United’s win and Tottenham’s failure to score – both tipped on these pages – so naturally, we are inclined to go in again with a goalless loss. Real are +390 (Unibet again) to win to nil. Find More Top Bookmakers Here
The size of hole that Kane leaves behind is revealed below in Tottenham’s Premier League record with and without Kane when Mauricio Pochettino has been in charge. Their win percentage drops alarmingly with him absent – a massive 20 per cent swing. The number of goals as you would expect are also down.
And against the best of the best, they fare even worse. It’s now one victory in five against top-six rivals under Pochettino. Real will be licking their lips at this stat considering they would comfortably be considered superior to any EPL outfit.
Just in case we have misread things – not to mention if Kane plays – we will have a small saver on a 2-1 Real win at +900 with 10Bet.
Cristiano Ronaldo is -110 (Unibet) to notch a goal at any time. He is overdue having failed to score in his last two appearances. He hasn’t gone three games without scoring since the 2015-16 campaign so he is value to score.
Tottenham with Kane
- Games 111
- Win percentage 58.6
- Points per game 2
- Goals scored per game 2
- Goals conceded per game 1
- Shots per game 12
Tottenham without Kane
- Games 13
- Win percentage 38.4
- Points per game 1.8
- Goals scored per game 1.8
- Goals conceded per game 1
- Shots per game 12