For sports bettors, a wild time of year with college and pro football, the NBA, NHL, and the Baseball Playoffs. That’s a lot to keep track of and we are doing our best to help by breaking down all sorts of betting information designed to inform and add tidbits of fun as you will see. Good luck this weekend and enjoy yourself.
About Last Night…
MLB Playoffs
The New York Yankees continue to be a one-trick pony. Though both runs New York scored in losing 3-2 to Houston were not home runs, they have now played nine straight games in which they had six or fewer hits.
The Pinstripes are back in action down 0-2 to Houston. Maybe the Yanks can turn it around, but there is this nugget.
NFL
Al Michaels and Kirk Herbstreit finally got to talk about touchdowns on a Thursday night with Arizona winning 42-34 over New Orleans. The Saints as 2.5-point underdogs out-gained the Cardinals by 168 yards, but three Andy Dalton picks did them in.
NCAAF
Virginia committed four sloppy turnovers but dominated the line of scrimmage against Georgia Tech on the road (410-206 yardage difference) to win 16-9 as 3.5-point road underdogs. In truth, the Cavaliers should have won by 14 or more.
Also, in a good game few witnessed, Troy (+2.5) went on the road and hung on to beat South Alabama 10-6. The Trojans now control the destiny to reach the Sun Belt title game and are an excellent defense squad.
NBA
With no Khris Middleton or Pat Connaughton, Milwaukee (+4.5) didn’t look like they had enough offense to stay with Philadelphia. That was true in scoring only 90 points, yet the Bucks had more than enough defense and held the Sixers to 88 for the two-point triumph.
Trendy Talk
MLB
- Joe Musgrove and the Padres are 7-0 in road games after giving up two or less earned runs in his last two outings this season.
- Houston is 37-14 Under vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season.
NFL
- Carolina is 2-13 ATS vs. teams with a completion percentage of 61% or higher.
- Cleveland is 2-11 ATS versus teams allowing 5.65 or more yards a play.
- Atlanta is 6-0 ATS this season, all as an underdog.
- NY Jets are 4-13 ATS after two straight wins by 10 or more points.
- Kansas City is 15-5 ATS after allowing 375 or more total yards in three consecutive games.
- NY Giants are 17-4 Under when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points the last three seasons.
- Seattle is 11-1 Over off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog.
- Dallas is 28-10 Over at home vs. teams averaging 260 or more passing yards.
- Pittsburgh is 23-5 Under in road games against teams who force one or less turnovers
NCAAF
- UAB is 0-7 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards in two consecutive games.
- Oregon State is 9-0 ATS at home the last two seasons.
- Alabama is 11-1 ATS after allowing 24 points or more in the first half of the last game.
- Army is 0-8 ATS vs. defenses allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse.
- Missouri is 11-1 ATS at home versus defensive teams allowing 6.25 or more yards a play.
- Rice is 10-0 Over after one or more straight-up losses.
- Indiana is 10-0 Over after playing a game at home.
- Oklahoma ST is 48-14 Over at home vs. teams scoring 31 or more points a game.
- Syracuse is 16-3 Under after two consecutive covers as a favorite.
NBA
- Brooklyn is 3-17 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less.
- New York is 4-16 ATS at home playing against a team with a winning record the last two seasons.
- Denver is 23-11 Over when the total is 220 to 229.5.
NHL
- Florida is 17-0 ATS in home games off a home win scoring four or more goals.
- Colorado is 8-1 Over after three or more consecutive Overs.
BMR’s Betting Pulse
NFL
Among the key games for Week 7 is the Chiefs at the 49ers. We also have our Best Bets, one team on Upset Alert, Last Chance Value Picks and the Sunday Night matchup.
NCAAF
We have college football Friday night which leads into another great Saturday of gridiron action. We hone in on Miss. State vs. Alabama, UCLA vs. Oregon, and Syracuse vs. Clemson plus a vast amount of other important matchups for Week 8. Finally, we have our Best Bets and Last Chance Value Picks.
MLB
The American League and National Leagues series switch venues for the weekend and we have several free MLB picks for your viewing on all the action.
NBA
It’s the first full weekend in The Association and we are releasing ATS, Moneyline and Total picks, along with Sunday’s Suns vs Clippers clash.
NHL
Hockey bettors, review our Top Player Props daily.
Soccer
We have English Premier League Matchday 13, 2022 World Cup Group D Full Breakdown, Soccer Parlay, and this Weekend’s Best European Soccer Bets!
UFC
Check out UFC 280 Parlay and other top news, along with UFC Vegas 63 Main Event First Look Kattar vs. Allen.
The Buzz
NFL – San Francisco Means Business
The one thing San Fran GM John Lynch has always shown, he wants to win. Making the trade for running back Christian McCaffrey was a decisive move and gives the 49ers one of the most versatile offenses in the NFL.
Keeping McCaffrey healthy will not be simple given the last two years, but if he is, the Niners look ready when they get their other starters back on the field.
At Bovada (visit our Bovada Review), the Niners fell from -1800 to -1400 futures betting odds to win the Super Bowl. (5th overall)
MLB Playoffs – Jose Can You See…
Houston’s Jose Altuve is now the record holder going without a hit at 0-23 in the postseason. The Astros are 5-0 in the playoffs despite Altuve’s horrific slump. Imagine what Houston could do if he starts hitting.
World Cup Soccer – What Could Go Wrong
According to Front Office Sports, Qatar’s government will require all World Cup visitors to download data-tracking apps on their phones.
Maybe it’s nothing but this sounds nefarious.
Football Focus
NCAAF
A Nice Throwback Friday with Lee Corso.
NCAAF Biggest Line Moves – Updated 10/21
- Kansas State +6 to +3.5 vs. TCU – No movement and all bets are essentially 50-50.
- Louisville Pick to -2.5 over Pittsburgh – Another stationary adjustment with the money on Louisville (55%) and bets on Pittsburgh (55%).
- LSU Pick to -2 over Mississippi – The Tigers backed up to -1.5, with 65% of wagers on Ole Miss.
- Texas Tech -3.5 to -7 over West Virginia – Red Raiders down to -6, though the money and bets are in the 80s percentile.
- Rice/Louisiana Tech Total 61.5 to 57.5 – Fascinating 80% of the cash is backing the Over.
- Notre Dame -23.5 to -26 over UNLV – 60% of money on the Rebels.
- Boise State +4 to +1 vs. Air Force – 90% percent of cash on Broncos.
- Houston/Navy Total 53.5 to 50 – 75% of bets placed on the Over.
- North Texas/UTSA Total 69 to 72.5 – Rising daily and 80% of money Over. (60% of bets Over)
Top 5 Bets Placed by Percentage (highest first) (11-24 record) – Boise State, Maryland, Texas Tech, Miami-FL., and Colo. State
Top 5 Bets Placed by Money (highest first) (15-18-2 record) – Texas Tech, Wake Forest, UTEP, UCLA, and Oregon State
Top 5 Totals Bets by Percentage (highest first) (19-15-1 record) – Kansas/Baylor Over, Vanderbilt/Missouri Under, Miss. State/Alabama Over, Rice/Louis. Tech Over and Western Mich./Miami-O Under
NFL Biggest Line Moves – Update 10/21
- Buccaneers -9.5 to -11 over Panthers – Up to -13 with no McCaffrey. 90% of cash on TB.
- Chiefs -1 to -3 over 49ers – K.C. slipped to -1.5 facing McCaffrey. Cash and bets at 80% on Chiefs.
- Patriots -6 to -9 over Bears – Bouncing around -8 to -9 with 90% backing on New England.
- Falcons/Bengals Total 43.5 to 47 – 90% are pounding the Over.
- Texans/Raiders Total 42 to 46 – A full 90% of the money on the Over.
NFL Top 3 Bets Placed by Percentage (highest first) (7-10-1 record) – Patriots, Raiders and Ravens
NFL Top 3 Totals Bets by Percentage (highest first) (6-12 record) – Falcons/Bengals Over, Texans/Raiders Over and Seahawks/Chargers Over
Out the Door
Soccer – When Things Just Are Not Going Your Way
Using your feet for soccer.
NFL – Packers Looking for a Pass Catcher
Rumors are flying that the Green Bay Packers are interested in wide receivers D.J. Moore and Chase Claypool. The Steelers receiver makes more sense as his contract fits more with the Packers. They need to do something.
Who is Right?
On Friday night in the NBA, New Orleans visits Charlotte. Both are off impressive opening-game victories. The total has plummeted from 231 to 226.5 and 84% of the money on the Under is driving the market. Yet, as of 02:30 EDT, 70% of wagers made were still on the Over. Who do you think is correct?
Let’s get some winners! Have an awesome weekend and see you back here Monday.
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