Totals in the Lone Star State Among NCAAF Week 8 Best Bets

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Two of the best college football bets for Week 8 can be found in the Lone Star State where first place is on the line in the Big 12 and Conference USA in a couple of crucial battles.

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North Texas Mean Green vs. UTSA Roadrunners

Saturday, October 22, 2022 – 03:30 PM EDT at Alamodome

San Antonio is always a great place to visit. Between the Riverwalk and old Spanish missions, there’s plenty to do.

Whether or not it’s a great place for the North Texas Mean Green to visit and take on the UTSA Roadrunners this Saturday, that remains to be seen.

A potential preview of the Conference USA Championship is on tap at the Alamodome where North Texas and UTSA each bring 3-0 league marks into the matchup, and it holds the promise of a high-scoring affair with one of the highest Week 8 totals.

Week 7 Wins Set Up Showdown

Seth Littrell brings the Mean Green to San Antonio off their eighth consecutive CUSA win.

North Texas literally ran away with a 45-27 decision at home against Louisiana Tech, rushing for 475 yards and totaling 671 yards of offense. The NCAAF odds favored the Mean Green by 6½.

Jeff Traylor’s Roadrunners also enjoyed an easy Week 7 win. On the road for a Friday evening clash with Florida International, UTSA started slow before getting the offense going for a 30-10 final.

The win came up about 2 touchdowns short of the 33½-point spread.

Productive Offenses, Porous Defenses

High-octane offenses have the two among the top-scoring teams in the country.

The Roadrunners (36.3 ppg) rank 27th and the Mean Green (36.1 ppg) are 28th. They are also to 20 nationally in total yards produced per game.

But it’s the inability to keep opponents out of the end zones that have also contributed to North Texas and UTSA both sitting 5-2 over/under at the top-rated sportsbooks, with the Roadrunners 82nd allowing 29.7 PPG and the Mean Green 118th giving up 35.0 a game.

Over and Out

This is still a developing rivalry with Saturday marking the 10th meeting between the schools.

North Texas is 5-4 after winning last year up in Denton, and home teams have won seven of the nine.

I like the Roadrunners to continue that trend, but I like the final going over even more.

NCAAF Pick: Over 71 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Over 71 (-108)
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Kansas State Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs

Saturday, October 22, 2022 - 08:00 PM EDT at Amon G. Carter Stadium

Kansas State and TCU first played 100 years ago, and yet the Wildcats and Horned Frogs are also in the developing stage of their rivalry with 10 of their 15 previous matchups taking place since 2012.

Unlike North Texas and UTSA, however, the Wildcats and Horned Frogs present two distinct styles of play with Kansas State among the statistical leaders on defense and TCU sporting one of the nation’s top offenses.

Both Teams Have Been Good Covers

Those differences have produced opposite results in the totals column where the Wildcats are running 2-4 over/under and the Horned Frogs are 4-2 over/under, and that has led to a scoreboard target of 58-58½ for Saturday night.

Both sides have been good at bringing home the cheddar on spread bets with 4-1-1 ATS records, and BetOnline is carrying TCU -3½ after the Horned Frogs were sent out -5.

K-State Rested After Bye Week

Chris Klieman and Kansas State took last week off following a narrow 10-9 victory at Iowa State.

A field goal midway through the fourth quarter lifted the Wildcats who were 1-point road chalk. The defensive struggle never even sniffed a 45-point total.

After watching his team fall behind early at home to Oklahoma State, Sonny Dykes watched his Horned Frogs stage one of their biggest comebacks as Max Duggan directed a 43-40 double-overtime triumph that saw TCU run up over 500 yards of offense.

Windy Evening in Cowtown Forecast

Mother Nature appears intent on being part of a game that is crucial to the Big 12 standings. A warm afternoon will give way to temps in the upper-70s at kickoff.

The skies will be clear, but there is also a 17-22 mph wind from the south, and that could swirl inside The Carter.

Playing the Series Trend

Kansas State has won the last three, and covered the last four. The Wildcats were underdogs in three of those covers. They have also won two of the last three games played in Ft. Worth.

An even stronger trend in the rivalry can be found in the final scores: each of the last six meetings came up short on the totals. That’s the direction with my college football pick for this collision as well.

NCAAF Pick: Under 55½ (-108) at Heritage Sports

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Under 55½ (-108)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.