Read on for this week’s EPL Matchday 13 betting advice, soccer analysis, and free soccer picks for the weekend fixtures involving Manchester United, Chelsea, Manchester City, and Brighton.
- English Premier League betting record 2022/23: 9-11
- Units Profit: -2.45u
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Saturday, October 22, 2022 – 10:00 AM EDT at Etihad Stadium
Premier League Trends
- Man City has won 12 consecutive home games in all competitions.
- Man City are unbeaten in 44 of their previous 49 games in all competitions.
- Over 2.5 goals have landed in 4 of Brighton’s previous 6 games in all competitions.
- Over 3.5 goals have landed in Man City’s previous 6 games.
Every Fixture Is Crucial
Manchester City is currently scoring goals at an unfathomable rate, but this hasn’t prevented Arsenal from gaining a 4-point lead at the top of the Premier League table.
Last weekend, Pep Guardiola’s formidable XI suffered their first domestic defeat, as Liverpool celebrated a 1-0 success over their title-chasing rivals.
With seven fixtures lined up before the World Cup, Guardiola’s schedule isn’t becoming any easier, but dropping points to mid-table teams like Brighton won’t be acceptable for the Spanish coach.
Success on Saturday would see the Citizens achieve 10 consecutive home victories, three shy of breaking the all-time record held by the Aston Villa squad of 1931. That said, breaking records isn’t essential; winning on home turf to avoid gifting Arsenal a potential 7-point lead is all that will be on the mind of Manchester City.
Where Are the Goals
Since a goal-filled meeting with Liverpool during the first week of October, goals for Brighton have dried up, and Roberto De Zerbi has witnessed his team drop outside of a top-five position in the standings they owned for most of August and September.
History isn’t favoring the Seagulls, who’ve lost 10 of their previous 12 trips to Manchester City, scoring a mere two goals during those encounters
Pick and Prediction
The available EPL odds at Bookmakers Review supply a -500 moneyline on the home side, a position we can’t justify as long-term bettors.
Even a -1 handicap is showing -169 odds, proving how fearful the top-rated sportsbooks are of Man City this term.
Following their first-season loss last weekend, we should expect Guardiola’s men to fire from all angles. For this reason, plus money on the home team to win both halves is the only significant betting value I’m happy with betting.
Score Prediction: Man City 3 - Brighton & Hove Albion 0
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC
Saturday, October 22, 2022 - 12:30 PM EDT at Stamford Bridge
Premier League Trends
- Manchester United has kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive meetings.
- Manchester United have scored at least 2 goals in their previous 4 away games.
- Chelsea is unbeaten at half-time in 23 consecutive EPL home fixtures.
- Chelsea is undefeated in 11 consecutive home games in all competitions.
Respectable Home Form
Top six clubs, Manchester United and Chelsea, will meet at Stamford Bridge this weekend. And with a bounce back in form following the dismissal of Thomas Tuchel, the Blues are back in title contention under the tutelage of Graham Potter.
Failing to overcome Brentford in a midweek bore draw won’t dishearten Potter too much, as the newly arrived managed has only suffered one defeat since taking over, and his squad is comfortably sat in fourth place of the division.
That said, Saturday’s meeting with United will determine who will take the fourth-place position, as the Red Devils are just one point behind their old rivals in fifth. Unless Newcastle in sixth place find success against Tottenham, and these teams draw, of course.
Solid on Their Travels
Ten Hag’s men are fresh from a dominating victory over Tottenham Hotspur, which could have been their best performance under the new manager.
If this is a sign of things to come, the Red Devils will be thrust into the title picture, despite the crybaby antics displayed by Cristiano Ronaldo, who left for the locker room before the final whistle last weekend.
Whether Ronaldo is happy or not, this hasn’t stopped United from winning four consecutive games in all tournaments.
Chelsea boasts an impressive clean sheet record, but the Red Devils have notably been finding goals on the road, scoring at least 2 from their last 4 away games.
Pick and Prediction
The available EPL odds at Bookmakers Review supply plus money on either side, but we expect this encounter to be tight.
With a lot at stake, including bragging rights, we believe the under 2.5 goals market is a safe wager to place.
Score Prediction: Chelsea 1 - Manchester United 1
Soccer Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (-111) [1.11u wager returns 1u] at Everygame
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.