Top UFC Pick: Jamahal Hill ML (+110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)
The UFC prepares for a momentous occasion this Saturday in Las Vegas with a landmark 300th PPV scheduled. Light heavyweight gold is up for grabs in the evening’s main event, and we’re covering all your betting needs with insights from the top-rated sportsbooks.
Read on for our complete betting guide with an early preview of the UFC 300 main event clash between Alex Pereira and Jamahal Hill, including updated UFC odds and our free expert UFC first look betting picks, predictions and analysis.
And you’re still looking for more picks, check out our YouTube channel. This time, our expert analyzed two additional bouts with great value: Aleksandar Rakic vs. Jiri Prochazka and Calvin Kattar vs. Aljamain Sterling.
UFC 300 Information
- When: Saturday, April 13, 2024 – 06:00 PM ET
- Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
- Scheduled Bouts: 13
- Main Event: Alex Pereira vs. Jamahal Hill
- Moneyline Probability: Pereira – 20.4% (-128) Hill – 82% (+110)
UFC 300 Main Event: Pereira vs. Hill
Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Alex “Poatan” Pereira
Three years, seven fights, and four knockout victories later, Alex Pereira has defied the odds and lifted championships in two weight classes. Two division champions aren’t new to the promotion. Still, accomplishing this feat, something that only eight other fighters in UFC history have, in such a short time span with limited pro-MMA experience, is truly remarkable.
Now, on the grandest stage in the company’s history, “Poatan” looks to exert his dominance even further by defending the light heavyweight strap he won last November in a battle of the KO artists versus a former champion in Jamahal Hill.
Pereira Best ML Odds: -128 at BetOnline
Jamahal “Sweet Dreams” Hill
Hill, 32, presents an almost identical path to the top rankings as his weekend opponent. In just eight fights for the UFC, he smashed his way through the opposition and collected four knockout victories en route to defeating Glover Teixeira for the coveted title.
Unfortunately, injury woes plagued Hill, and his title reign was cut short after he relinquished the belt in Q1 of 2023. But with a desire to reestablish himself as the top light heavyweight on the planet, his first fight back will gift him an opportunity to reclaim the championship he never lost.
Hill Best ML Odds: +110 at Bovada
UFC 300: Tale of the Tape
UFC 300 Skillset Analysis: Styles Make Fights
Excellent rhythm, smooth combinations, varied striking offense, and power that can be generated from little effort. Pereira’s kickboxing background has undoubtedly assisted him, and watching his lateral movement behind almost perfect timing on his strikes at range is a beautiful sight.
We can almost guarantee there won’t be much, if any, grappling or wrestling in this contest. While Hill can often strike from afar, his chin up, good cardio, sheer athleticism, speed, and power have assisted a respectable takedown defense that’s seen him punish 90% of his UFC opponents to date.
Hill can sometimes act like a man possessed when he fires his strikes, and honestly, defensive concerns in these moments are a huge red flag when faced with Pereira's striking excellence.
Skill for skill, in what we expect should be a striking contest, there’s no denying that Pereira is the more talented of the two. However, Hill's aggression and willingness to go all out are a scary prospect for the older, more vulnerable chin that Pereira presents.
The UFC 300 Best Bet Formula
The UFC odds have placed Hill as a slight +110 underdog, while Pereira sits with a small bit of juice at -128. These MMA betting odds prove how challenging this fight is to predict, so taking the value side unthinkingly isn’t the worst idea.
In a kickboxing battle where two huge men with fight-ending power will be head-hunting to deem one another unconscious, I’ll take Hill's durability, athleticism, and untested chin as opposed to a fighter in Pereira who’s very hittable despite his respected skillset and has also proven that knocking him out, even by a 185-pound fighter, is possible. Therefore, our top betting pick for this match is Hill.
UFC Pick: Jamahal Hill ML (+110) [1u to win 1.10u] at Bovada
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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