Service Plays - Tuesday 8/10/21

Jackofhearts

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Stephen Oh

DETROIT @ BALTIMORE | 08/10 | 7:05 PM EDT
DETROIT -105
ANALYSIS: My model says the Tigers win in over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value on them at this number. Baltimore is in the midst of a five-game losing streak and has dropped seven of its last 10 contests, including two against Detroit. Tigers RHP Casey Mize had one of his best outings of the season versus the Orioles on July 29, when he allowed an unearned run and four hits over seven innings. Baltimore LHP Keegan Akin has yielded four or more runs in each of his last five starts. Take the Tigers.
 

Jackofhearts

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JM Sport

Game: (971) Oakland Athletics at (972) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Aug 10 2021 7:10 PM EDT
Play Rating: D units
Play: Oakland Athletics -154 S Manaea (LHP), T Mckenzie (RHP) Must Start

D unit Oakland Athletics (-155) over Cleveland Indians (Manaea/Mckenzie)--
Not very often do you see a team play B2B games that start off a series, but with the make up game, Cleveland has now played 3 teams in 3 days. Oakland on the other hand had a day to recover, and in the MLB TY teams that are AF of < -115 with a day of rest vs. a team that is coming in w/o any rest is 18-6! Oakland has played well in the first game of the series, they are 10-7 on the road to start off the series, they are 8-3 in FGS vs. RHP w/ ERA > 5.00, 13-5 vs. a SP w/ ERA > 5, and 9-2 vs. NDIV & a SP w/ an ERA over 5.00 (5-0 vs. RHP). They have also played very well with Manaea on the mound, the Athletics are 11-4 in his L15 as a F (11-2 w/ line < -110), 4-1 off a day of rest for the team w/ Manaea on the mound, and 6-2 in his 8 starts vs. a SP w/ ERA > 5, that along side a stat line of 4-4, w/ 2.64 ERA on the road and opponents hitting under .200 is a good combination for Oakland. 11-4 w/ a day of rest, and 7-2 as an AF vs. NDIV is promising for Oakland. Cleveland on the other hand is coming off a good game on Monday, but this may be a different story. Mckenzie is on the mound for Cleveland and this year his ERA is just shy of 6.00 (5.89), including 6.08 ERA in the L15 games, 0-1 @ H w/ 5.40 ERA (7 starts), an 0-4 record w/ 6.52 ERA in 8 starts at night and 0-2 w/ a 6.86 ERA in 4 starts since the All-Star Break. Even though the Indians have faired well at home, going against a team with more rest is tough, but there are definitely more factors. CLE is 2-7 after scoring more then 8 runs (lost L6), 3-9 in the L12 off B2B W's, 2-6 after winning by 5 or more, 1-10 following a game w/ more then 10 hits, including 0-8 in the L8, 2-7 following a W w/ > 10 hits (1-6 in L7), and they are 2-8 after a W w/ 3+ HR's. Regardless off the statistics specifically they have lost 5 straight as a HD off a W, 2-7 as a HD vs. LHP (allowing over 7 runs/game), they are also 0-5 as a HD vs. LHP w/ ERA < 3.50, 8-16 as a D vs. LHP. Mckenzie vs. Manaea is a pitching mismatch and I don't foresee the Indians winning B2B opening games of a series!
 

Jackofhearts

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Larry Hartstein

DETROIT @ BALTIMORE | 08/10 | 7:05 PM EDT
DETROIT -105
ANALYSIS: The Orioles are 17-34 at home and start lefty Keegan Akin, who has not started since July 16 and sports a 7.66 ERA. He's not likely to go deep, and then will turn it over to a Baltimore bullpen that ranks 28th with a 5.38 ERA. Detroit's Casey Mize faced the Orioles on July 29 and allowed one unearned run and four hits over seven innings. He's actually been slightly better on the road this season. Back the Tigers.
 

Jackofhearts

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XS Sports

E* Chicago WS Over 10.5 -110 (8pm)
D* Detroit -120 (7pm)
D* Pittsburgh +120 (7pm)
B* Chicago Cubs GM1 +170 (2:20pm)
 

Jackofhearts

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John Bollman

DETROIT @ BALTIMORE | 08/10 | 7:05 PM EDT
DETROIT -121
ANALYSIS: I have been waiting for lineups to come out lately, but I wanted to get on this play because I think it will only increase (its gone from -110 to -121 in the time of writing this post). The Tigers are worse on the road, but the Orioles are worse at home. The Orioles have lost five straight games when they’ve had the lead in at least three. Keegan Akin could be used as an opener but he has struggled all season and the Tigers have hit lefties well lately. Casey Mize will give four or five solid innings. Take the Tigers.
 

Jackofhearts

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Allen East man- Tigers -110 (3U)
Allen East man- A’s RL +100 (3U)
Allen East man- Blue Jays RL +125 GAME 2 (3U)
 

Jackofhearts

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Cubs Under 7.5 GM1 promo play
Cardinals Over 9
A’s Under 5 1st 5
Braves over 9.5 promo play
white over 10
Giants -1.5 promo play top play*
Mariners TT over 4.5
 

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