Service Plays - Tuesday 8/10/21

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Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
May 12, 2021
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1,218
Matt Severance

FEATURED PICK
MILWAUKEE @ CHI. CUBS | 08/10 | 2:20 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS +1.5
ANALYSIS: Game 1 of a DH so only scheduled for seven innings. FiveThirtyEight gives the Brewers a 56 percent chance of winning, which would mean only around -130 on the moneyline -- yet they are priced -190. Thus, I have to take Cubs runline at -105 simply for value. Yes, Milwaukee's Freddy Peralta has been great but a bit worse on the road and during the day. The Brewers aren't starting Christian Yelich, Omar Narvaez or Rowdy Tellez. That's some decent thunder on the bench. It's the MLB starting debut of Cubs lefty Justin Steele, but he does have a 2.03 ERA in 13.1 relief innings. He has been stretched out in Triple-A, where he had a 0.87 ERA with 27 strikeouts in his final five starts.

L.A. ANGELS @ TORONTO | 08/10 | 6:07 PM EDT
TORONTO -145
ANALYSIS: First game of a doubleheader so only scheduled for seven innings. And Toronto is the home team just for Game 1 even though it's at Angel Stadium because it's a makeup game from Dunedin, Fla; LAA will then be the usual home side for Game 2. Jays starter Steven Matz comes off his best outing of the year, throwing six shutout innings vs. Cleveland. The Halos' Chris Rodriguez (2-1, 3.86) is a converted reliever. Toronto is 6-1 in its past seven vs. a right-handed starter. The lineups just aren't close.
 

Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
May 12, 2021
Messages
1,218
Zack Cimini

TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON | 08/10 | 7:10 PM EDT
BOSTON -121
ANALYSIS: This series is an opportunity for the Red Sox to chip away at the Rays' four-game divisional lead. I expect the Red Sox to get back on track, led by starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez. He has become more consistent with his swing-and-miss stuff; he had a season-high 10 strikeouts in his last outing against the Tigers. Grab the Red Sox.

TEXAS @ SEATTLE | 08/10 | 10:10 PM EDT
SEATTLE -1.5
ANALYSIS: Rangers starter Kolby Allard has not won a start since June 12. That's a string of nine straight starts, which is why a subpar pitcher, Logan Gilbert, and the Mariners are such a big favorite. Furthermore, Allard’s struggles include a recent poor outing against the Mariners on July 30 in which he gave up six earned runs. Take the run line on Seattle.
 

Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

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Messages
1,218
Justin Perri

FEATURED PICK
MILWAUKEE @ CHI. CUBS | 08/10 | 2:20 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -190
ANALYSIS: Milwaukee RHP Freddy Peralta has been great this season, allowing more than three runs just once. He has yielded five runs and registered 25 strikeouts over 16 innings against the Cubs already this year. Chicago has posted only one victory in its last 15 games against teams with winning records. I’m paying the juice and taking the Brewers to win. I do understand sitting this one out if you don't like prices this high, but I'll fade the Cubs against winning teams until it bites me.

MIAMI 3 @ SAN DIEGO 8 | 08/09 | 10:10 PM EDT
SAN DIEGO -1.5
WIN
ANALYSIS: Padres RHP Joe Musgrove has been on fire recently, as he's allowed just five hits over his last two starts. On July 23, he limited Miami to two runs en route to victory. The Marlins will be dealing with a massive elevation change, having played in Colorado on Sunday, and that should make it all the more difficult to hit Musgrove's slider/curveball combo. San Diego's offense is elite, even without Fernando Tatis Jr., and should be able to score on Miami RHP Zach Thompson, who allowed three runs over five innings the last time he faced the Padres. Take San Diego -1.5 runs at -115.
 

Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
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Messages
1,218
Insider Sports Report
D* Detroit (Mize) -115 over Baltimore (Akin)
Range: +105 to -135
C* L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer) -155 over Philadelphia (Nola)
Range: -135 to -175
C* Texas (Allard)/Seattle (Gilbert) OVER 8
Range: 7.5 to 8.5

National Sports Service
D* Colorado (Gray) +1.5 runs -125 over Houston (Odorizzi)
C* L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer) -155 over Philadelphia (Nola)

Primetime Sports Picks
D Unit --> Boston (Rodriguez) -130 over Tampa Bay (Patino)
C Unit --> Oakland (Manaea) -160 over Cleveland (McKenzie)
C Unit --> Texas (Allard)/Seattle (Gilbert) OVER 8

Top Rank Sports Picks
D★ N.Y. Yankees (Cortes) -155 over Kansas City (Lynch)
C★ Minnesota (Jax) +120 over Chicago White Sox (Keuchel)
 

Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
May 12, 2021
Messages
1,218
John Bollman

MILWAUKEE @ CHI. CUBS | 08/10 | 2:20 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -180
ANALYSIS: Freddy Peralta vs. Justin Steele . The Brewers are 9-3 against the Cubs this season and 4-2 in Wrigley Field. Justin Steele has been good as a reliever all season but hasn’t pitched in the Majors since May as he was building up. Freddy Peralta has been pitching very well lately, and he has pitched well against the Cubs all season. I like the Brewers to take Game 1 of this doubleheader.
 
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