Weekend Betting Recap



Jun 12, 2021
Sunday’s betting recaps

Ravens rallied to beat the Chiefs 36-35 on Sunday Night Football as 3.5-point home underdogs and + 170 on the money line (flew Over the closing total of 53.5 points as NFL prime-time games are now 5-0 with the Over to start the season. Favorites went 9-5 SU on Sunday, but dogs led 8-6 ATS. Unders also went 8-6 on Sunday. Including the Giants’ cover in their SU loss at Washington on Thursday Night Football, faves are 10-5 SU with dogs leading 9-6 ATS so far in Week 2 and 21-10 ATS (67.7%) on the season; road teams 9-6 ATS on the week, including #TNF, and 18-12 ATS (60%) on season; Unders 8-7 on week and lead 17-14 (54.8%) on season

MLB: Favorites went 11-4 on Sunday, including the Cardinals (-112 vs. Padres) winning their 8th straight game. The biggest upsets on the day were the Indians (+ 270 at Yankees) and Tigers (+ 230 at Rays). Faves lead 1,289-878 (59.5%) on the season with 51 games closing pick-’em. Overs went 8-7 Sunday, cutting Unders' very slim lead on the season to 1,059-1,053-100 (50.1%).

Contest Corner

SuperContest Top 5 Most-Selected Teams went 0-5 in Week 2 (that’s right, the five most popular choices all lost) with the Chiefs joining the Steelers, Eagles, Rams and Cardinals. The SC Top 5 is 2-8 through the first two weeks after going 2-3 in Week 1. The SuperContest Gold Top 5, which comes from the $5,000 version of the SC and is considered to have a sharper clientele, only went 1-4 with the lone win on the Panthers. The losses were on the Eagles, Steelers, Chargers and Chiefs. The SC Gold Top 5 is only 3-6-1 through the first two weeks.

Circa Sports Million Top 5 Most-Selected Teams went 2-3 in Week 2. The Panthers won as the top choice, but the only other winner was the Patriots. The point-spread losers were the Steelers, Chiefs & Cardinals. Through two weeks, the Circa Sports Million Top 5 is 5-5 after going 3-2 in Week 1.

Circa Survivor, which drew 4,080 entries at $1,000 apiece for its guaranteed $6 million prize pool, had 3,397 alive entering NFL Week 2. After Sunday;s games, there were 2,986 entries still alive with 778 needing the Packers on Monday Night Football. The most-selected team was the Browns with 1,180 entrants using them in Week 2 and they survived a scare from the Texans before winning 31-21. The most entrants were eliminated Sunday by the Steelers at 252 with another 126 exiting on the Seahawks. Sunday’s other eliminations: Chargers (10), Chiefs (3), Texans (3), Eagles (1) and Saints (1).

Tuley’s NFL takeaways from Week 2

Underdogs were again the way to go as we saw that oddsmakers and bettors haven’t figured these teams out yet. This is further illustrated by the fact that the five most popular SuperContest picks went 0-5 (and 2-3 in Circa Sports Million, which mostly picked up its wins on the Panthers and Patriots because they offered half a point better). This is similar to when you see 80% to 90% of bets being made on a given team, it’s time to look the other way. Now, we know this isn’t going to last forever and favorites will probably have a similar two-week run at some point this season, but try to take advantage while the public is consistently on the wrong side.