MAC-anations Starts Tuesday & Continue Wedenesday

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
33,642
Ball St. and Kent St. both are equally bad and that's why I like my options on this game.
They are 116th and 112th respecitively on SP+ rankings so it should be ugly.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
33,642
The second game should be bad but not quite as bad as the first game.
Buffalo is a little better than the others in MAC conference (except maybe Toledo).

Buffalo should win this game but its the MAC conference so you never know.
Buffalo is 6-1-1 ATS. Ohio U is 5-3 ATS.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
33,642
I remembered something either Leisure or Quantum Leap mentioned....

MAC Conf Dogs of 7 or more, playing another MAC team during the week (not on Sat) only cover 33% of the time. Take the Favs.....

I'm not adhering to these odds but hope to still be succesful tonight.
 

biggins

biggins

Joined
Jan 18, 2022
Messages
3,924

Ball State vs Kent State Betting Pick​

The Golden Flashes are the better team, but given that they have yet to cover the spread in MAC play this season, I’m in no rush to back them here — especially after they moved from a 4.5-point favorite up to a 6.5-point favorite.

Instead, I’ll be backing these two to go over the total of 62.

Both defenses are matched up against units that can take advantage of their most significant weakness, with Kent State struggling to stop the passing attack and Ball State finding no success in stopping the run.

Both teams struggle with Finishing Drives on offense, but their opposing defensive units have been even worse.

The offenses have also been among the fastest in the country as well; Ball State ranks eighth in seconds per play, while Kent State comes in at 13th.

I would feel comfortable backing the over as high as 63.


 

biggins

biggins

Joined
Jan 18, 2022
Messages
3,924

Buffalo vs Ohio Betting Pick​

Bangura’s health must be monitored for Ohio, as the running back and Rourke look to keep the chains moving with a mixture of inside and outside zone read.

With the health of the running back in question, combined with Albin’s request that Wiglusz receives additional targets, there’s an expectation that Ohio puts the ball in the air plenty.

This effort will lead the Rourke-Wiglusz connection to Bulls slot cornerback Keyshawn Cobb when Buffalo elects to run man coverage. Ohio ranks top-10 nationally in first downs through the air, which may increase given the Bulls’ struggles to implement man coverage.

For Buffalo, Snyder has escaped pressured pockets all season with 137 scramble yards. Another 90 yards from designed runs have helped him score four rushing touchdowns, but Snyder has struggled to hold onto the ball.

The Bobcats have played behind the line of scrimmage on defense with a rank of 20th in Stuff Rate. Ohio has mid-FBS ranks in generating Havoc, but a higher mark in tackles for loss suggests that Buffalo may have issues in early downs.

The Action Network projection makes the home team the favorite by a single point, but it’s the methodology of the Bobcats offense that suggests the total is in play.

If Bangura is unable to go, Ohio will have no other option in the backfield to run quality zone-read attempts with Rourke. If Wiglusz targets take place on standard downs, Buffalo will struggle to keep points off the board, ranking 130th in FBS in defending standard downs explosiveness.

Conversely, Buffalo may have success in long down and distances when Snyder scrambles. Ohio has been one of the worst teams in the nation at pass defense, signaling that Gassett will generate big plays from the slot.

Furthermore, Ohio ranks near dead last in all analytics when defending passing downs, suggesting that scrambles from Snyder will turn into easy first downs.
The biggest key number in totals is 59, and this total is expected to steam. Both offenses have options in the pass game, where the defenses have no proven track record.

Considering the inability of both teams to tackle or defend the explosive play, we’ll start the first evening of MACtion with an over.

 

Leisure

Leisure

Joined
Oct 29, 2021
Messages
2,736
I remembered something either Leisure or Quantum Leap mentioned....

MAC Conf Dogs of 7 or more, playing another MAC team during the week (not on Sat) only cover 33% of the time. Take the Favs.....

I'm not adhering to these odds but hope to still be succesful tonight.
Not me , QL is the MAC numbers guy .

GL today Tank
 
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