Lando Norris to beat Fernando Alonso in Saturday's race (+115 b win dot com).
Verstappen looked quickest in testing last week. The Ferrari looked 2nd best over 1 lap but was less quick in race trim. The McLaren was 3rd best. Mercedes were probably just 4th over 1 lap but they looked quicker in race trim. 2nd, 3rd, & 4th are fairly close. Aston Martin appear to be 5th best. RB, (formerly Alpha Tauri and before that Torro Rosso), and Alpine might be battling for 6th with the other 3 teams behind them. I would have priced Norris as a -115 favourite over Alonso, (-115, +115 in a 0 juice market). For reference Piastri is -175 to beat Stroll, which is about right. I think McLaren's advantage elsewhere might be bigger than that but Bahrain is normally a bad track for them.
-300 for Verstappen for the race win looks to be about right but has no +ve value. Ferrari are -130 favourites over Mercedes head to head, which also looks about right. I'm not seeing any other props that stand out. Good luck.
Verstappen looked quickest in testing last week. The Ferrari looked 2nd best over 1 lap but was less quick in race trim. The McLaren was 3rd best. Mercedes were probably just 4th over 1 lap but they looked quicker in race trim. 2nd, 3rd, & 4th are fairly close. Aston Martin appear to be 5th best. RB, (formerly Alpha Tauri and before that Torro Rosso), and Alpine might be battling for 6th with the other 3 teams behind them. I would have priced Norris as a -115 favourite over Alonso, (-115, +115 in a 0 juice market). For reference Piastri is -175 to beat Stroll, which is about right. I think McLaren's advantage elsewhere might be bigger than that but Bahrain is normally a bad track for them.
-300 for Verstappen for the race win looks to be about right but has no +ve value. Ferrari are -130 favourites over Mercedes head to head, which also looks about right. I'm not seeing any other props that stand out. Good luck.
