5 Worst And Best Bets A Player Makes

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jjgold

jjgold

Joined
Oct 15, 2021
Messages
21,614
WORST

5. Futures 19% House Edge
4.One Way Markets Only instead of two way Markets
3. Parlays odds get worse each leg
2. Same Game Parlays
1.Risk Free Bet many playing it the wrong way



A Pro sent this to me, I am a loser and play all these listed above



BEST

5. Efficient Market Bets close to game time
4. Player Props
3. Simple halves, qtrs, run in 1st inning,
2. Parlays only if you have an edge on the games although eliminates most of us
1. Promotions
 
Last edited:

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
949
I’d argue #1 Worst failing to check out the forums BEFORE depositing.

How many people come onto a forum vs how many people gambling?

Plenty of valuable insight to be gained by visiting the forums first - then depositing. Nothing like finding out critical info after you sent money that would have changed your decision.

1A for worst is greed - chasing losses and putting all your bankroll on a single book/bonus. Way too many people fail to maintain solid outs or chase a huge promo only to get burned.

Take advantage of every promo - but be smart about it - and don’t be afraid to ask for a bonus and VIP perks where available. Host are there to serve the player.

Finally - agree many don’t quite understand how to effectively use free play / bonus bets. Winning is maximizing your profits - not showing a W in the win column. Lots of wasted opportunities.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
34,267
Maybe add somewhere on the list.
  • Worst - Chasing bets
  • Worst - Following touts
  • Best - I'd question "Efficient Market Bets close to game time". Its exceptionally tough to find these close to game time since 99% of the market has had all the value squeezed out of it.
 

theriver55

theriver55

Joined
Mar 23, 2022
Messages
1,931
Maybe add somewhere on the list.
  • Worst - Chasing bets
  • Worst - Following touts
  • Best - I'd question "Efficient Market Bets close to game time". Its exceptionally tough to find these close to game time since 99% of the market has had all the value squeezed out of it.
yeah agree never pay for picks in sports gambling from prof touts. I am using a free source for my college bball picks but have never paid a tout for a pick. Never have never will.
 

theriver55

theriver55

Joined
Mar 23, 2022
Messages
1,931
yeah agree never pay for picks in sports gambling from prof touts. I am using a free source for my college bball picks but have never paid a tout for a pick. Never have never will.
The exception to that is the horses. I did pay for prof info in my early days of playing that specific game. and today if I don't feel like capping on major race days may buy a product like Bruno with the works forecast.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
8,851
5. Efficient Market Bets close to game time

This is paradoxical.

In fact, The only one of those five that wouldn't apply to a successful gambler starting out, and only the the one starting out, is #2, the one about parlays.

The rest are for rookies, but successful and motivatied rookies, before theyrecognize and eventually learn that picking the right answer and winning isn't the hard part, it's getting down on those smaller markets mentioned and being able to get any promotions anymore.

As it so happens, the one about parlays can sometimes be used to navaigate around the restrictions that prevent a succssful bettor from being a part of the other 3 BEST options.

But option number 5 is sticky one, both true and paradoxical, depending on your level of gamesmanship.
 

slickfazzer

slickfazzer

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
3,603
WORST

5. Futures 19% House Edge
4.One Way Markets Only instead of two way Markets
3. Parlays odds get worse each leg
2. Same Game Parlays
1.Risk Free Bet many playing it the wrong way



A Pro sent this to me, I am a loser and play all these listed above


BEST

5. Efficient Market Bets close to game time
4. Player Props
3. Simple halves, qtrs, run in 1st inning,
2. Parlays only if you have an edge on the games although eliminates most of us
1. Promotions
JJ did Fezzik send you this?
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
8,851
Best - I'd question "Efficient Market Bets close to game time". Its exceptionally tough to find these close to game time since 99% of the market has had all the value squeezed out of it.

Yeah, it's a matter of how much edge you are dealing with and how much information you need to make the decision. As you get closer to game time, you can definitely acquire more information, but it comes at a loss of value in the market.

It's a tradeoff I've posted about 100s of times in the past, in FlyMe.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
8,851
BEST

5. Efficient Market Bets close to game time
4. Player Props
3. Simple halves, qtrs, run in 1st inning,
2. Parlays only if you have an edge on the games although eliminates most of us
1. Promotions

I see two different but related groups of bettors in these 5.

Group #1 works #s 1, 3, and 4 until they can't any longer

Then eventually, as they try to squeeze blood from the turnip, they are forced into #5 becoming a part of the more advanced group #2.

Eventually, when that juice is hardly worth the squeeze they revert to lower risk, higher payout, parlays like #2, if they haven't already been doing it, but this time instead of just lower risk and higher reward their motivation is to circumvent limits.

As someone who has been on and studies nearly all levels of that totem pole, or branches of that tree, I can look down at the lower branches and confidentally make this assessment above. Many know I make many forecasts and they represent the thinking of nearly all levels of bettors. I have been there.

Think about it.
 
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