EPL Matchday 28 Best Bets: Betting Value at the Top of The Table

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Manchester City's Norwegian striker Erling Haaland gives thumbs up as he celebrates victory at the end of the UEFA Champions League Group G first-leg football match between Sevilla FC and Manchester City, at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan stadium in Seville. (Photo by Thomas COEX / AFP)

Top Soccer Pick: Arsenal -1 (-169) at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)

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Elite-level soccer action returns to our screens this weekend, and we’ve studied the EPL betting markets to formulate the best betting picks for matchday 28, which includes Arsenal vs. Brentford, Liverpool vs. Man City and more.

Continue reading for the top soccer betting picks from across the Premier League fixtures set to take place on March 9 & 10.


Arsenal FC vs. Brentford London FC

Match Info

  • When: Saturday, March 09 - 12:30 PM ET
  • Where: Emirates Stadium
  • Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Arsenal W/W/L/W/W – Brentford D/L/L/L/W

Arsenal vs. Brentford Stats, Odds & Prediction

  • Brentford hasn’t won an away game versus Arsenal in EPL history
  • Brentford has the fourth-worst defensive record in the Premier League (50)
  • Arsenal has the best offensive record in the EPL (68)

Routine Victory for the Gunners

Mikel Arteta must have fed something special to his Gunners unit at the beginning of 2024 because, after their most recent derailing of Sheffield United last Monday, Arsenal has now netted 31 goals in their first seven games to begin the year.

With title ambitions remaining, and as their title-chasing foes, Liverpool and Man City, going head-to-head on Sunday, The Gunners can reach the top of the table this Saturday, and a drawn fixture could also see them maintain a joint-first placement with The Reds come Monday.

A Continued Relegation Battle for the Bees

Brentford’s efforts versus Arsenal in recent years have been commendable. Still, as they’re up against a different goal-scoring beast this term, and the fact they’re having one of their worst performing seasons to date, a trip to the Emirates isn’t providing much optimism for Thomas Frank’s men.

The away form of Brentford has been an apparent reason for their relegation struggles, and while they’ve bridged the gap between themselves and the drop zone to six points, eighteenth-placed Luton has a game in hand.

EPL Matchday 28 Betting Odds & Predictions

Unsurprisingly, the EPL betting odds have placed a huge moneyline price tag on Arsenal. Still, the emphatic displays in front of goal are expected to continue on Saturday, and a -1 handicap holds a respectable price of -169.

Arsenal has won by a -1 handicap, and sometimes more, in seven of their last eight games in all competitions, including wins over Liverpool, West Ham and Newcastle. So, expecting them to defeat The Bees by two or more goals isn’t a big ask.

Score Prediction: Arsenal 3 – Brentford 1

Soccer Pick: Arsenal -1 (-169) [1.69u wager returns 1u of profit] at Everygame


Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City

Match Info

  • When: Sunday, March 10 - 11:45 AM ET
  • Where: Anfield
  • Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Liverpool W/W/D/W/W – Man City W/W/W/W/W

Liverpool vs. Man City Stats, Odds & Prediction

  • Under 2.5 goals were scored in the reverse fixture last November
  • Man City and Liverpool have the second and third-best defensive records in the EPL

Sunday Main Event on Merseyside

The Premier League’s top-two clash on Merseyside as The Reds welcome Pep Guardiola’s men to Anfield for a highly anticipated clash on Sunday morning, but do one of these EPL title chasers have an edge and a greater potential to take all three points?

The reverse fixture in November 2023 at the Etihad would suggest nothing can separate these sides. Liverpool are unbeaten since their meeting with Arsenal this February and have notably managed three consecutive clean sheets in all competitions.

The Citizens on a High

Following a dominant performance in the Manchester derby last weekend and then a 3-1 triumph in midweek Champions League action, Guardiola’s unit will certainly travel to Liverpool with high hopes. However, they’re now facing one of their fiercest rivals challenging for their title, and we shouldn’t expect it to be plain sailing, as recent outings have shown.

EPL Matchday 28 Betting Odds & Predictions

The odds at top sportsbooks are showing excellent value on the under 2½ goals, a betting position that holds intrigue when considering Man City’s low-scoring affairs with Bournemouth, Chelsea and Tottenham in 2024.

Both teams played out 0-0 draws to Chelsea, and the past two Anfield meetings between these sides resulted in three goals scored combined.

Score Prediction: Liverpool 1 – Man City 1

Soccer Pick: Under 3 Goals (+113) [1u wager returns 1.13u of profit] at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Extra Premier League Bets to Beat the Bookie

Manchester United FC vs. Everton FC

Saturday, March 09, 07:30 AM ET

West Ham United FC vs. Burnley FC

Sunday, March 10, 10:00 AM ET

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.