EPL Matchday 33 Best Bets: Making Bank on a Heated Title Race

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Liverpool's Egyptian striker #11 Mohamed Salah (L) holds the ball up during the UEFA Europa League Group E football match between Toulouse FC (TFC) and Liverpool at the Stadium de Toulouse, in Toulouse, southwestern France on November 9, 2023.

Top Soccer Pick: Liverpool-Crystal Palace Both Teams to Score (-111) at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)

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Elite-level soccer action returns to our screens this weekend, and we’ve studied the EPL betting markets at the top-rated sportsbooks to formulate the best betting picks for matchday 33 games involving Manchester City vs. Luton Town, Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace, and more.

Continue reading for the top soccer picks and updated betting odds from across the Premier League fixtures set to take place on April 13 & 14.

Manchester City vs. Luton Town

Match Information

  • When: Saturday, April 13, 2024 – 10:00 AM ET
  • Where: Etihad Stadium   
  • Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Man City D/W/W/D/W – Luton Town W/L/L/D/L 

Manchester City vs. Luton Town Stats, Odds & Prediction

  • Luton Town has seen both teams score in 11 of their last 12 games in all competitions
  • Man City have maintained just 2 clean sheets in their 9 most recent fixtures
  • Man City vs. Luton Town has seen both teams score in their two most recent meetings

A Fight Till the End

In a quest to defend his club's Premier League title, Pep Guardiola must guide his squad to deliver continuous high-level performances and claim all three points every weekend. The title chase involving Arsenal and Liverpool is seemingly going to come down to the wire.

With a fourth straight title win in sight, Man City can heavily rely on their home form as a team that remains unbeaten at Etihad in domestic cup and league fixtures, as well as European outings. During this stretch, City has won 18 of 22 home clashes, with the four remaining results ending in draws.   

Relegation Looms

Battling relegation for Luton Town was an expectation for most pundits ahead of the 2023/24 EPL season, and that’s precisely where they find themselves with slightly over a month of league action remaining. However, relegation scraps can deliver just as noteworthy performances as we see in title chases during this time of the season, and we should expect a Luton Town squad looking to fight.

Following last week’s hard-fought win over Bournemouth, Luton Town broke a poor run of form, as their confidence levels should be bolstered ahead of Saturday’s trip to Manchester. Furthermore, the reverse fixture saw Luton Town give City a tough 90 minutes, as a 2-1 scoreline saw the EPL champs manage to win by just one goal versus the EPL newcomers.  

EPL Matchday 33 Betting Odds & Predictions

Unsurprisingly, the EPL betting odds have placed a ridiculously large moneyline price on Manchester City. While we do expect Guardiola and co. to continue their undefeated home streak, Luton Town has what it takes to find a consolation goal.

The Hatters found the net against City earlier this term, and they also scored at The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, St James Park, and Anfield this season. So, when we look at the +100 odds for them to snatch at least one goal, the betting value is evidently present.

Score Prediction: Man City 3 – Luton Town 1

Soccer Pick: Luton Town Over 0.5 Goals (+100) [1u wager returns 1u of profit] at Everygame

Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace

Match Information

  • When: Sunday, April 14, 2024 – 09:00 AM ET
  • Where: Anfield
  • Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Liverpool D/W/L/W/W – Crystal Palace D/W/W/D/W 

Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace Stats, Odds & Prediction

  • Palace have scored at least 1 goal in 4 of their last 5 EPL away games
  • Liverpool has seen both teams score in 8 consecutive games
  • Liverpool have conceded goals against all three teams currently in the relegation zone 

Every Point Counts

Collecting three points this Sunday could well position Liverpool ahead of Arsenal in first place in the EPL table while keeping title rivals Manchester City in third. However, they’d also have to rely on the downfall of their trophy-challenging rivals.

Unfortunately, Liverpool, much like The Citizens and The Gunners, have to balance midweek European football while collecting as many domestic wins as possible because every point will count in such a tight title race.

That said, Jurgen Klopp’s final season in Merseyside has been a fine one. Although a 3-0 defeat at the hands of Atalanta in the Europa League was clearly not on the agenda, they’ve maintained a top-two positioning in the division since November, thus proving their dominance on the pitch.    

Avoiding Championship Football    

Similar to Luton’s situation, Crystal Palace is entangled in a relegation battle, and the newly appointed Oliver Glasner hasn’t managed to fix the capital side's issues since his arrival in February.

Following his debut 3-0 success over Burnley, Glasner has led Palace to collect a mere two points from five league games. A 4-2 defeat to Man City last time out doesn’t bode well, with a visit to Anfield lined up next.

EPL Matchday 33 Betting Odds & Predictions

The EPL betting odds have placed an unplayable ML price on Liverpool, as the Klopp army is expected to triumph despite their midweek failure on the European stage.

We are, however, going back to the relegation influence well for this one, as both teams are finding the net is too well-priced to pass up.

Both teams have scored in three of the last four meetings between these two teams. Tired legs could affect Liverpool’s fatigue, and Palace’s desperation to avoid Championship-level football can undoubtedly assist them in reaching the scoresheet.

Palace scored one goal against Liverpool in the reverse fixture back in December, and they’ve scored at least one goal in four of their last five EPL road games.   

Score Prediction: Liverpool 2 – Crystal Palace 1

Soccer Pick: Both Teams to Score (-111) [1.11u wager returns 1u of profit] at Everygame

Extra Premier League Bets to Beat the Bookie

Newcastle vs. Tottenham

Saturday, April 13, 2024 – 07:30 AM ET

  • Newcastle Double Chance [Win or Draw] (-165) at Everygame

Arsenal vs. Aston Villa

Sunday, April 14, 2024 – 11:30 AM ET

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.