NCAA plays 1/17
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Wagerallsports
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Best of luck with the action djazz
Kentucky coming into this game vs an “upset” in the road at TX A&M (unranked A&M favored by 2.5 - won in OT). Kentucky is primed for a blow out here vs an over hyped Bulldog team.
Bulldogs hold quality wins over a good Rutgers team and Tennessee in conference (both at home) but have also managed losses on the road to teams like South Carolina, Georgia Tech and Southern. It feels like the Bulldogs are just in a tough spot here - they don’t do well on the road and this Wildcat team is looking for redemption vs a quality team in the Wed night national game.
Kentucky has lost to Kansas in a heavyweight matchup and UNC-Wilmington in a true upset - hampered by poor shooting. Despite some recent close games though - Kentucky seems to be gelling here and should roll by double digits at home.
Bulldogs hold quality wins over a good Rutgers team and Tennessee in conference (both at home) but have also managed losses on the road to teams like South Carolina, Georgia Tech and Southern. It feels like the Bulldogs are just in a tough spot here - they don’t do well on the road and this Wildcat team is looking for redemption vs a quality team in the Wed night national game.
Kentucky has lost to Kansas in a heavyweight matchup and UNC-Wilmington in a true upset - hampered by poor shooting. Despite some recent close games though - Kentucky seems to be gelling here and should roll by double digits at home.
carolinakid
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gl with your wed action
UNCG riding a 7 game home streak into this matchup - vs a bulldog team winless in conference play.
I like the Spartans here as they simply play a faster paced game than the Bulldogs and should be able to easily cover the number at home. Currently 3rd in the Southern - UNCG has their eyes on both winning the conference and a NCAA berth. Citadel is simply outmanned here on the road.
I like the Spartans here as they simply play a faster paced game than the Bulldogs and should be able to easily cover the number at home. Currently 3rd in the Southern - UNCG has their eyes on both winning the conference and a NCAA berth. Citadel is simply outmanned here on the road.
High Point (@ Presbyterian)
Similar set up to the other triad team from up the road mentioned above - except High Point on the road. High Point is just a higher talent level with better scoring.
Presbyterian comes in on a 3 game losing streak - dropping contest by double digits in the last 2 seasons including an upset at 6-10 Garner Webb last time out. With its line conference W coming against fellow Big South cellar dweller Charleston Southern.
High Point on the other hand lead by Duke Miles is on a 6 game winning streak - and 11-1 with the lone loss @ Georgia (by 8 - covering the 8.5 spread in that game). They are again a small school that could make some noise come March in the tourney with Mr do everything Miles who transferred in this year from Troy.
I like HP to keep it rolling here with a chance to reclaim a share of the conference lead.
Similar set up to the other triad team from up the road mentioned above - except High Point on the road. High Point is just a higher talent level with better scoring.
Presbyterian comes in on a 3 game losing streak - dropping contest by double digits in the last 2 seasons including an upset at 6-10 Garner Webb last time out. With its line conference W coming against fellow Big South cellar dweller Charleston Southern.
High Point on the other hand lead by Duke Miles is on a 6 game winning streak - and 11-1 with the lone loss @ Georgia (by 8 - covering the 8.5 spread in that game). They are again a small school that could make some noise come March in the tourney with Mr do everything Miles who transferred in this year from Troy.
I like HP to keep it rolling here with a chance to reclaim a share of the conference lead.
Rutgers (@ Nebraska)
On paper - 2 teams headed in differing directions in the Big 10 - Nebraska outperforming and sitting at .500 in conference and Rutgers in the basement at 1-4 in conference.
Nebraska holds upset wins over Sparty and Purdue in conference - as well as Kansas State out of the Big 10 - has also managed to lose in blowouts to Iowa last time out and Wisconsin and Creighton out of conference. You simply don’t know who is gonna show up with this team - 1 night they are ready to play with and beat the heavyweights - the next they are getting drubbed by solid but unspectacular teams.
Rutgers on the other hand is solidly finding themselves backed into a corner. Aside from quality win against Indiana at home - they have lost to every conference foe. But 3 of these losses (Sparty, Iowa and Ohio State) are on the road. Only a loss to Illini came at home. Rutgers plays a tougher slate of opposition and knows they need this one to have any hope of turning things around in a tightly packed Big 10.
I like them from that angle alone - they either come out and show us they are capable of winning a conference tourney game or 2 - or they signal they are done for the year. I suspect the former will happen as they look to regain momentum after this matchup with 2 BIG matchups @ the Illini and at home vs Purdue. A win over either of those 2 and then a couple of wins against Penn State and Michigan could make this Rutgers squad one to watch through February.
On paper - 2 teams headed in differing directions in the Big 10 - Nebraska outperforming and sitting at .500 in conference and Rutgers in the basement at 1-4 in conference.
Nebraska holds upset wins over Sparty and Purdue in conference - as well as Kansas State out of the Big 10 - has also managed to lose in blowouts to Iowa last time out and Wisconsin and Creighton out of conference. You simply don’t know who is gonna show up with this team - 1 night they are ready to play with and beat the heavyweights - the next they are getting drubbed by solid but unspectacular teams.
Rutgers on the other hand is solidly finding themselves backed into a corner. Aside from quality win against Indiana at home - they have lost to every conference foe. But 3 of these losses (Sparty, Iowa and Ohio State) are on the road. Only a loss to Illini came at home. Rutgers plays a tougher slate of opposition and knows they need this one to have any hope of turning things around in a tightly packed Big 10.
I like them from that angle alone - they either come out and show us they are capable of winning a conference tourney game or 2 - or they signal they are done for the year. I suspect the former will happen as they look to regain momentum after this matchup with 2 BIG matchups @ the Illini and at home vs Purdue. A win over either of those 2 and then a couple of wins against Penn State and Michigan could make this Rutgers squad one to watch through February.
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Nope - just dabbling in this.
Putting my picks out there with a short write up of why I like the play - invites reasonable discussion of the play and potentially draws a counter I missed.
Lots of people toss darts and play blindly - if you can’t explain what drew you into picking any side/stock or anything you laid money on - your as good as a dart thrower to me. Sometimes you get lucky - but over time you will get buried doing this.
Conversely - a lot of people fail to understand the value of an overly confident bettor or someone who relies on “square logic” for always finding a reason to back the public in their plays.
To me - there is more value in following someone who is a horrible picker who hits 40 percent of the time rather than listening to a dart tosser who nails them with a .500 average. Both are losers at the end of the day - but only one can lead me to a profit by listening to their advice. If your hitting 40 percent of the time at -110 - that means on the other side you are a winning 60 percent of the time - hit 20 plays a week at that rate - betting $100 per game.is $320 a week - or $16,640 a year. Find the guy giving out 30 percent winners and you’re at 530 a week or 27,560 a year. That’s a nice little side hustle.
You are good at what you do. How I wish I had this knowledge as you on all these games, but this board is huge and you will find members with great insight and records of their picks.
2-2 hit the big college plays - lost on the spread to the 2 small schools who won but failed to cover.
No formal pick today - looked at Gonzaga -11.5 but not in love with it. Illinois and Michigan feels like a trap - good Illini squad vs a Michigan team that’s improving at Crisler - Michigan ML seems to be the play here coming off a win vs the Buckeyes.
YTD 6-6 -.6
No formal pick today - looked at Gonzaga -11.5 but not in love with it. Illinois and Michigan feels like a trap - good Illini squad vs a Michigan team that’s improving at Crisler - Michigan ML seems to be the play here coming off a win vs the Buckeyes.
YTD 6-6 -.6
Good luck if you choose to pick the action later, DJ.
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