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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
34,531
A bettor should be able to decide between these options...

If you're a Tennessee bettor, which line would you take?

Tenn +14.5 (-124)
or
Tenn +14 (-113)

As Miami bettor, which would you take?

Miami -14 (+102)
or
Miami -14.5 (+112)

These are the types of questions and calculation that will help you make the bettor bet and also help you "Know Your Markets" at a deeper, more professional, level.

:cheers:
Some people are lazy and don't want to think through these types of choices. If you're one of those people, BMR has a tool to help you. Not its not JJ Gold, its their half point calculator.

You can use it to see what a half point it worth. Its not perfect but it give you an idea of if there is value in getting the half point.

 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
34,531
Some people are lazy and don't want to think through these types of choices. If you're one of those people, BMR has a tool to help you. Not its not JJ Gold, its their half point calculator.

You can use it to see what a half point it worth. Its not perfect but it give you an idea of if there is value in getting the half point.

Actually, you can also use it to get a read on ML odds.

If you used the tool and entered
> NFL
> 6 point spread (e.g. GB/NYG)
> Odds -108
and hit calculate you can scroll up through the results table until the spread is zero and see what the ML odds equivalent would be.

I'm not saying it is 100% accurate. I'm just pointing out a tool to use for those who don't want to cypher through the math.
 
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Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
43,888
I committed a huge gambling no-no Sunday

I hedged a wager that wasn't guaranteed a profit or to break even

Needed Atlanta falcons ML to complete a Parlay

It looked bleak, so I took Tampa live -4.5 late

Falcons score a TD and then of course make the 2pt conversion

Tampa ends up only winning by 4 with TD few seconds left

So I lose both
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
34,531
I committed a huge gambling no-no Sunday

I hedged a wager that wasn't guaranteed a profit or to break even

Needed Atlanta falcons ML to complete a Parlay

It looked bleak, so I took Tampa live -4.5 late

Falcons score a TD and then of course make the 2pt conversion

Tampa ends up only winning by 4 with TD few seconds left

So I lose both
Damn.... You know better than that.
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
23,825
I committed a huge gambling no-no Sunday

I hedged a wager that wasn't guaranteed a profit or to break even

Needed Atlanta falcons ML to complete a Parlay

It looked bleak, so I took Tampa live -4.5 late

Falcons score a TD and then of course make the 2pt conversion

Tampa ends up only winning by 4 with TD few seconds left

So I lose both
These are the days that we hope to never happen again.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
8,889
I committed a huge gambling no-no Sunday

I hedged a wager that wasn't guaranteed a profit or to break even

Needed Atlanta falcons ML to complete a Parlay

It looked bleak, so I took Tampa live -4.5 late

Falcons score a TD and then of course make the 2pt conversion

Tampa ends up only winning by 4 with TD few seconds left

So I lose both

I swear there’s like a Murphy’s Law here. If there’s a window to screw us bettors, they always find it.

And then we realize we screwed ourselves, making the bet.
 

BobbyFK

BobbyFK

Joined
Oct 19, 2021
Messages
17,410
I committed a huge gambling no-no Sunday

I hedged a wager that wasn't guaranteed a profit or to break even

Needed Atlanta falcons ML to complete a Parlay

It looked bleak, so I took Tampa live -4.5 late

Falcons score a TD and then of course make the 2pt conversion

Tampa ends up only winning by 4 with TD few seconds left

So I lose both
That's the gambling gods working against you 🤦🏻‍♂️ tough loss
 
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