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College football Week 7 betting trends: Why history doesn't favor the Volunteers
ESPN PLUS $ MATERIALWeek 7 of the college football season brings some of the most high-profile games of the year.
There are five matchups of teams in the AP Top 25 including two games between teams ranked within the top 10. Three games pit undefeated powerhouses against each other in three Power 5 conferences.
No. 10 Penn State travels to Ann Arbor to face No. 5 Michigan in yet another test for the Wolverines. Spencer Sanders and No. 8 Oklahoma State will face Max Duggan and the No. 13 TCU Horned Frogs in an intense Big-12 battle. And of course, we have the highly-anticipated showdown between No. 3 Alabama and No. 6 Tennessee.
There's plenty of games to wager on this weekend and we have everything you need to make your wagering decisions ahead of Week 7.
Check out all of the betting notes and trends courtesy of ESPN Stats & Information.
Saturday
12 p.m. ET, Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, Michigan
- Michigan is 5-0-1 to the under this season, tied with Colorado State and Georgia Tech for the most unders without an over in the FBS this season.
- Michigan is 5-12 ATS against AP Top-10 teams under Jim Harbaugh. Stanford was 3-1 ATS in such games under Harbaugh.
- Michigan hasn't been a bigger favorite against an AP Top-10 team since Oct. 1, 2016 vs then No. 8 Wisconsin (-11).
- Penn State is 2-6 ATS against Michigan under James Franklin, and 0-5 ATS as an underdog.
12 p.m. ET on ESPN, Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi
- Auburn is 1-5 ATS this season, the worst cover percentage in the SEC.
- Each of the last four games between Auburn and Ole Miss have gone under the total by an average of 15.9 PPG
- Since the start of the 2020 season, Auburn is 9-2 to the under on the road, tied with Oklahoma State for the highest under percentage on the road in the FBS over that span.
- Ole Miss is 1-3 ATS as a home favorite this season, tied with Florida for the 3rd-worst such cover percentage in the SEC.
12 p.m. ET on ESPN2, Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma
- Kansas is 5-0-1 ATS this season, tied with TCU and James Madison for the best cover percentage in the FBS this season.
- Kansas is 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog.
- Oklahoma has not covered against a team with a winning record this season (0-3 ATS).
- Oklahoma has failed to cover in four of its last five games against Kansas.
12 p.m. ET on ABC, DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas
- Texas is 4-0 ATS at home this season and is one of two teams in the FBS with four home cover wins.
- Iowa State is 9-2 ATS as a double-digit underdog under Matt Campbell.
- This is the most Texas has been favored by against Iowa State since 2010 (-21).
- Each of the last seven games between Iowa State and Texas have gone under the total.
12 p.m. ET, Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Illinois
- Minnesota is 4-1 ATS this season and 3-0 ATS as a road favorite since the start of last season.
- Minnesota is 8-2 ATS on the road since the start of the 2020 season, the best road cover percentage in the FBS over that span (min. 10 road games).
- Since the start of the 2019 season, Minnesota is 9-1 ATS when playing after six or more days of rest (had a bye in Week 6).
- Illinois has covered each of its last three games as an underdog.
3:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network, Sanford Stadium, Athens, Georgia
- Vanderbilt is 0-3 ATS as a double-digit underdog and against AP-ranked opponents this season.
- Since the start of the 2017 season, Vanderbilt is 0-7 ATS against AP Top-5 opponents.
- Georgia has covered each of its last four games against Vanderbilt.
- Georgia is 1-5 ATS in its last six games as a home favorite.
