Best MLB Bets Today
Looking for the best MLB bets today? Our expert team of analysts provides you with the most accurate and profitable moneyline, runline and total bets. We thoroughly research and analyze betting data and trends to provide you with the most informed advice to increase your edge.
- Trevor Williams’ favorite pitch is extremely low-quality
- Freddie Freeman’s form is incredible
- Freeman has a good track record against Williams
Who Starts for Washington?
Trevor Williams starts for the Nationals today.
Williams’ 4.32 ERA is poor but still actually somewhat flattering because it masks a 5.05 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding), which reflects just how poorly he is actually performing. As part of his “low” ERA, he has benefitted from yielding a low BABIP (batting average of balls in play), which means that he is due to give up more hits.
Williams’ pitch quality is indeed suggestive of a pitcher whom batters crush.
His arsenal lacks variety: he is especially dependent on his fastball, which he throws 48.8 percent of the time.
Despite the extent of his reliance on this pitch, it is a uniquely bad pitch. It ranks in the ninth percentile in velocity and in the 16th percentile in spin.
These numbers indicate that batters have an extremely easy time keeping up with and tracking the location of this pitch.
Indeed, it yields a .432 slugging rate but also a .499 xSLG (expected slugging rate).
This latter statistic indicates that his fastball is due to yield a higher slugging rate because batters are making great contact with it.
Dodgers’ Freddie Freeman
My favorite Dodgers’ batter to flourish today is Freddie Freeman.
Freeman shows incredible form: he carries a 17-game hitting streak into today’s contest. Most recently, he has three straight two-hit games and two straight two-double outings.
His outlook today is also solid because he bats .385 and slugs .462 in his career against Williams.
Freddie Freeman 2+ Total Bases From Hits -143 at BetOnline
- Atlanta has four batters hitting an ISO of at least .220 against righties over the last 30 days.
- The Athletics’ projected lineup has hit under 18% of line drives against righties in the last 30 days.
- Bobby Miller struck out nearly 45% of lefties in his first start of his career.
Worst Team Ever
Oakland is on pace to win just 29 games this season. Just fade them every chance you get. Paul Blackburn will take the hill for the Athletics tonight. This will be his first season start after earning an All-Star Game appearance last year.
However, he still had a 4.45 xFIP with under 20% of strikeouts last season. He also allowed an ISO of at least .183 to both sides of the plate throughout the year. Blackburn is nothing special, but that Atlanta lineup is.
Michael Soroka Is Back Too
Michael Soroka will also make his 2023 debut. He didn’t even pitch in 2022. So this is a big story. Soroka was up-and-coming before he had to be sidelined. He’ll face an Athletics projected lineup with a .290 wOBA and 25.1% of strikeouts against righties over the last 30 days.
Bobby Miller Is The Future
Bobby Miller earned a 2.61 xFIP in his first start of his career. He struck out 25% of batters and earned over 57% of ground balls. He also kept extra-base hits down through 20 batters.
The Nationals don’t work well against righties, earning only 5.9% of walks. They’re aggressive. But Miller’s nasty stuff will make it hard for Washington to do anything with their balls in play.
The Dodgers Are Slugging
Los Angeles has hit a .232 ISO and wOBA of .367 against righties with their projected lineup in the last month. This lineup has slugged over 24% of line drives and has struck out below 20% of the time. They’ll face Trevor Williams, who has a 4.78 xFIP with low strikeouts.
He’s also allowing an ISO of .342 to his last 412 righties faced. The Los Angeles righties are hitting a .233 ISO over the last month.
- Braves -240
- Dodgers -225
2 Team Parlay +104 at BetOnline
- Minnesota is clinging to a 1-game lead in the AL Central.
- Houston trails the Rangers by 2 in the AL West.
- The Astros are 4-4 in their series openers at home.
Playoff hopefuls collide in Houston on Memorial Day, and the price is right on Sonny Gray (4-0, 1.82) and the Minnesota Twins in their matchup with J.P. France (1-1, 3.43) and the Astros.
Astros Stymied by Gray in April
Gray has a decent 3.72 ERA in May, has not allowed a home run this month, and recorded 25 strikeouts in his 19+ innings. And yet, the Twins dropped all 4 of his starts thanks to his lineup scoring a grand total of 11 runs in Gray’s assignments.
He twirled a beauty against Houston back in April, whiffing 13 and allowing just 1 run across 7 innings. Alas, it was a no-decision for him though Minnesota pulled out a 3-2 win in extras.
France gave up just 1 earned run last week in Milwaukee and struck out a career-best 8, but the Astros have stymied on offense themselves as 5 Brewers pitchers combined on a shutout. It was another solid road start for France, but he struggled in his lone home appearance.
Can Twins Reverse Recent Trend vs. Astros?
The Twins took 2 of 3 from the Astros when the clubs met in Minneapolis in early April, with ‘Under’ bettors also cashing twice in that series. Houston swept all 6 meetings with Minnesota a year ago, the totals in the series at Minute Maid Park splitting three ways (1-1-1 O/U/P).
Twins (+110) at Heritage Sports
- ‘Under’ bettors got paid in 5 of last year’s 7 meetings between the Halos and ChiSox.
- The ‘Under’ has cashed 16 of the last 23 matchups in Chicago.
- Cloudy, temps in the upper-60s with a light NE breeze (left to right) are the forecast.
With both starting pitchers coming off solid performances in their last starts, the ‘Under’ is the smart place when the Angels and White Sox open a series in Chicago.
Both Hurlers Post Zeroes in Last Starts
Griffin Canning (3-2, 4.95) is easily coming off his best performance of the season with 7 shutout innings in a 4-0 win over the Red Sox last Tuesday. His only experience against the White Sox came at the end of the 2019 season, a solid performance in Chicago where Canning got the win with 7 innings of 1-run baseball.
Michael Kopech (3-4, 4.24) also threw 7 innings of zeroes last week in a 6-0 Chicago win at Cleveland, and that start was preceded by 8 shutout innings to beat Kansas City, 2-0. Since getting blown up by the Giants in his season debut, Kopech has a 2.28 ERA in 4 subsequent home starts.
Totals Ran 2-5 O/U in Last Year’s Meetings
The clubs split a 4-game set on Chicago’s South Side last season, with both wins for the White Sox coming in the form of shutouts. Totals ran 1-3 O/U in those contests, and the ‘under’ has been a dominant theme in their recent meetings with 6 of the last 9 coming up short on the totals.
Under 8½ (+100) at BetOnline
Guide to Placing the Best MLB Bets
If you’re a baseball fan, you probably already know that there’s nothing quite like watching your favorite team hit a home run. But did you know that you can also make money off of those homers? That’s where MLB best bets come in. We will cover everything that you need to know about betting on America’s favorite national pastime.
MLB best bets are the wagers that sports bettors place on the most likely outcomes of Major League Baseball games. This can include bets on individual players, like which pitcher will get the most strikeouts or which batter will hit the most home runs, as well as bets on which team will win a particular game.
To make the most out of MLB best bets, it’s important to do your research. Look at past performances, current standings and the latest injury reports to help you make informed decisions when enjoying some baseball betting. For example, if the New York Yankees are playing the Boston Red Sox and the Yankees’ ace pitcher is injured, that could impact the outcome of the game and make it more likely that the Red Sox will win.
But even with all the research in the world, there’s still an element of chance involved in sports betting. That’s why it’s important to only bet what you can afford to lose and to never let your emotions get the best of you. After all, even the best teams can have an off day and there’s always the possibility of an upset.
What MLB Best Bets Are
When it comes to MLB best bets, it’s important to understand what you’re betting on and how to maximize your chances of winning.
MLB best bets are wagers placed on the most likely outcomes of Major League Baseball games. For example, you might place a bet on the New York Yankees to win a game against the Boston Red Sox or you might bet on a specific player to hit a home run or get the most strikeouts in a game.
To make informed MLB best bets, it’s important to consider a variety of factors, such as past performance, team chemistry and current injuries. For example, if the Yankees’ star player is nursing an injury, that could impact their ability to perform and potentially affect the outcome of the game.
How Our Experts Choose the MLB Best Bets
Choosing the best MLB bets requires a combination of knowledge, expertise and research. Our expert handicappers take a variety of factors into consideration when making their picks and baseball predictions, including past performance, current team dynamics and potential injuries.
To start, our experts closely follow the latest gambling news, player and team news and rumors surrounding each team and player. They analyze each team’s strengths and weaknesses and consider how those factors could impact the outcome of a game.
Additionally, our experts take a data-driven approach to analyzing player and team performance. They look at a wide range of statistics, such as batting average, on-base percentage and earned run average, to gain insights into each player’s potential performance in a given game.
Our expert handicappers also consider factors such as home-field advantage and weather conditions when making their picks. For example, if a team is playing in a notoriously difficult ballpark or if there’s a high chance of rain, that could impact the outcome of the game and affect our experts’ predictions.
Ultimately, our baseball experts use a combination of their knowledge, experience and data analysis to make informed and strategic MLB best bets. While there’s no guarantee of success, our experts’ careful analysis and research can increase your chances of making winning bets.
To make the most of our experts’ MLB best bets, it’s important to stay up to date on the latest gambling news, updates and analysis, as well as to carefully manage your bankroll and bet responsibly. By following these tips and making informed bets, you can enjoy the excitement of Major League Baseball while potentially winning big.
Understanding MLB Betting Odds
To be a successful MLB bettor, it’s essential to understand betting odds. Betting odds reflect the probability of a particular outcome in a game and they help bettors determine how much they stand to win on a given bet.
MLB betting odds are typically presented in three formats: American odds, decimal odds and fractional odds. American odds are the most common odds format used in the United States of America. They are expressed with a plus or minus sign and show how much money you need to bet to win $100 or how much you could win with a $100 bet.
For example, if the New York Yankees are listed at -150, you would need to bet $150 to win $100. On the other hand, if the Yankees are listed at +150, a $100 bet would net you a $150 profit.
Decimal odds are the most popular odds format in Europe and Australia. They show the total amount a bettor would receive for a winning bet, including their original stake. For example, if the Los Angeles Dodgers are listed at 1.75, a $100 bet would pay out $175, including your original stake.
Fractional odds are less common than the other two formats but are still used in some parts of the world, particularly in the UK. They show the ratio of the potential profit to the original stake. For example, if the Boston Red Sox are listed at 5/1, a $100 bet would net you a $500 profit.
Understanding MLB betting odds is crucial for bettors to make informed decisions and maximize their profits. It’s also essential to shop around and compare odds from different online sportsbooks to find the best value bets. The best online sportsbooks will offer very competitive betting lines, but they won’t always offer the same lines, which is why shopping around and comparing the odds from multiple betting sites is so important for baseball bettors.
As a bettor, you should also be aware of the different types of bets available, including moneyline bets, run line bets and over/under bets. We will cover the most popular baseball bet options below. By understanding MLB betting odds and the different types of bets available, you can develop a winning betting strategy and increase your chances of success.
Popular MLB Betting Types
MLB offers a variety of betting options that attract fans from all walks of life. Here are some of the most popular MLB bet options:
- Moneyline Bets: This is the most common type of MLB bet. Moneyline bets involve betting on which team will win a game outright. For example, if the New York Yankees are playing the Boston Red Sox, you might bet $100 on the Yankees to win at -125 odds. If they win, you would win $80.
- Run Line Bets: Similar to a point spread in football, run line bets offer bettors the chance to bet on a team to win by a certain margin. For example, a run line bet may have the Atlanta Braves favored by 1.5 runs over the White Sox, with odds of +150. If the Atlanta Braves win by two or more runs, you would win your bet.
- Over/Under Bets: Over/Under bets involve betting on the total number of runs that will be scored in a game. For example, if the Over/Under for a game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants is 8.5, you might bet the Over, meaning you believe the teams will combine to score 9 or more runs. If they do, you would win your bet.
- Futures Bets: Futures bets allow bettors to wager on events that will happen later in the baseball season, such as which team will win the World Series or who will win the American League MVP award. Futures bets can offer some of the biggest payouts, but they are also the riskiest.
- Prop Bets: Prop bets involve betting on specific outcomes or events within a game. For example, you might place a player prop bet on if the San Diego Padres will be the first to score in a game or how many strikeouts Shohei Ohtani will record.
In conclusion, there are many MLB bet options available and each has its own unique risks and rewards. When placing a bet, it’s important to do your research and understand the odds before making a decision. Remember to bet responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
How to Use Our MLB Best Bets
If you’re new to MLB betting, using our best bets can be a great way to get started. Here are some tips to help you make the most out of our MLB best bets:
First, it’s important to understand the betting lines. Our best bets will typically include information about the odds for each game. For example, a team might be listed as a -150 favorite, meaning you would need to bet $150 to win $100. Alternatively, a team might be listed as a +120 underdog, meaning a $100 bet would win you $120 if that team wins. Understanding these odds can help you make informed decisions about which bets to place.
Second, it’s important to consider the context of the game. Our best bets will often include information about key injury alerts, recent performance and other factors that can impact the outcome of the game. Paying attention to this information can help you make more accurate predictions.
Third, don’t be afraid to look beyond the moneyline. While betting on the winner of the game is the most common type of bet, there are many other options to consider. For example, you can bet on the run line, which is similar to a point spread or the total runs scored in the game. Our best bets will often include information about these alternative bets.
Finally, it’s important to practice responsible gambling. Don’t bet more than you can afford to lose and always set a budget for your betting activity. Remember, while our best bets can help you make informed decisions, there is always an element of uncertainty in sports betting.
FAQs – MLB Best Bets
What are MLB best bets?
MLB best bets refer to the most promising or profitable betting opportunities in Major League Baseball, based on a variety of factors such as team performance, player statistics and betting odds. These bets cover both regular season games and the biggest games of the season.
What factors should I consider when using MLB best bets?
When using MLB best bets, consider factors such as team performance, player injuries and statistics, previous head-to-head matchups reports, current betting odds and overall trends in the league.
Can I use historical data to improve my MLB betting?
Yes, historical data can be used to improve MLB betting by providing insights into team and player performance, game and betting trends in the league and past outcomes of similar matchups. Analyzing past data can help game bettors make more informed decisions and increase their chances of success.
Should I rely solely on MLB best bets for my betting strategy?
No, it is not recommended to rely solely on MLB best bets for a betting strategy. It is important to consider multiple factors and do your own research to make informed decisions. Best bets can be a helpful tool, but should be used in conjunction with other strategies.
How can I measure my success when using MLB best bets?
To measure success when using MLB best bets, keep track of your wins and losses and calculate your overall return on investment (ROI). It’s also important to assess your betting strategy and make adjustments based on your results.