Jets vs. Patriots NFL Week 7 Picks and Predictions

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Mac Jones #10 of the New England Patriots throws a pass. Maddie Meyer/Getty Images/AFP.

The first rematch of the NFL season sees the Patriots hosting the Jets after dealing with them comprehensively in Week 2 of the season. That was a 19 point win for the Patriots at the Metlife, so the best online sportsbooks have set the Patriots as touchdown favorites with a low total of 42.5.

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots

Sunday, October 24, 2021 – 01:00 PM EDT at Gillette Stadium

Will Zach Bounce Back?

It’s been a tough start for Zach Wilson in the NFL. The second overall pick has shown rare glimpses where he shows why the Jets took him there, the second half in London was far improved from the first, but he missed a lot of simple passes which would have moved the chains.

The Week 2 game against the Patriots was the low point of his season so far with 4 INTs, a couple of them directly to the defense. It’s got a little better and he won his first game against the Titans a couple of weeks later with some impressive deep passes.

He’s not on a very good team, so it’s not all on him. The defense ranks in the bottom half and the run game hasn’t been effective, although has looked a little better in recent weeks with Michael Carter getting more carries, while Ty Johnson and Tevin Coleman are getting bits of work as well.

Corey Davis is the main target in the passing game, and he works downfield so any completion to him tends to be the first down while Jamison Crowder is back and getting work in the shorter game. Elijah Moore returned from injury and drew a DPI which would have been a 50-yard reception, that’s something they’ll look for here too.

Can the Patriots Win a Home Game?

It’s been a frustrating home start for the Patriots giving the Dolphins their only win of the season in Week 1 and then losing to the Saints, Buccaneers, and the Cowboys last Sunday. They should have beaten Brady when he came to town and took the Cowboys to overtime so despite them ending in losses it showed some promise for them.

While it should be Ja’Marr Chase leading the run for offensive rookie of the year that award tends to go to a quarterback and Mac Jones is surely leading that group of players after some fairly good performances this season. He’s not being asked to throw downfield a lot and Belichick doesn’t seem to trust him at the end of halves, but he bounced back well from a pick 6 to throw a 75 yard TD this week.

He finished the Week 2 contest between these two completing 22 of 30 passes for 186 yards and no TD. That’s pretty much how they want things to work in New England this year. The defense is strong and as long as Mac doesn’t mess things up they’ll be in most games.

Damien Harris has been running well to support the passing game and the rookie Rhamondre Stevenson found the endzone this week, he looked good in pre-season and might find himself with more of a role going forward.

Rhamondre Stevenson #38 of the New England Patriots celebrates with his teammates. Maddie Malhotra/Getty Images/AFP.

Jakobi Meyers had what would have been his first NFL TD ruled out last week against the Cowboys, they’ll keep trying to get it for him and it might finally come against this opposition.

They’re finally getting some play from one of their two big-money tight end signings with Hunter Henry scoring in consecutive weeks, he’ll be looking forward to a matchup that allowed 100+ and a TD to Kyle Pitts in their last game.

Do the Patriots Get Their First Home Win?

Let's get into the NFL odds. The Jets are coming off their bye week and with a defensively-minded head coach I would assume they’d have been doing a lot of work on that side of the ball so expect them to be tighter on defense, but getting Zach Wilson to cut down the mistakes and do the easy things well should be a big focus for them.

He was seeing ghosts when these teams met earlier in the year and Bill Belichick will no doubt have plans to create turnovers again.

So, for our NFL pick... If Wilson limits turnovers then the Jets may well cover here, but I don’t have much faith in that happening and the New England genius should continue his great record against rookie QBs.

NFL Pick: New England Patriots -7 (-105) at Intertops (visit our Intertops Review)

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New England Patriots -7 (-105)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.