The winless Lions host an out-of-form Philadelphia Eagles side on Sunday night looking to get off the mark for the season. After keeping games close for a lot of the season they’ll be looking to get lady luck on their side here. The Eagles come into this one just over a field goal favorite at the best online bookmakers with a total of just 48 points.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions
Sunday, October 31, 2021 – 01:00 PM EDT at Ford Field
Can the Eagles Get Back in the Win Column?
It’s been a strange start as Nick Sirianni’s teams seem to avoid running the ball despite having a good offensive line, and a QB who’s one of the best in the league with the ball in his hands. Jalen Hurts has rushed for 5 TDs in his seven games this season and leads the team in rushing yards by quite some way. 13 attempts last weekend was his season-high in rush attempts.
The increased rush attempts came as they lost Miles Sanders early on after he started with 5 yards per carry. He’s officially week-to-week but I would assume he misses out playing this quickly after leaving the last game, so it will likely be Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott sharing carries in the backfield. They only had 12 carries between them last week.
The pass-catching group has promise, Devonta Smith has done well at the start of his career with 400+ yards, but only one score while the trade of Zach Ertz means that Dallas Goedert will get more catches now as well. Quez Watkins has shown sparks but they need more from the peripheral pieces.
They’re good on defense and the pass rush should get home against a poor Lions offensive line.
Can the Lions Get Their First Win?
One of the least talented rosters on paper has proven that way so far this year. They aren’t protecting Jared Goff and even when they do he’s only really throwing the ball to two players, D’Andre Swift and TJ Hockenson. So moving the ball hasn’t come easily for the team this season.
D’Andre Swift is a big bright spot for them though. He’s leading the team in receptions and yards catching from the backfield, adding 262 on the ground, and has scored 5 times this year. He finished the game against the Rams with 8 for 96 through the air including a 63 yard TD rush where he crashed through tackles.
TJ Hockenson leads the team in targets and is a little short of Swift's yards on the year. He’s only found the endzone twice, in the first two games of the year but has moved the ball well for the team.
I should mention Kaliff Raymond who adds a little pace to the team. He led them in receiving yards against the Rams last weekend with 115 on 6 receptions and a tidy average of 19.2 per catch.
Who Turns Their Recent Form Around?
For my NFL pick, I can’t take the Lions to win here. Games tend to be won in the trenches and while I think the coaching of Dan Campbell is better than that of Sirianni on the Eagles, the talent discrepancy is too much to overlook.
The Eagles' offensive line should protect Hurts, while their defensive line will cause Jared Goff issues all day.
The Lions kept things close and have covered the spread line in 4 of their 7 games this year, and while it’s a sorry sign of where the Eagles are at the moment that the spread line is so low, I’m taking them and their NFL odds to cover this week.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.