Offshore vs. Regulated Sportsbooks: Traffic, Handle, and What the Numbers Really Say (2025)
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Martin Green
- September 22, 2025
The U.S. sports betting market is now a tale of two ecosystems: regulated sportsbooks operating under state licenses, and offshore books that accept U.S. customers without U.S. licenses. Below is a data-driven look at both sides—web traffic, betting handle, and the tradeoffs that matter.
Snapshot: Size & Scale
- Regulated U.S. market (2024): Legal sportsbooks handled ~$150 billion and generated ~$13.7 billion in revenue, per the American Gaming Association (AGA). That’s ~9–9.3% hold nationally. American Gaming Association
- New York (FY 2024–25): The largest single state market handled ~$23.94 billion with ~$2.14 billion GGR—an 8.94% hold for the year. iGB
- Nevada (long-run benchmark): UNLV’s Center for Gaming Research tracks Nevada’s annual win/hold back to 1984; the latest report compiles 1984–2024 totals direct from the Gaming Control Board. gaming.library.unlv.edu
Offshore/illegal market estimates (online): Multiple analyses argue the unregulated online market is still enormous. The AGA’s 2025 research pegs illegal/unregulated gambling at $673.6 billion wagered across categories; it cites H2 Gambling Capital for a $172.1 billion regulated sports handle (Jun 2024–May 2025) as context.
Independent work from Yield Sec (commissioned by the Campaign for Fairer Gambling) claims ~$90.1 billion U.S. online GGR in 2024, with ~74% captured by unlicensed operators. Treat these offshore figures as directional, not audited. American Gaming Association
Traffic: Who’s Getting the Clicks?
Website visits aren’t the same as handle, but they do signal consumer demand.
Offshore examples (Similarweb, recent months 2025):
- Bovada (bovada.lv): frequently 8-figure monthly visits; Similarweb shows ~17M recent monthly visits and lists Bovada among top gambling sites by volume. Similarweb
- BetOnline (betonline.ag): ~26M monthly visits cited on its Similarweb profile snapshot. Similarweb
- MyBookie : ~6–23M depending on the period viewed in Similarweb snapshots. Similarweb
Regulated examples (U.S.-licensed brands):
- DraftKings (draftkings.com): Double-digit millions of monthly visits; a recent analysis summarizing Similarweb data shows ~76.6M visits in 1H 2025 (sitewide). Similarweb
- FanDuel (fanduel.com): Also double-digit millions of monthly visits; ~68.2M visits in 1H 2025 per the same roll-up. Takeaway: Offshore leaders can rival top U.S. books in raw web volume, particularly around NFL seasonality—but traffic ≠ legal market share. Only licensed operators can convert activity into state-reported handle and taxes.
Handle & Hold: Apples-to-Apples Where We Can
Because offshore sites don’t publish audited state reports, only regulated books give clean “handle” (total wagered) and “hold” (win%):
- National (legal): ~$150B handle / ~$13.7B GGR in 2024 (hold ~9.3%). ESPN.com
- NY (legal): $23.94B handle, $2.14B GGR, 8.94% hold (FY 2024–25). iGB
- Nevada (legal): Annual handle/hold detailed across 1984–2024 by UNLV’s digest of Nevada GCB reports. gaming.library.unlv.edu
For offshore, independent estimates vary widely. Yield Sec’s 2024 model is a revenue (GGR) estimate, not handle; converting GGR to handle would require assuming a hold%—which isn’t consistently reported. The AGA’s 2025 work also warns that illegal-market sizing carries methodological uncertainty. Treat any offshore “handle” claims with caution unless backed by transparent methodology.
Compliance & Consumer Protections
- Regulated sportsbooks comply with KYC/AML, geofencing, age checks, dispute resolution, and publish taxable GGR; state dashboards (e.g., NY, NJ, NV) enable public scrutiny. iGB+2NJ.gov
- Offshore sites operate outside U.S. licensure, often rely on crypto or relaxed KYC, and aren’t bound by U.S. responsible-gaming standards or tax/advertising rules; several reports highlight rapid growth of crypto casinos and cross-border operators. Financial Times
Pricing, Product, and Payments
- Pricing/hold: U.S. legal books show multi-year national hold ~9%; many states cluster in the 7–10% range depending on parlay mix. (National 2024 hold ~9.3%.) Offshore pricing can be competitive on moneylines/totals, but there’s no audited hold to benchmark. ESPN.com
- Markets & limits: Regulated books increasingly limit sharp action; offshore books sometimes advertise higher acceptance for certain markets—but policies are opaque and unenforceable under U.S. law. (Anecdotal; verify per operator T&Cs.)
- Payments: Regulated books support mainstream rails (ACH, cards in compliant states) with robust withdrawal controls. Offshore books lean on crypto and non-U.S. processors; the FT reports $81.4B 2024 GGR across crypto casinos—illustrating scale, not sportsbook-only specificity. Financial Times
Taxes & Public Impact
- Regulated handle and GGR translate to state taxes and earmarked programs (e.g., education in New York). Public reporting enables policy debates on advertising, problem-gaming funding, and consumer safeguards. iGB
- Offshore activity yields no U.S. tax and complicates responsible-gaming intervention. AGA’s latest sizing underscores the leakage risk from illegal channels. American Gaming Association
Quick Reference: Selected 2024–25 Stats
Bottom Line- If you want audited numbers, consumer protections, and public tax contributions, the regulated market wins on transparency and accountability. BMR
- If you’re measuring raw online demand, offshore leaders still draw massive traffic—and, per independent estimates, a large share of online revenue—but with higher legal, payment, and recourse risks for U.S. bettors.
Metric | Regulated | Offshore/Unregulated |
---|---|---|
National handle / revenue | Regulated ~$150B handle, $13.7B GGR (2024); ~9.3% hold. ESPN.com | Offshore/Unregulated Estimates vary; AGA sizes $673.6B total illegal/unregulated wagering (all categories). Yield Sec models $90.1B online GGR with ~74% to unlicensed sites (2024). American Gaming Association |
Biggest state handle | Regulated NY: $23.94B handle, $2.14B GGR, 8.94% hold (FY 2024–25). iGB | Offshore/Unregulated No audited state-level data; websites do not publish verified handle. |
Example monthly web traffic | Regulated DraftKings / FanDuel: each millions to tens of millions monthly visits; H1 2025 totals ~76.6M and ~68.2M respectively. Fortis Media | Offshore/Unregulated Bovada: ~17M recent month; BetOnline: ~26M; MyBookie: mid-single-digit to tens of millions depending on month. (Similarweb snapshots.) Similarweb |