Sousa vs. Tiafoe
The dream run continues at the Millennium Estoril Open for Frances Tiafoe. The 20-year-old, who had to save multiple match points against Tennys Sandgren in the first round, became the first American to reach the final in Portugal since James Blake in 2009. Regardless of this Sunday’s outcome, Tiafoe already secured his career-high ranking next week with an unprecedented appearance in the top-55. Adding to this, Frances claimed one of the biggest wins of his career in the semi-finals against defending champion Pablo Carreno Busta.
Despite slow start to 2018, Joao Sousa is going through one of the best moments in his career with an outstanding 77.78% winning record since the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells. Known as one of the greatest competitors in the game, the Portuguese No.1 booked a place in his 10th ATP World Tour final after beating Stefanos Tsitsipas 6 – 4 1 – 6 7 – 6 in two hours and seven minutes. Moreover, the 29-year-old is now just one win away from becoming the first Portuguese to win the title at the Millennium Estoril Open.
The bookmakers expect a close encounter with Frances as the slight favourite at 63/100 at 5Dimes while Sousa is available at 3/2 at William Hill. Even though we agree with Tiafoe’s favouritism after his brilliant performance in the semi-finals, it’s impossible to ignore Joao’s higher experience at this level. On the other hand, the crowd might play a key role on this match. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to place a bet on Sousa’s moneyline at 3/2 at green listed bookmaker William Hill as the most valuable play for this final.
Best Play: Joao Sousa ML at 3/2 at William Hill