Suns vs. Timberwolves NBA Pick: Phoenix Is a Great Underdog Today

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Bol Bol #11 of the Phoenix Suns dunks during the first half against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Footprint Center on April 05, 2024. Chris Coduto/Getty Images/AFP

The top sportsbooks have released their NBA odds for today’s game between Phoenix and Minnesota. After doing my daily handicap, I will recommend investing in the road team. For more NBA picks, check out: 

NBA Pick: Suns ML (+110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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Suns ML (+110)
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Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Sunday, April 14, 2024 – 03:30 PM ET at Target Center

Phoenix In The Mid-Range 

While Minnesota is well-known for its strong rim protection, protecting the rim and protecting the mid-range are two completely different things.

Video footage shows the ability of opposing scorers to exploit Minnesota’s defense by drawing Timberwolves defenders to the basket, for example by driving inside. It is too easy, against Minnesota, to pull up or to execute some other move to free up space for a favorable shot attempt away from the basket.

The Suns attempt the most shots in the 10-19-foot range, which is a space in which Minnesota’s defenders are uncomfortable, as evident in the high number of field goals that they allow here.

Phoenix’s Improving Defense

The Suns’ defense makes them a great underdog, especially today against a Minnesota offense that will struggle to score even against Atlanta’s defense. In April, the Suns own the third-best defensive rating.

They are holding teams to about ten points fewer than their scoring average, although they held Minnesota to 87 points on April 5. This defensive success enabled them to make up for an unusual offensive disappointment and to go two-for-two in defeating the Timberwolves by double digits this season.

Anthony Edwards’ illness won’t help the Timberwolves against Phoenix’s in-form defense – he was their leading scorer on April 5.

NBA Pick: Suns ML (+110) at Bovada

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Suns ML (+110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.