Last week of the regular season saw our player props go 1-2, which meant we finished the regular season with a +1.5-unit profit after a 20-1-22 record.
In NFL Week 18, we discussed how many franchises could have motivation issues. Well, happily, they are outdated, with every match in Wild Card Weekend having a knockout probability.
Now, join us as we find the best NFL Wild-Card player props. And remember to keep an eye on the live NFL odds, which have the up-to-date line movements as injury reports and weather forecasts emerge during the week ahead.
NFL Wild Card Player Props At-a-Glance
Two +EV Anytime Touchdown selections lead off this week’s card, which is bookended by the league’s best-known quarterback, who is potentially having a final swansong for the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Rams’ Colby Parkinson (Anytime Touchdown +280)
Los Angeles Rams vs. Carolina Panthers – Saturday, January 10, 4:30 PM ET
Colby Parkinson has previously appeared in our player props picks, and once again, I am optimistic about the 26-year-old tight end’s chances of scoring for the Rams in this week’s opening Wild Card Weekend match in Carolina.
In their most recent game against the Cardinals, the Rams accelerated their play late in the contest, which allowed Parkinson to secure two touchdowns in the final minutes—one featuring an impressive leap over a diving defender.
This approach by the Rams could prove vital once more this week, especially given Parkinson’s excellent rapport with his standout quarterback, Matthew Stafford, who is again viewed as a frontrunner for the MVP award.
You can find the best value for this prop at Heritage Sports, at +280.
Bears’ Colston Loveland (Anytime Touchdown +210)
Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears – Saturday, January 10, 8:00 PM ET
Colston Loveland has delivered an impressive season for the Bears, demonstrating a strong rapport with star quarterback Caleb Williams, particularly under Ben Johnson’s strategic leadership. As the Bears and Williams face the heightened pressure of Wild Card week, a scenario likely to arise during the knockout rounds, Loveland, at twenty-two years old, is expected to remain Williams’ primary target.
Another significant factor benefiting the Bears’ offense is the Packers’ recent defensive challenges following the mid-season injury of Micah Parsons. This setback has had a measurable impact on the Packers’ defensive performance, contributing to their decline from early Super Bowl contenders after week two.
The live NFL odds show the best value for Colston Loveland at +210 at Bovada.
Steelers’ Aaron Rodgers (Over 212.5 Passing Yards -110)
Houston Texans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers – Monday, January 12, 8:00 PM ET
Although the Houston Texans and their defence are highly regarded by NFL bettors, the initial projection of 212.5 passing yards for veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers appears conservative. The adage, “form is temporary, class is permanent,” often resonates within professional sports and is particularly apt for Rodgers. At forty-two, Rodgers has experienced a noteworthy late-career resurgence under Mike Tomlin in Pittsburgh, exemplified by his decisive 26-yard touchdown pass to Calvin Austin in the final minute last week.
Despite the passage of time, Rodgers continues to demonstrate exceptional arm strength, a fact acknowledged by Coach Tomlin, who revealed that this strategy had long been in place for the Steelers.
With home-field advantage this week, the upcoming game could represent both a significant opportunity for the Pittsburgh Steelers and a fitting conclusion to Rodgers’ distinguished career as a generational quarterback.
NFL Wild Card Player Props: Key Takeaways
Top pick for NFL Wild Card weekend: Colby Parkinson (+280)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
