Table of Contents

NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 11: Will the Chalk Finally Cash?

Table of Contents

Last week Swinging Johnson was unconscious in his NFL picks by going a blazing 12-2 against the spread.

Let’s see if he can do it all over again as he peruses the NFL odds board and goes to work to keep busting our bookmakers!

New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons

Thursday, November 18, 2021 – 08:20 PM EST at Mercedes-Benz Stadium

The public has clearly forgiven the Patriots for their decades of success and now views them as a plucky underdog after the All-American kid, Mac Jones, went to work and dissected the Cleveland Browns, en route to a 45-7 victory.

Meanwhile, the Falcons were getting waxed, 43-3, by the Cowboys. Therefore, Joe Q. Public believes another Falcons’ humiliation is in store but things don’t work out quite like that in the NFL. Expect the Pats to be looking ahead to a showdown with the Titans in Week 12. Grab the points but don’t bet the rent.

Final Score Prediction: Patriots 23 – Falcons 17

NFL Pick: Falcons +7 (-115) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Visit Site

Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans

Sunday, November 21, 2021 - 01:00 PM EST at Nissan Stadium

The Titans have lost their most potent weapon, Derrick Henry, and will be without Julio Jones which means their offense will continue to sputter even against the likes of the Texans.

The oddsmakers are giving us too many points on the road pup to ignore so we will take it and cash it.

Final Score Prediction: Titans 24 – Texans 17

NFL Pick: Texans +10.5 (-120) at Bovada

Visit Site

Baltimore Ravens vs. Chicago Bears

Sunday, November 21, 2021 - 01:00 PM EST at Soldier Field

John Harbaugh is an excellent coach and when excellent coaches have extra time to evaluate why their team played so poorly in their last performance it does not bode well for the opposition. Such is the case here, after Baltimore’s embarrassing 22-16 loss to the Dolphins. Expect them to atone for their sins against the Bears.

Final Score Prediction: Ravens 31 – Bears 14

NFL Pick: Ravens -4.5 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Visit Site

Veteran QB Joe Flacco #5 will be back under center for the New York Jets in Week 11. Mike Stobe/Getty Images/AFP

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets

Sunday, November 21, 2021 - 01:00 PM EST at MetLife Stadium

The Jets will sit the not-so-golden-boy, Zach Wilson, and insert Hurricane Joe Flacco, the veteran Super Bowl champion who has done more clipboard holding than anything else since he was supplanted by Lamar Jackson in Baltimore.

But his experience will prove invaluable here as the Dolphins will be flat after their big win over the Ravens last week.

Final Score Prediction: Jets 20 – Dolphins 17

NFL Pick: Jets +3.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

Visit Site

New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Sunday, November 21, 2021 - 01:00 PM EST at Lincoln Financial Field

The Eagles have looked much better recently, although we must consider that they defeated the toothless Lions and an injury-ravaged Broncos team last week while wedged in between was a 27-24 loss to the Chargers.

https://twitter.com/EaglesXOs/status/1460628046617190406?s=20

Nevertheless, this is good mojo for the Eagles as Jalen Hurts is in a groove and the Saints have lost two straight and have a date with Buffalo just four days later on Thanksgiving Day.

Final Score Prediction: Eagles 23 – Saints 16

NFL Pick: Eagles -1.5 (-115) at Intertops (visit our Intertops Review)

Visit Site

Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills

Sunday, November 21, 2021 - 01:00 PM EST at Highmark Stadium

The Bills flipped the switch after a disastrous 9-6 loss against the Jaguars by decimating the Jets, 45-17, last week. I expect the Bills will have a much bigger problem against the Colts’ defense, which wouldn’t take much quite honestly, and will fail to cover the number but get the win.

Final Score Prediction: Bills 29 – Colts 24

NFL Pick: Colts +7.5 (-115) at Bovada

Visit Site

Browns’ RB D’Ernest Johnson #30 runs against the New England Patriots in week 10. Adam Glanzman/Getty Images/AFP

Detroit Lions vs. Cleveland Browns

Sunday, November 21, 2021 - 01:00 PM EST at FirstEnergy Stadium

If you want a thick, juicy favorite to satisfy your Joe Q. Public alter ego appetite then take a big bite out of the Browns this week because they are going to light up the Lions after Detroit essentially just won its Super Bowl last week by drawing to a 16-16 tie with the Steelers.

Mayfield and company will be itching to get well after their humiliating loss to the Patriots.

Final Score Prediction: Browns 38 – Lions 13

NFL Pick: Browns -11 (-108) at Heritage Sports

Visit Site

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings

Sunday, November 21, 2021 - 01:00 PM EST at U.S. Bank Stadium

The Vikings will work Dalvin Cook hard against a Packers’ run defense that is pedestrian at best and this will allow Kirk Cousins time in the pocket to dissect the Green Bay secondary. Rodgers returned last week but the offense was not clicking in their 17-0 win over the listless Seahawks.

Let’s grab the small number and watch the best 4-5 team in the league get a big win at home.

Final Score Prediction: Vikings 33 – Packers 26

NFL Pick: Vikings +2.5 (-115) at Bovada

Visit Site

Washington Football Team vs. Carolina Panthers

Sunday, November 21, 2021 - 01:00 PM EST at Bank of America Stadium

Cam Newton passed and ran for a pair of touchdowns last week, both two-yarders I might add, and all of a sudden Superman is back in Carolina! Yeah, good luck with that Cat fans because the WFT is coming off a huge win over the Bucs and their O-line is healthier than it’s been in a long time. Let’s grab the points with the No Namers even if we won’t need them.

Final Score Prediction: Washington 26 – Panthers 19

NFL Pick: Washington +3.5 (-115) at Heritage Sports

Visit Site

49ers WR Deebo Samuel runs for a 40 yard TD against the Rams in Week 10. Ezra Shaw/Getty Images/AFP

San Francisco 49ers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Sunday, November 21, 2021 - 01:00 PM EST at TIAA Bank Field

The Jaguars might be lousy but at least they’re plucky. I expect them to hang against a team like the 49ers who notched a huge win over the Rams last week but this could be a trap game for them with a date against the Vikings the following week.

I have zero confidence in San Francisco to be a consistent threat and this looks like a letdown for a squad that does that quite regularly for its fans.

Final Score Prediction: 49ers 23 – Jaguars 18

NFL Pick: Jaguars +6 (-105) at Intertops

Visit Site

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Sunday, November 21, 2021 - 04:05 PM EST at Allegiant Stadium

Henry Ruggs was not a pass-catching savant by any stretch but he was a speed merchant and that deep threat kept defensive secondaries on alert. But the Raiders no longer have him at their disposal which means their offense immediately gets more predictable and by default, more pedestrian.

The Bengals have had a long time to prepare for this matchup after their bye week, coming off a stinging loss to Cleveland. The Cats get well here.

Final Score Prediction: Bengals 31 – Raiders 21

NFL Pick: Bengals Pk (-115) at BetOnline

Visit Site

Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks

Sunday, November 21, 2021 - 04:25 PM EST at Lumen Field

Take a big ol’ dart and throw it at a big ol’ board when it comes to this game. There are so many uncertainties as of this Thursday writing I can’t even venture a guess as to which superstars will be playing and which will be sitting.

Stay away from this one until you get more clarity but for right now, we’ll take the home dog just because Arizona could be trending down after such a blazing start.

Final Score Prediction: Seahawks 23 – Cardinals 21

NFL Pick: Seahawks +2.5 (-110) at Bovada

Visit Site

Chiefs’ TE Travis Kelce #87 avoids a tackle by Raiders’ DE Quinton Jefferson #77 in Week 10. Ethan Miller/Getty Images/AFP

Dallas Cowboys vs. Kansas City

Sunday, November 21, 2021 - 04:25 PM EST at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Both teams looked devastating last week but if I had to choose which one will remain so, those scales would tip in favor of the Chiefs. We have been waiting for this offense to energize all season long and it appears they have found what they were missing.

Granted, Dak Prescott commands a juggernaut of his own and neither team boasts a terrific pass defense so look for the Chiefs to cover and this game to soar over the posted total.

Final Score Prediction: Chiefs 41 – Cowboys 37

NFL Pick: Chiefs -2.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports

Visit Site

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Sunday, November 21, 2021 - 08:20 PM EST at SoFi Stadium

Will Big Ben play, or won’t he? I’m not sure it really matters all that much at this point as the Chargers should take care of business in this spot, owning the No. 4 pass defense in the league.

I don’t see the Steelers slogging their way to a cover here so let’s back the home chalk with the Bolts.

Final Score Prediction: Chargers 31 – Steelers 23

NFL Pick: Chargers -4.5 (-115) at Intertops

Visit Site

Bucs’ QB Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers against the Washington Football Team in Week 10. Patrick Smith/Getty Images/AFP

New York Giants vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Monday, November 22, 2021 - 08:20 PM EST at Raymond James Stadium

I don’t see much hope for Big Blue in this one against a Tom Brady-led Bucs squad that can’t be happy after a lackluster performance in their last game, resulting in a 29-19 loss to Washington. This should be different as the Giants won’t be able to run the ball and Daniel Jones does not do well against the blitz which is exactly what he will see on Monday night.

The line is steep but worth laying, at least for a few bucks.

Final Score Prediction: Bucs 34 – Giants 14

NFL Pick: Buccaneers -10.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports

Visit Site

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.