Despite a 1–2 record on NFL Wild Card weekend, BMR readers still saw gains from player prop selections, improving to a 21-24-1 record for +2.3 units.
Last week’s profit came thanks to Rams tight end Colby Parkinson’s decisive touchdown against the Panthers. The Divisional Round is up next.
NFL Divisional Round Player Props At-a-Glance
We start the Divisional Round by asking the classic question: Can Josh Allen lead the Bills to victory?
Next, we watch another NFC West showdown—this is the second in three weeks—applying lessons learned from the previous matchup.
Finally, we wrap up the week with a reliable pick that has proven successful of late.
Bills’ Josh Allen (Last Touchdown +600) at BetOnline
With Patrick Mahomes out of the picture, there is an opportunity for Josh Allen to lead the Buffalo Bills toward a potential Super Bowl run.
Last week, Allen sealed the victory with a decisive rushing touchdown.
The upcoming matchup against Denver presents new challenges, particularly given the short turnaround. Despite holding the AFC’s No. 1 seed, the Broncos rarely win comfortably, often allowing games to remain close late.
Maintaining a two-score lead may be crucial for Denver to avoid unfavorable outcomes.
If Josh Allen once again scores the final touchdown, there is value in backing him as the last touchdown scorer. Notably, sportsbooks often do not properly adjust his odds relative to his first touchdown scorer pricing.
Currently, BetOnline lists Allen at +600 to record the final touchdown of the game.
49ers’ Jauan Jennings (Under 41.5 Receiving Yards -110) at Bovada
On January 4, these two franchises met during the final week of the regular season, battling for both the NFC No. 1 seed and the NFC West title. In that matchup, the Seahawks effectively neutralized the 49ers’ offense, holding them to a single field goal in a low-scoring game.
Currently, the Seahawks possess the league’s top pass defense. Even if the 49ers were facing a different opponent, I would still project Jauan Jennings’ receiving yards slightly lower—just under 40 yards.
Given these factors, this week’s game should follow a similar pattern. Bovada currently offers the most competitive line at -110 for under 41.5 receiving yards.
Rams’ Colby Parkinson (Anytime Touchdown +235) at Bovada
Last week, Colby Parkinson was solely responsible for our weekly profit of +280, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure for the Los Angeles Rams.
This week, despite adverse weather conditions in Chicago lowering the projected total to 48.5 points—a full field-goal drop—the matchup still carries the highest total of the week, suggesting touchdowns remain likely.
Odds above +150 continue to offer positive expected value on the 27-year-old tight end. The highest available price is currently +235 at our trusted sportsbook partner, Bovada.
As the season approaches its conclusion and competitive intensity increases, it’s reasonable to expect Matthew Stafford to lean on his dependable tight end, Colby Parkinson, in this week’s Divisional Round.
Place Your Bets at Leading Sportsbooks
Prior to placing any bets, ensure your sportsbook account is active and review key factors such as player injuries, weather conditions, and line movement. Identifying value in NFL prop bets requires thorough research and disciplined analysis.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
