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MLB Home Run Props Today: Oct. 14

Andrew Vaughn Division Series - Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers - Game Five
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We get one game to focus on today, as the Dodgers and Brewers face off for Game 2. Given the pitching matchups and the promise that different batters otherwise come into today’s Game 2 with, this game will be a higher-scoring affair in general and specifically a great one for MLB home run props.

MLB Best Home Run Props Today

For today’s game, I like Andrew Vaughn, Shohei Ohtani, and Mookie Betts to hit a home run.

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My favorite home run prop today is Andrew Vaughn to hit a home run, but I love all three of my home run props. Be sure to take advantage of my best bets by registering and wagering at a top sportsbook.

Andrew Vaughn to Hit a Home Run (+550) at Bovada

Milwaukee’s Andrew Vaughn makes for a great home run prop investment in general because he does things that indicate his higher potential to hit home runs. On his team, he has the highest barrel percentage. This is important because a strong correlation exists between barrels and home runs. He also has the second-highest hard hit percentage. When balls are hit harder they can go farther.

The matchup today is solid for Vaughn, as he’ll face Dodgers starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto. His one at-bat thus far against Yamamoto was a home run. Vaughn already has two homers in 14 postseason at-bats.

Shohei Ohtani to Hit a Home Run (+250) at Bovada

Dodgers superstar Shohei Ohtani is an elite slugger who manufactured the third-most regular season home runs. Ohtani has by far the highest hard-hit percentage and the highest barrel percentage on his team. His metrics are therefore super impressive, and they indicate the general likelihood with which he will hit a home run. 

Combine the elite quality of Ohtani with the matchup details, and you have the justification for investing in him tonight with the fullest confidence. In nine at-bats against Brewers starter Freddy Peralta, he’s already hit two home runs. Moreover, he slugs .643 against Peralta’s favorite pitches from righties.

Mookie Betts to Hit a Home Run (+540) at Bovada

Former MVP selection Mookie Betts of the Dodgers is due for a home run. There comes a point where it stops being reasonable in any way to expect Betts, who hit 20 home runs in the regular season, to continue failing to hit a home run. He enters today’s game in fantastic form. In the postseason, he is hitting .385 and slugging .577. His current form helps suggest that the time is now for Betts’ home run. 

Opposing starter Freddy Peralta allows a higher rate of home runs to righties than to lefties. Indeed, Betts has already hit a homer off Peralta.

Tips for Home Run Props

  • Look at how hitters are currently hitting
  • See who has already proven that they can homer off the opposing starting pitcher
  • Check out metrics that detail a hitter’s home-run-hitting potential
  • Consider how batters perform against the opposing starting pitcher’s pitches

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.