Warriors vs. Kings NBA Play-In Tournament Best Bet: Golden State’s Perimeter Defense Is Porous

profile image of Rainman
De'Aaron Fox #5 of the Sacramento Kings goes up for a dunk in the first quarter against the Portland Trail Blazers at Golden 1 Center on April 14, 2024 in Sacramento, California. Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images/AFP

NBA Pick: Kings +3.5 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

BetOnline logo
Kings +3.5 (-110)
Visit Site

The top-rated sportsbooks have released their NBA odds for tonight’s game between the Golden State Warriors and the Sacramento Kings.

For your best bet, I recommend investing in the Sacramento Kings for this matchup.

To get a detailed breakdown and preview of today’s NBA matchups, be sure to tune in to Bookmakers Review’s YouTube channel.

If you’re thinking about wagering on this Wednesday’s games, keep reading for a thorough analysis.

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings

Tuesday, April 16, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center

Warriors’ Perimeter Defense 

The porousness of Golden State’s perimeter defense is going to decide this game.

On the season, the Warriors rank 25th at limiting opposing three-point attempts. They allow the seventh-most open three-point attempts per game and the seventh-most wide-open ones.

These stats indicate that they do a poor job of running teams off the three-point line and contesting three-point shots.

Recent History

Golden State’s most recent games attest to the ongoing nature of its struggle with defending the perimeter. In its last game, it allowed Utah to make 14 threes. The Jazz converted over 40 percent of their three-point attempts.

Two games ago, the Warriors allowed New Orleans to make 20 threes. The Pelicans converted 52.6 percent of their three-point attempts. The Warriors failed to cover the spread in both games, suggesting the relevance of their perimeter defense failures to the outcome of their games.

Sacramento’s Offense 

Sacramento is just the team to take advantage of Golden State’s perimeter defense. The Kings love shooting threes: they attempt the third-most per game. Expect especially Harrison Barnes and De’Aaron Fox to thrive from deep.

Barnes makes 41.7 percent of his threes at home. Fox is shooting over 40 percent from behind the arc in April and over 45 percent from deep in his last five games.

Kings’ Stronger Perimeter Defense

Golden State, too, loves to shoot three-pointers, so it is decisive to note that the Kings own the stronger perimeter defense.

The Kings do a better job of limiting three-point attempts overall and of limiting open and wide-open three-point attempts. It might not seem like Sacramento’s perimeter defense is formidable if you look at its last game against the Warriors.

But in that game, the Warriors did an exceptional job of converting open and wide-open three-point attempts. They still lost that game, despite Sacramento’s unusually bad free throw shooting, because they couldn’t stop the Kings’ offense.

NBA Pick: Kings +3.5 (-110) at BetOnline

BetOnline logo
Kings +3.5 (-110)
Visit Site

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.