Top NBA Pick: Pistons +3.5 (-110) via BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
There are ten games on the NBA slate tonight. I’ve added three best bets to my betting portfolio and shared them below. Which bets will you take tonight at our main offshore sportsbooks? Let’s earn some profit together!
San Antonio Spurs vs. Detroit Pistons
Wednesday, January 10, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena
No Right to Brag
This game is expected to be filled with chaos.
The Pistons just choked away an 18-point lead last night and lost by 21 points in the second half. It seems impossible, but without Cade Cunningham, the Pistons did just that.
San Antonio has the worst-ranked offense in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Pistons are 29th defensively in points per 100 possessions.
There are almost no advantages on either side in this matchup. Except that the Pistons have limited offensive rebounds to 26.5% this season. That will help keep second chances away from the Spurs.
On the other hand, the Pistons are 28th in points per 100 possessions. They’ve turned the ball over 16.3% of the time, which is the worst rate in the NBA. Detroit is better on the offensive glass and has gotten to the foul line more frequently.
The Pistons should end up winning the glass. I also believe that they’ll get to the foul line more often in this game, even without Cade Cunningham.
These two teams have combined for eight wins throughout the entire season. The arena is going to be quiet, and the game won’t be talked about in any good way.
But someone’s got to win. Give me the home team. I’ll take those extra points.
NBA Pick: Pistons +3.5 (-110) via BetOnline
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Miami Heat
Wednesday, January 10, 2024 – 07:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center
Balancing Act
Jimmy Butler will not play in tonight’s matchup for the Miami Heat. That’s going to hurt.
The Thunder have scored 121 points per 100 possessions while also shooting a 58.2% effective field goal percentage. Oklahoma City has also turned the ball over just 12.2% of the time and has earned a 21.7 free throw rate.
The Thunder won’t see the foul line often and likely won’t add many offensive rebounds. However, as long as the Thunder take good looks, Oklahoma City should have no problems putting points on the board.
The Heat rank 22nd in effective field goal percentage defensively. Meanwhile, the Heat will see the foul line more frequently. But they won’t see their shot fall as frequently.
The Thunder have held teams to a 52.5% effective field goal percentage and have earned the NBA’s best 16.1% of turnovers.
The Thunder aren’t good on the defensive glass and, again, foul a lot. But they’ll also limit possessions and force tough shots. That should be enough to escape the Heat, who will play this game without Butler.
Back the Thunder at -4.5.
NBA Pick: Thunder -4.5 (-110) via BetOnline
Denver Nuggets vs. Utah Jazz
Wednesday, January 10, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Delta Center
Quality Over Quantity
The Denver Nuggets and Utah Jazz will play the second matchup of four in the regular season.
The Nuggets earned a 110-102 win over the Jazz earlier this season in October.
The Denver offense has looked great this season. The Nuggets have scored 119.4 points per 100 possessions and have added a 56.3% effective field goal percentage.
On top of that, the Nuggets have only turned the ball over 12.7% of the time and have earned over 29% of offensive rebounds. The Nuggets likely won’t get to the foul line often against the Jazz. However, Denver should still limit turnovers and get high-quality shots with the occasional second chance opportunity.
The Jazz have given up 118.5 points per 100 possessions and rarely force turnovers. On the other hand, the Jazz are dominant on the offensive glass. They’re just not great at getting good looks from the field.
Utah has shot an effective field goal percentage of 53.6%, which ranks 23rd in the NBA. With the Nuggets holding teams to a 53.2% effective field goal percentage, it’s clear that Utah won’t get high-quality looks in this game. The Nuggets are also above average on the defensive glass, which will hurt Utah’s ability to earn second chances.
Beyond that, the Jazz turn the ball over 16.2% of the time and are typically careless with the ball. Even on the road, I’ll back the Nuggets at -6.5.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -6.5 (-110) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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