Table of Contents
Giants vs. Brewers MLB Best Bet: Peralta To Shrink San Francisco
-
LT Profits
- August 28, 2024
Table of Contents
MLB Pick: Brewers ML (-156) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
We are currently on a 6-3 run in our last nine plays entering Wednesday’s slate of MLB betting matchups after a 2-1 Sunday. As usual, we have three more best bets from top sportsbooks for today’s slate that we feel hold great value.
These best bets and current MLB odds are based mostly on our proprietary model. Our model favors a side in the Badger State on Wednesday with the Giants visiting the Brewers.
For in-depth coverage, expert analysis, and all the excitement of this year’s most thrilling baseball showdown, check out our MLB World Series betting page.
If you’re looking for more MLB value picks:
If you’re looking for more value picks, make sure to take a look at our YouTube channel for more daily betting advice. Today, our expert has advice on the Braves vs. Twins and Orioles vs. Dodgers games.
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Wednesday, August 28, 2024 – 08:10 PM ET at American Family Field
Freddy Peralta of the Brewers has resembled the pitcher that we expected the last two starts, and we are backing him at home in Milwaukee here hosting Kyle Harrison and the Giants.
Better Current Form
We expected big things from Freddy Peralta this season, so his 8-7 record is disappointing. and he has been maddeningly inconsistent. Through all of that though, he has still managed a 3.86 ERA and 3.92 xFIP that a lot of pitchers would be content with. And the good news is that Peralta now appears to be in a good cycle that he is capable of continuing.
Freddy has maintained his typically great strikeout rate this year at 10.37/9 and his velocity of 94.3 MPH is on par with his career-best 94.4 MPH last season. Moreover, the results are starting to show with a total of one run and seven hits allowed in his last two starts. Given our expectations for Peralta, this could very well be a sign of things to come.
Not Lived Up to Expectations
Kyle Harrison was called up with great hype by the Giants last season, but he did not meet those expectations posting a 4.15 ERA and 5.01 xFIP over seven starts. After posting double-digit strikeout rates at every minor league level, that rate was 9.09/9 in the majors against a walk rate of 2.86/9.
Well, Kyle has made 22 starts this season and the results have still not been what the Giants expected. Sure, he has a winning 9-7 record, but with a moderate 4.00 ERA and 4.25 xFIP. Furthermore, his strikeout rate has lowered to 8.31/9 while his walk rate is slightly up to 2.92/9 over the heavier workload.
Even Harrison’s overall Stuff+ rating is only 89 this season after standing at 95 as a rookie last year.
The Pick
All early indications are that Harrison was overrated when he first came up, while Peralta seems to be rounding into the great form that we expected all along, so bet the Brewers Wednesday.
Predicted Score: Brewers 5 – Giants 3
MLB Pick: Brewers ML (-156) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
