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Braves vs. Giants MLB Best Bet: Atlanta To Chop down San Francisco
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LT Profits
- August 14, 2024
Table of Contents
MLB Pick: Braves ML (+100) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)
We have a full card of Major League Baseball betting matchups in store for Wednesday. As usual, we have three more best bets from top sportsbooks for today’s slate that we feel hold the best value on the slate.
These best bets and current MLB odds are based mostly on our proprietary model. Our model favors a side in the Bay Area on Wednesday with the Braves visiting the Giants.
For in-depth coverage, expert analysis, and all the excitement of this year’s most thrilling baseball showdown, check out our MLB World Series betting page.
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Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants
Wednesday, August 14, 2024 – 09:45 PM ET at Oracle Park
Solid in Multiple Roles
Grant Holmes of the Braves had pitched well all year before a forgivable bad start in Colorado, and we are backing him to bounce back by visiting Robbie Ray and the Giants.
Holmes began this season with 10 relief appearances, and he was so successful that the Braves inserted him into the starting rotation on July 29th. He owns a 3.79 ERA and 3.32 xFIP for the season, and even those decent numbers are a bit skewed by his worst game of the season last time out when he allowed five runs in five innings in Colorado.
Any pitcher can be excused for a sub-par outing in Coors Field though, and Grant Holmes had allowed only four runs total over his first two starts with 12 strikeouts, He even had eight strikeouts in the rough start in Coors, so we like Holmes to have a nice bounce-back effort against a San Francisco offense ranked 21st in the league in wRC+ against right-handers at 94.
Lot of Walks and Home Runs
Ray has made only four starts for the Giants, but he is already showing the characteristics that have defined his entire career. He has always been a great strikeout guy, and that has continued this year with that rate at 12.39/9 through 20.1 innings. Sadly, that has usually been counteracted by high walk and home run rates, and unfortunately, those patterns have also continued.
Robbie Ray has a walk rate of 3.98/9 and a home run rate allowed of 2.21/9 in a Giant uniform. That is especially concerning against an Atlanta offense that is fourth in the majors in home runs with 155. And Ray’s home run rate is not entirely surprising considering his miniscule groundball rate of 29.5%.
The Pick
The Braves certainly have the power bats to take advantage of Ray, while Holmes is capable of shutting down a weak offense. Bet the Braves at a cheap price on the road in San Francisco.
Predicted Score: Braves 6 – Giants 3
MLB Pick: Braves ML (+100) at Heritage Sports
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
