How to Bet the Knockout Stage of the 2022 African Nations Championship

profile image of David Manyun
Ahly's forward Percy Tau reacts after scoring goal during the CAF Champions League semi-final match on May 7, 2022. Photo by Khaled DESOUKI / AFP

The eight nations participating in the CHAN, African Nations Championship 2022 quarter-finals have been determined.

With the tournament group stage completed, we’ll now look toward the competition’s playoff bracket and the best methods to betting on the knockout stage of the 2022 African Nations Championship.

Our expert analysts have crafted the best soccer picks and predictions for this stage of the CHAN 2022 tournament.   

Also, make sure to check out BMR’s live odds board for updates on these matches and other great games.

Remember, anyone interested in placing some wagers for the African Nations Championship or any other soccer match can do so at these US betting sites.

A New Champion Will Be Crowned  

Before we dive into the betting markets, we must first look at the competing teams and how they arrived at the knockout stages. And one fact is guaranteed, the trophy will be handed to a first-time winner.  

All of the previous African Nation Championship winners have been eliminated.  

Two-time title holders Morocco withdrew from the competition, as fellow two-time tournament winners, DR Congo, couldn’t qualify from Group B following two consecutive draws and a 3-0 loss to Senegal.   

Whos Left?

The Lions of Teranga made their first CHAN appearance in twelve years and have succeeded in reaching the quarter-finals by topping Group B. They’ll head into their quarters meeting against Mauritania with confidence following a great run at the 2022 World Cup.   

Mozambique placed second in Group A, as they placed behind the competition hosts Algeria – the only team with three wins from the group stage.  

They will clash with another team who’ve presented unexpected tournament success, Madagascar. The Madagascans topped Group C, and more impressively, this group presented two-time finalists Ghana – who took second place after defeating Sudan. 

Group E presented another surprise winner in Niger, who could give the Ghanaians a run for their money after competing well against Cameroon and Congo.   

The question remains, how should we approach the betting markets for the African Nations Championship playoffs?  

Avoid Moneyline Wagering  

Predicting Moneyline winners is perhaps the most difficult challenge during the tournament thus far. Aside from Algeria, no team has proven to be worthy, and the unpredictability of the nations involved doesn’t farewell for those picking a side.  

Remember, the CHAN – an international pan-African tournament for players who play within the continent – doesn’t allow European-based players to compete.

So, each squad involved is missing its biggest stars.

This intriguing rule has evidently played a huge factor in some of the results, and moving forward, any of the teams involved could win the trophy.  

A Lack of Goals  

In 13 of the 26 group stage meetings, less than two goals were scored.

And in 8 of the 26 group stage games, one goal or less was scored.  

There has been a consistent betting trend when African teams compete, and it’s the Under!  

Of course, bettors don’t favor the under. It’s understandable; we want to see goals!

A Closer Look

However, numbers don’t lie, and as the knockout stages are the most crucial, we should expect even tighter defenses than what we’ve seen thus far. 

Between Niger, Mauritania, Ivory Coast, Senegal, Algeria, and Mozambique, there have been just 22 goals scored and conceded from 18 fixtures played. Madagascar and Ghana have been the outliers, with 19 goals scored and conceded between them.

Still, as Morocco withdrew, these teams were automatically given 3-0 victories, so we need to deduct six goals from this tally.  

With the low goal-scoring figures considered, the under 1.5 and under 2.5 markets are perfect wagers for the CHAN playoffs.  

Bet the Draw  

Those looking for betting value should consider the draw.

Much like the Under-Totals betting market, this isn’t the most “fun” wager to place.

However, the value is great, and there have already been 12 draws during the group stage and even more first-half ties!  

Betting the African Nations Championship Playoffs Conclusion  

Research will be your best friend, and as previously mentioned, don’t rely on Moneyline wagers to assist your bankroll – perhaps Algeria is the exception.  

That said, the under 1.5 or 2.5 has been a money maker thus far.

And even Algeria – the tournament’s best-performing team thus far – has only netted three goals thus far.  

Be sure to check out BMR’s top-rated sportsbooks to get the best value for your upcoming matches.

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.