2028 Democratic Nominee Odds: Who Will Be the Next Presidential Candidate?

Gavin Newsom (+185)

The California governor remains the frontrunner in most markets. With his national profile, strong fundraising network, and executive experience, Newsom is seen as the establishment favorite. His biggest challenge? Avoiding the perception of being too West Coast–centric in a party that values broad geographic appeal. At +185, the odds reflect both his viability and the competition nipping at his heels. According to the L.A. Times, Newsom has already confirmed his intentions to run for president.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (+450)

The congresswoman from New York has energized the progressive wing, drawing small-dollar donations and social media engagement at record pace. However, skepticism remains about her national electability and age. Still, at +450, AOC offers solid value for bettors banking on a grassroots surge.

Josh Shapiro (+1100)

The Pennsylvania governor has quietly built a reputation as a pragmatic problem-solver. With a key swing-state pedigree and bipartisan appeal, Shapiro could emerge as a consensus candidate if the race splinters. Bettors looking for an underdog with real momentum should take note of his +1100 line.

J.B. Pritzker (+1100)

Illinois Governor Pritzker has both the money and political machine to mount a serious campaign. His message of economic populism and midwestern pragmatism could resonate nationally, but whether he’ll ignite enough excitement outside his home state remains to be seen.

Wes Moore (+1600)

Maryland’s governor and political newcomer, Moore has impressed with his charisma and compelling life story. If he can convert media attention into a national movement, +1600 could look like a steal. His path, though, depends on strong early performances and broad appeal beyond the East Coast.

Kamala Harris (+1600)

Once the heir apparent, the former vice president’s political fortunes have seesawed. While her name recognition and experience make her a perennial contender, public perception and past campaign struggles weigh her odds down. Still, at +1600, some bettors see value in a comeback narrative if she can reset her image in the coming months.

Gretchen Whitmer (+1800)

Michigan’s governor has earned praise for her leadership and steady demeanor, positioning her as a potential “unity” choice. Whitmer’s challenge is whether she wants to run, and whether voters view her as a national figure. At +1800, she’s an intriguing sleeper pick if the race fractures.

Andy Beshear (+1800)

Kentucky’s Democratic governor remains one of the few bright spots for the party in deep-red America. His re-election in a conservative state turned heads, but national exposure remains limited. If he catches fire in the early debates, +1800 could look generous.

Pete Buttigieg (+1800)

The transportation secretary and former presidential candidate is no stranger to the spotlight. His debate skills and moderate tone keep him relevant, offering some value on these odds. Bettors intrigued by his staying power might sprinkle on Buttigieg here.

Jon Ossoff (+2000)

The Georgia senator’s youth and communication skills have made him a rising Democratic star. However, without a clear campaign infrastructure, he remains a longshot at +2000. Still, in a volatile race, longshots have a way of surprising.