NFL Season Predictions 2025
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Frank Ammirante
- Last Updated: April 23, 2024
Projected NFL Standings by Division
Below you’ll find a breakdown of my projected NFL standings by division. This will include a description of each team’s outlook for the 2025 NFL season.
AFC East
- Buffalo Bills
- New England Patriots
- Miami Dolphins
- New York Jets
At the top, the Bills remain the class of the AFC East with reigning NFL MVP Josh Allen. Look out for the Patriots, who could be one of the most improved teams in the league now that former Titans head coach Mike Vrabel is at the helm.
Meanwhile, the Dolphins look poised for an underwhelming season due to offensive line concerns. At the bottom, the Jets have major question marks at quarterback with Justin Fields under center.
AFC North
- Baltimore Ravens
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Cleveland Browns
Lamar Jackson and the Ravens look like the best team in the NFL due to a stacked offense with continuity and an improving defense. Expect the Bengals to bounce back after a disappointing 2024 season, where they missed the playoffs.
The Steelers are a wild card with Aaron Rodgers under center, as the future Hall-of-Famer is coming off a mediocre year with the Jets. Don’t be surprised if the Browns have the worst record in the NFL with Joe Flacco or one of their rookies (Dillon Gabriel or Shedeur Sanders) at quarterback.
AFC South
- Houston Texans
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Tennessee Titans
- Indianapolis Colts
The Texans should have an improved offense thanks to an upgrade at offensive coordinator with Nick Caley replacing Bobby Slowik. The same goes for the Jaguars, who bring in former Bucs playcaller Liam Coen as head coach along with a potential stud in dual-threat Travis Hunter.
The Titans could surprise some teams with first overall pick Cam Ward at quarterback, especially if he’s as good as advertised. But it looks like it will be a long season for the Colts with their combination of Daniel Jones and Anthony Richardson under center.
AFC West
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Denver Broncos
- Las Vegas Raiders
Despite an improved AFC West, it’s hard not to choose Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, given how they’ve dominated the division in recent years. But don’t count out the Chargers, who have an improved offense with the additions of a pair of key rookies: running back Omarion Hampton and wide receiver Tre Harris.
The Broncos are led by an elite defense, featuring an offense that now has an improved backfield with RJ Harvey and JK Dobbins, but they’re below the Chargers because Bo Nix doesn’t have the same upside as Justin Herbert. While the Raiders have improved with Geno Smith and Ashton Jeanty, it’s hard to see them knocking off one of the other three teams in this elite division.
NFC East
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Washington Commanders
- Dallas Cowboys
- New York Giants
The defending Super Bowl champions are still the team to beat in the NFL, featuring a stacked offense with an elite offensive line, along with a loaded defense filled with young studs like defensive tackle Jalen Carter and cornerback Quinyon Mitchell. Don’t expect much of a drop-off from last year’s surprise team, the Commanders, as Jayden Daniels has already cemented himself as one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL.
But you should expect a bounce back from the Cowboys, especially with first-round rookie interior lineman Tyler Booker and deep threat George Pickens bolstering what had become a lethargic offense. You can pencil in the Giants at the bottom due to a vastly inferior roster, but it should be an interesting season, especially once first-round rookie Jaxson Dart sees some starts later in the year.
NFC North
- Detroit Lions
- Minnesota Vikings
- Green Bay Packers
- Chicago Bears
The Lions lost both of their coordinators in Ben Johnson and Aaron Glenn, but a healthier defense will keep this stacked group atop one of the toughest divisions in the NFL. Don’t expect a drop-off from the Vikings, as former first-round pick and first-year starter JJ McCarthy is the most talented quarterback that Kevin O’Connell has ever worked with, and we saw what he just did with Sam Darnold.
The Packers are always in the mix, especially with Jordan Love returning to full health after playing through injury last season. While the Bears have made major additions to both their coaching staff and overall roster, they feel like they’re still one year away because quarterback Caleb Williams is still unproven.
NFC South
- Atlanta Falcons
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Carolina Panthers
- New Orleans Saints
The Falcons are ready to soar to new heights in Michael Penix Jr’s first full year as the starter, as the former first-round pick showed terrific rapport with Drake London down the stretch last season. The Bucs should still have a high-powered offense led by Baker Mayfield, but the injury to All-Pro offensive tackle Tristan Wirfs will have a major impact early in the year.
Bryce Young and the Panthers should continue to show improvement, especially with stud rookie wideout Tetairoa McMillan entering the fray, but they’re still a year away, given question marks on defense. At the bottom, the Saints could be headed for one of the worst seasons in franchise history, featuring a completely unproven quarterback room with rookie Tyler Shough and Spencer Rattler.
NFC West
- San Francisco 49ers
- Los Angeles Rams
- Arizona Cardinals
- Seattle Seahawks
The 49ers have a much easier schedule this time, plus the return of Christian McCaffrey should get this former contender back atop the NFC West after a down year. Don’t count out the Rams, who are Super Bowl contenders as well, especially after replacing Cooper Kupp with Davante Adams, who is a more well-rounded wideout.
While the Cardinals are headed in the right direction, it’s tough to see them supplanting the 49ers and Rams due to their superior coaching and rosters. Look for the Seahawks to finish at the bottom due to a porous offensive line, plus it’s unclear how Sam Darnold will look now that he’s no longer with Kevin O’Connell.
Top Sportsbook for NFL Predictions
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NFL Playoff Predictions
Here are my NFL playoff predictions for each round in both the NFC and AFC:
AFC Wild Card: (2) Bills over (7) Patriots, (3) Chiefs over (6) Chargers, (5) Bengals over (4) Texans
NFC Wild Card: (2) Eagles over (7) Commanders, (6) Vikings over (3) 49ers, (5) Rams over (4) Falcons
AFC Divisional Round: (1) Ravens over (5) Bengals, (2) Bills over (3) Chiefs
NFC Divisional Round: (1) Lions over (6) Vikings, (5) Rams over (2) Eagles
AFC Championship Game: (1) Ravens over (2) Bills
NFC Championship Game: (1) Lions over (5) Rams
Super Bowl: (1) Ravens over (1) Lions
Super Bowl 59 Pick
The Ravens are my pick to win Super Bowl 59 because of elite quarterback play with a strong running game, continuity at coaching, and one of the best defenses in the NFL.
Lamar Jackson could have easily won a second straight MVP last year. Now heading into his third season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken’s scheme, we can expect to see similar results, especially as young wideouts Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman continue to improve. Derrick Henry hasn’t shown any signs of decline, either.
As for the defense, this is a group that had a second-half surge, becoming one of the best at defending the pass in the second half of the season. After a strong draft that includes safety Malaki Starks and edge rusher Mike Green, we can see this unit get even better.
The Ravens currently have the shortest odds to win the Super Bowl, listed at +700 at BetOnline. However, given the improvements they’ve made on defense, along with the continuity on defense, it feels like this is their year, making this one of the best NFL bets you can make.
NFL Awards Predictions
Below, you’ll find our picks for MVP, Offensive Player of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year, Offensive Rookie of the Year, Defensive Rookie of the Year, and Coach of the Year for the 2025 NFL season.
Most Valuable Player (MVP)
Lamar Jackson (+550 at BetOnline)
Lamar Jackson could have easily won MVP last year, as he had superior numbers to Josh Allen. Given how much he’s thrived in Todd Monken’s offense, it’s hard not to see Lamar put up massive numbers once again. Since I project the Ravens to finish as the top seed, it makes sense to ride with Lamar at +550 odds.
Offensive Player of the Year
Jahmyr Gibbs (+1200 at BetOnline)
Jahmyr Gibbs is one of the most explosive backs in the NFL, capable of taking it to the house on a handoff or catching passes out of the backfield for huge gains. After David Montgomery missed time down the stretch last year, we saw how much more effective this running game was when Gibbs had more touches. Expect more of the same this season.
Defensive Player of the Year
Aidan Hutchinson (+700 at BetOnline)
After an injury-plagued season that forced Aidan Hutchinson to miss the playoffs, I’m betting that he comes back with a vengeance to lead an improved Lions defense. This is one of the best edge rushers in the NFL, so don’t be surprised to see him lead the league in sacks. At +700 odds, Hutchinson is the favorite, but still looks like a strong value given his skillset.
Offensive Rookie of the Year
Cam Ward (+350 at BetOnline)
Despite talented running backs like Ashton Jeanty and top wide receivers like Tetairoa McMillan, I’m going with the quarterback in Cam Ward. If he can lead the Titans to a record that exceeds expectations, it’s hard to see him losing this award. This is a talented passer who isn’t afraid to air it out, playing for Joe Burrow’s former offensive coordinator in Brian Callahan. Ward is going to surprise some people this year.
Defensive Rookie of the Year
Abdul Carter (+300 at BetOnline)
Abdul Carter is the clear-cut favorite to win Defensive Rookie of the Year because he’s easily the best edge rusher in this class. This is a position that usually wins this award, since they can impact the game by racking up pressures and sacks. Playing next to studs like Dexter Lawrence and Brian Burns up front will help Carter put up big numbers this season.
Coach of the Year
Mike Vrabel (+700 at BetOnline)
One main characteristic of Mike Vrabel’s teams is that they always win more games than expected. We saw that consistently during his time as Titans head coach. I’m betting on that continuing with the Patriots, who are my surprise team for the 2025 season. I have Drake Maye leading the team to the playoffs this year, which would virtually lock up this award for Vrabel.
Best NFL Futures Bets for 2025
Here is my favorite NFL futures bet for 2025:
Nick Chubb to win Comeback Player of the Year (+3300 at BetOnline)
This pick is all about the +3300 longshot NFL odds. Can you imagine if Nick Chubb leads the Texans backfield, turning in a 1,000+ yard season with 8+ touchdowns? After a couple of seasons where the former Brown dealt with significant injuries, that output would make him a strong candidate for Comeback Player of the Year. With Joe Mixon already injured, there’s a path to playing time for Chubb, so why not take a shot?
Where to Bet on NFL Futures
Looking to wager on NFL futures? These trusted sportsbooks offer strong early lines, solid bonus incentives, and crypto-friendly options:
- BetOnline features early Super Bowl future odds and competitive value on division and conference champs, which is ideal for bettors seeking flexible crypto deposits and sharp odds early in the preseason.
- Bovada is known for offering generous welcome bonuses and regular promotions on futures lines, which is great if you’re stacking bets over multiple teams.
- Everygame delivers a polished interface and early market movement tracking, along with regular promo codes that reward early futures action.
All three offer distinct value: BetOnline for crypto-first bettors, Bovada for seasonal promotions, and Everygame for clean interfaces and market transparency.
Final Predictions and Undervalued Teams
My boldest call of the year is to have the Patriots in the playoffs. I’m betting on Drake Maye taking it to the next level as a passer, especially following the addition of Stefon Diggs at receiver and the hiring of Josh McDaniels as playcaller.
Look out for the Falcons, who look poised to have a much better passing game with Michael Penix Jr. at the helm. With the Bucs dealing with an injury to Tristan Wirfs, Atlanta is undervalued right now. I have them winning the NFC South this season.
As with every NFL season, expect the unexpected, so remember to bet responsibly.
How We Build Our NFL Season Predictions
Our NFL futures predictions are built on a data-driven foundation. We analyze offseason roster changes, key free agent signings, and coaching hires or departures that impact team chemistry and strategy. Strength of schedule and returning production help forecast continuity and potential regression. Advanced metrics like EPA (Expected Points Added), DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average), and PFF grades provide deep insight into on-field efficiency. We also track sportsbook win totals and market movement to gauge public and sharp sentiment.
NFL Best Bets FAQS
Who is the favorite to win Super Bowl 59?
The Baltimore Ravens are currently favored to win Super Bowl 59, tied with the Buffalo Bills at +700 odds at BetOnline.
What are the best NFL futures bets for 2025?
The best NFL futures bet for 2025 is Nick Chubb to win Comeback Player of the Year at +3300 odds at BetOnline. This is a longshot pick that could yield a terrific return on investment. It’s a formerly elite back playing in a strong scheme with good quarterback play and a starter in Joe Mixon who is currently dealing with injury.
How do sportsbooks set win totals?
Win totals are determined using predictive models based on strength of schedule, returning production, and analytics like DVOA and EPA. Market sentiment, including splits between public and sharp bettors, shapes line movement. Sharp action and consensus projections help sportsbooks adjust lines leading up to the start of the season.
Which NFL teams are expected to improve the most?
The New England Patriots are expected to take a major leap this season. This is due to a significant upgrade at head coach with Mike Vrabel, who has a proven track record from his time with the Tennessee Titans. The Atlanta Falcons should also improve with Michael Penix Jr. at the helm.
How accurate are NFL season predictions?
The NFL can be one of the toughest sports to predict because there are always major surprises. While we may nail a few of these picks, it wouldn’t be surprising to see huge misses on this page as well. As always, bankroll management is key. You need to prepare for volatility.
