Will 2025 Break Hurricane Records? Oddsmakers Set Storm Totals
-
Frank Ammirante
- July 8, 2025
As hurricane season intensifies, sportsbooks are expanding beyond touchdowns and home runs. BetOnline, one of the most widely used online sportsbooks, has posted odds on key hurricane season benchmarks, providing a glimpse into how intense the 2025 Atlantic season could get.
Spoiler alert: The lines suggest we’re in for a wild one.
What the Odds Say About the 2025 Hurricane Season
- Over/Under 4 Major Hurricanes of Category 3+ (-120 on both sides)
- Over/Under 8 Total Hurricanes (-120 on both sides)
- Over/Under 16 Named Storms (-190 over 16; +140 under 16)
*All odds offered by BetOnline
A -120 betting line on either side implies the market sees about a 54.5% chance of each outcome. That means that you’re getting negative expected value on this wager, since the industry standard with identical odds is -110 on each side.
Despite the inflated pricing, these odds put expectations squarely in line with official forecasts, highlighting that this season could be a rough ride.
What NOAA Forecasts Predict for the 2025 Hurricane Season
In its latest update, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) projected an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season, forecasting:
- 13 to 19 named storms
- 6 to 10 hurricanes
- 3 to 5 major hurricanes
These projections are some of the most aggressive in recent years, driven by unusually warm Atlantic Ocean temperatures and a weakening El Niño pattern.
For context, let’s look at results during hurricane season in the Atlantic for the last two years:
| Year | Named Storms | Hurricanes | Major Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | 11 | 5 |
| 2023 | 20 | 7 | 3 |
If projections are correct, this could be the busiest hurricane season in recent memory.
Here’s Why It Could Matter in 2025
Storm season isn’t just a regional concern; it has wide-reaching impacts:
- Travel: Airlines and cruise companies must reroute or cancel trips, affecting vacation plans and revenue.
- Insurance: Homeowners in coastal regions are already seeing higher premiums as risk models spike.
- Climate Indicators: Betting odds reflect public expectations for extreme weather and show how betting odds quantify probability and public sentiment.
The betting lines also help quantify public sentiment and forecast alignment in a way that NOAA’s statistical ranges can’t always capture. They reflect how people are emotionally and financially pricing the likelihood of disruption.
For those living in regions that are more likely to be affected by a hurricane, it can be helpful to see these betting lines to understand that this could be a season where they’re more at risk.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
