UFC 257 Betting Tips and Predictions Part 1

05 January 2021
Share with:
Khalil Rountree

Khalil Rountree vs. Marcin Prachnio

UFC Light Heavyweight Bout

UFC 257 takes place on Wednesday, January the 23rd, live from Yas Island in Abu Dhabi.

Khalil Rountree

Age: 30

Nationality: USA

Record: 8-4-0

Height: 6ft 1"

Reach: 76.5"

Gym: Powerhouse Phuket

Notable Gym Members: N/A

Current Streak: 1 loss

Wins by KO/TKO: 6

Wins by Submission: 0

Decision wins: 3

UFC 257 has multiple high-level matchups, from the rematch of Conor McGregor & Dustin Poirier to Michael Chandler's debut. Still, I'm noticing some significant value in the undercard matchups.

Starting with Khalil Rountree, the ultimate fighter alumni has been absent for sixteen months after suffering a round 1 knockout against Ion Cutelaba. Recovery is critical, so the absence is expected, and fortunately for the American, he's been matched up with another fighter returning from a knockout loss.

Marcin Prachnio

Age: 32

Nationality: Poland

Record: 13-5-0

Height: 6ft 3."

Reach: 74"

Gym: Tatsujin MMA

Notable Gym Members: N/A

Current Streak: 3 losses

Wins by KO/TKO: 10

Wins by Submission: 1

Decision wins: 2

Well, Marcin Prachnio is returning from three back-to-back knockouts, so his case is slightly more severe in terms of longevity. Perhaps the grey matter is not present, and the durability of Prachnio has become desperate.

Still, without a win inside the UFC, it is difficult to make a fighting case for Prachnio. Three UFC fights with three first-round knockouts should not give anyone the confidence to put Prachnio in their betting slip.

Fight Prediction

Neither fighter has a long history of reaching the judges' scorecards, and although I believe Khalil Rountree should have the edge in this fight, his straight-up price of -300 and beyond is a joke.

Prachnio and Khalil will welcome a striking battle, and I wouldn't anticipate a lot of grappling in this scrap and given both men have the power to finish a fight quick, the under/over betting market seems like a no brainer for this one.

UFC 257 Free Betting Pick: Under 1.5 rounds at 1.71 with Bet365 (visit our Bet365 Review)

Ottman Azaitar vs. Matt Frevola

UFC Lightweight Bout

UFC 257 takes place on Wednesday, January the 23rd, live from Yas Island in Abu Dhabi.

Matt Frevola

Age: 30

Nationality: USA

Record: 8-1-1 (4-3-0 UFC)

Height: 5ft 9"

Reach: 40"

Gym: Refit Pro Fighters

Notable Gym Members: Chris Weidman, Aljamain Sterling & Al Iaquinta

Current Streak: 2 wins

Wins by KO/TKO: 1

Wins by Submission: 3

Decision wins: 4

Matt Frevola made his UFC debut in 2018 and suffered a vicious knockout, and I believe it has contributed to the confidence in his skills from critics since. There weren't many who had faith in Frevola during his next three UFC matchups but with one majority draw and two consecutive wins, should we still underestimate him?

Ottman Azaitar

Age: 30

Nationality: Morocco

Record: 9-0-1

Height: 5ft 8"

Reach: 71"

Gym: SB Gym

Notable Gym Members: Abu Azaitar, Nasrat Haqparast & Germaine De Randamie

Current Streak: 13 wins

Wins by KO/TKO: 9

Wins by Submission: 3

Decision wins: 1

I have a funny feeling that Ottman Azaitar could be a special breed. Every once in a while, the UFC will stumble across their next big star, and if Ottman continues his dominant performances at this level, there's no stopping the dangerous Moroccan.

Fight Prediction

We can no longer doubt Matt Frevola because of his debut knockout loss, but at the same time, we can't ignore the skills of Azaitar.

Frevola has a potent grappling offence with the power to knock you out, but the striking offence Azaitar will bring to the table will exceed that of his opponent.

I think Frevola would have a Jiu-jitsu advantage, which is the only viable path for him to win the fight, in my opinion. Azaitar is a fierce competitor with the skills to go far, and I'll take the reasonable price on him before the hype train becomes real.

UFC 257 Free Betting Pick: Ottman Azaitar at 1.64 [-157] with William Hill (visit our William Hill Review)