Johnson vs. Sandgren
Tennys Sandgren continues to impress in 2018. Against all expectations, the 26-year-old became the first American to reach the Australian Open quarter-finals since Andy Roddick in 2010. Adding to this, Sandgren advanced to his first ATP World Tour final this week after an impressive 7 – 6 7 – 6 win over Ivo Karlovic in the semi-finals. Regardless of this Sunday’s outcome, Tennys already secured his career-high ranking next week with an unprecedented appearance in the top-50.
Steve Johnson is one win away from becoming the first back-to-back winner in Houston since Andy Roddick in 2003. Playing at the U.S. Men’s Clay Court Championships brings the best out of Johnson with the 28-year-old winning all his last eight official encounters on this event. Looking now at Steve’s campaign on this year’s edition, the defending champion reaches this stage of the competition in Houston after a three-set battle against Taylor Fritz.
These two players will face each other for the second time in their careers with Sandgren leading on the h2h by 1 – 0 after his victory at the Savannah Challenger in 2013.
For just the second time in the past 15 years, two American players will face each other in the championship match in Houston. The bookmakers are well aware of Steve’s brilliant record on this event with the No.6 seed as the favourite to lift the trophy at 1/2 at 5Dimes while Sandgren is available at 7/4 a William Hill. Even though we agree with Johnson’s favouritism, this should be a much closer match than the odds suggest. Having said that, our recommendation is for you to place a bet on the Over 23 at 51/50 at green listed bookmaker Pinnacle as the most valuable play for this final.
Best Play: Over 23 at 51/50 at Pinnacle