Soccer: Bundesliga Weekend Match Value, Round 26
As the business end of the season draws near, it’s going to become harder to find bets in matches that actually count. Right now it’s not too bad as only the most mid-table sides doesn’t really have anything to play for, while the rest are either involved in a relegation fight or in the chase for European slots.
Let’s make this week's three bets count.
Mainz vs. Schalke
I’ve talked about my admiration for Schalke before. They are a really good side and it’s unfortunate to look ahead and foresee the breakup that is bound to happen.
Right now, let’s profit from this quality young side and enjoy the entertaining brand of football they provide.
In every statistic that matters, Schalke wins. They’re better in attack, better in defense, and have better form, over the past six games and the season as a whole. It doesn’t even matter if you compare home/away records.
Schalke just wins.
So, it’s good to see them being offered at 2.16 with Pinnacle (green-listed bookmaker), for a win in Friday's game seems like an excellent option.
Hannover vs. Augsburg
These teams sit next to each other in the table, and three points will be very useful to either side.
In terms of the stats, this one is actually quite tight. If the fixture was reversed, Augsburg would be the clear winner, but they have been distinctly average on the road. Hannover’s form at home isn’t actually that bad; they’ve won half of their 12 home games in the Bundesliga this season, losing just a quarter.
My bet for Saturday's game is an away win, and it's based purely on value. Search around for the best odds and see what you can get, but the 3.34 on offer from Pinnacle (green-listed bookmaker) does hold value based on previous meetings.
Werder Bremen vs. FC Köln
Werder Bremen takes on FC Köln on Monday in a game they really should win. Despite not having a good home record overall in the Bundesliga this season, Werder Bremen has improved recently and has not lost in its past six home games in the league campaign.
Their strength has come from their defense; they have the fourth-strongest defense in the competition. Against Köln’s weak attack, they should be able to keep a clean sheet, setting them up nicely for the home win on which I’m betting.
The odds aren’t huge, but at 1.83 with Bet Victor (green-listed bookmaker) there’s enough there to keep me happy.