There are slim pickings in La Liga this week as real value bets are hard to come by. With the season getting close to its end and several clubs still involved in Europe, that’s not exactly a major surprise. I’ve got three bets for you, each a little risky (this is betting, after all) but all containing at least some value.
The value is on the home side in this game Saturday, but it’s a risky selection. Real Betis have been poor at home, winning less than half of the league games played at the Estadio Benito Villamarín this season. Eibar, on the other hand, have been OK on the road, certainly recently where they have won two and drawn two of the last six away matches.
Real Betis have the kind of attack that provides some confidence, though. They’ve scored 28 goals at home this season, fifth-most in La Liga and 17 more than Eibar have managed away from home (in one fewer game). That defense is a concern, however. Betis have shipped as many goals as they have scored and although Eibar aren’t big scorers, you can see one getting into the home side's net.
At average odds of 1.76, there is some opportunity for a bet on Both Teams To Score in this one, but I’m going for a home win instead with William Hill offering odds of 2.25.
Although they are close in the standings, 17th-place Levante are a much better side than 18th-place Las Palmas statistically. Levante are in terrible form at home right now and although my system is saying I should back them in Sunday's game, I just can’t go that way. Instead I’m going for Both Teams To Score (No) at odds of 1.95 with BetVictor. Las Palmas score less than half a goal away from home and Levante average only one goal per game at the Estadi Ciutat de València. Neither has a record to be proud of.
Honestly, I don’t expect much from this game. Let's hope those expectations are well met.
Both sides have European involvement this week and that could have a say in this matchup Sunday. Real Madrid are probably feeling the pressure to perform more right now and, realistically, the Champions League is a more important game, and a third win in a row would probably lead to Zinedine Zidane keeping his job. Failure to do so would probably lead to a change at the top after the season they’ve had.
Atletico Madrid have a day less of recovery time, but in a derby match that has less importance. Atletico also have the better defense, which will be important in a tight match.
I’m going for Atletico Madrid Draw No Bet in this one. The odds are excellent at 3.25 with Bet365, and I think the bookies and general betting public are looking the wrong way on this one.