Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid Tips: Great Odds on the Visitors

By Martin Green13 March 2021
Share with:
Atletico Madrid striker Luis Suarez

Atletico Madrid will aim to secure their 14th consecutive victory over Getafe when these local rivals meet on Saturday evening.

Diego Simeone’s men thrashed Getafe 7-0 back in November 2013, and they have won every single meeting between the clubs since then. You have to go back to 2011 for the last time Atletico lost to Getafe, so history is very much on their side.

Atletico Madrid should be full of confidence after battling to a 2-1 victory over in-form Athletic Bilbao on Wednesday. That result left them six points clear of Barcelona at the top of the table, and they remain the odds-on favourites to win La Liga.

Bookmakers including Unibet will only offer 1/2 (1.50) on Atletico lifting the trophy at the end of the season, but you can find 8/13 (1.62) at Betway. Barcelona have put together an impressive run of results over the past couple of months, but Atletico’s destiny is still in their own hands, and they will be crowned champions if they maintain their strong form over the next two months.

Clean Bill of Health

Fatigue could be an issue for Atletico Madrid in this game. They had to work hard to beat Athletic Bilbao in midweek, whereas Getafe have had the week off. Atletico might also have one eye on their Champions League clash with Chelsea on Wednesday, which could cause them to be slightly distracted.

However, Simeone is a passionate manager and he should have his players fired up for this game. He is missing defensive lynchpin Jose Gimenez, but otherwise the Atletico squad looks to be in good shape.

Saul Niguez, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Angel Correa and Renan Lodi were all on the bench for the Athletic Bilbao game, and they could all come into the team if Simeone wants to freshen things up.

As usual, Atletico have the best defensive record in La Liga this season, having conceded just 18 goals in 26 games. However, they also have the best attacking record – and that is a rarity. Simeone’s men have banged in 50 goals in 26 games, with Luis Suarez leading the charge.

The former Barcelona and Liverpool striker has managed 18 goals this season, leaving him just one behind former teammate Lionel Messi in the race for the Golden Boot. Marcos Llorente has chipped in with nine from midfield, while the likes of Joao Felix and Yannick Carrasco are also dangerous.

Getafe's 10-Year Goal Drought

Ultimately, Atletico Madrid should be too strong for Getafe in this game. Getafe have lost five of their last six games, and they are now just three points above the relegation zone. They have a pretty good defensive record this season, but they have the second lowest goals tally in the league, ahead of only Eibar.

That does not bode well for a clash with Atletico Madrid, who like to smother the opposition in midfield, and rarely offer up many chances to the opposition. It finished 1-0 to Atletico Madrid when the teams met in December, and a similar scoreline would be unsurprising on Saturday.

In fact, Atletico Madrid have beaten Getafe to nil in each of their last 13 meetings. The last time they conceded a goal against Getafe was 2011.

The odds on a straightforward Atletico Madrid win look appealing on Saturday, with Novibet offering 24/25 (1.96). However, you can find even greater value by betting on Atletico to win to nil (8/5 with Betfair) or Atletico and under 3.5 goals (6/5 with Betway) if you so desire, while 7/1 is available on a 0-0 draw if you think Atletico will also draw a blank.