Chelsea are priced at a very tempting 4/5 (1.80) to beat West Brom to nil when the teams meet at Stamford Bridge on Saturday.
The Blues have conceded just two goals in 14 games since Thomas Tuchel replaced Frank Lampard as manager in January. They have 10 wins, four draws and zero defeats in that time.
Chelsea are also coming off a run of seven consecutive clean sheets. That would be hugely impressive regardless of the calibre of opposition, but it is remarkable when you consider they have faced Atletico Madrid (twice), Liverpool, Man Utd, Everton, Leeds and Sheff Utd in that time.
They have shut out the likes of Luis Suarez, Joao Felix, Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mané, Roberto Firmino, Bruno Fernandes, Marcus Rashford, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Richarlison and Patrick Bamford, so they really should be able to contain West Brom’s misfiring strike force.
The Baggies are 19th in the table, 10 points below safety. They have mustered just 20 goals in 29 games this season, and they have drawn a blank in their last three matches. They have scored only one goal in their last five games, and that came from a set-piece against a porous Brighton defence.
Chelsea have dominated possession in almost every match since Tuchel took the reins. Their midfield has been terrific over the past two months, and they totally smother the opposition. The Blues are highly likely to control this clash with West Brom and grind out a relatively low-scoring victory.
As such, they are priced at just 1/5 (1.20) with William Hill and various other bookmakers to win the game. However, you can earn much greater value by backing them to win to nil, with Paddy Power and Betfair offering 4/5 (1.80).
They have won four of their last five matches to nil. The only exception was a 0-0 draw with Leeds, a game in which they had 63% of the possession, 15 shots on goal, eight shots on target and several good chances, but their finishing was just wayward.
West Brom have only kept five clean sheets all season, and they have struggled against the league’s best teams. It actually finished 3-3 when these teams met earlier in the campaign, as Chelsea battled back from a three-goal deficit to earn a share of the spoils. However, the Blues are a lot more solid under Tuchel, and they should ease to victory on Saturday.