Can an English Team Win the Champions League?

By Martin Green27 March 2021
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Manchester City's Raheem Sterling

Bookmakers have updated the odds on which country will yield this year’s Champions League winner following the quarter-final draw. These are the various contenders:

England

Three of the eight quarter-finalists are Premier League teams, so it is unsurprising to see England as the 4/6 (1.67) favourite with Betway in this market. As an added bonus, the three teams avoided one another in the quarter-final draw, so they could all make it through to the semi-finals.

Premier League leaders Man City are the favourites to win the Champions League after they were drawn against Borussia Dortmund. They have won 22 of their last 23 games in all competitions, and they have fantastic momentum right now. Pep Guardiola has been able to rotate his large squad effectively this year, and Man City have a great chance of winning the Champions League.

Chelsea are third in the betting to win the Champions League. They remain unbeaten since Thomas Tuchel took over as manager in January, and they have kept six clean sheets in a row, so they are serious contenders for glory. Injury-hit Liverpool may struggle against Real Madrid, but their attacking quality in undeniable, so a 4/6 bet on any of those three teams lifting the trophy looks pretty appealing.

Germany

Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich won the Champions League last season, and they remain extremely strong this time around. Key midfielder Thiago Alcantara moved to Liverpool in the summer, but Bayern compensated by moving Joshua Kimmich into the midfield, and he has struck up a terrific partnership with Leon Goretzka.

Bayern are devastating in attack, but their defence has been extremely leaky this season, and that could ultimately prove to be their undoing. They are up against PSG in the quarter-finals, and they must somehow find a way to contain Kylian Mbappe, Angel Di Maria and possibly Neymar. That will be a tall order, but if they make it through the quarter-finals, they will fancy their chances of successfully defended their crown.

You also have Borussia Dortmund thrown in for good measure if you bet on Germany at 7/2 (4.50) with Bet365 and various others in this market. They have a fiendishly difficult tie against Man City, but it is worth bearing in mind that Guardiola’s men often crash out of this competition earlier than expected, and Erling Haaland is on fire for Dortmund.

Others

The other teams in the competition are PSG, Real Madrid and Porto, so you can bet on France, Spain and “Any Other Nation” (Portugal) in this market.

Unibet has a market leading 9/1 (10.00) on PSG winning the Champions League, which could be interesting. However, they would have to get past Bayern – the team that beat them 1-0 in last season’s final – and then they could face Man City, so their side of the draw is extremely perilous.

Real Madrid might be a better option at 11/1 (12.00) with Betway. They are up against a Liverpool team missing all three senior centre-backs, which should leave Karim Benzema licking his lips in anticipation. If they beat the Reds, they are up against either Chelsea or Porto, and they would probably be the slight favourites against the Blues.

Anything can happen in a final, and an each-way bet on Real Madrid looks pretty appealing. They may lack star quality since Cristiano Ronaldo left the club, but Eden Hazard could return from injury, and the likes of Benzema, Sergio Ramos, Luka Modric, Toni Kroos and Casemiro have all won this competition multiple times, so they are certainly in with a shout.

Porto did knock Juventus out of the competition in the last round, but it is hard to see them getting the better of an in-form Chelsea side, so they do not represent an appealing bet. Right now, the 4/6 on an English team winning looks like the best bet, perhaps with a little hedge on Bayern at 7/2 and Real Madrid each-way at 11/1.